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Haiti crestHaiti
v
Peru crestPeru

Friendlies | Sat 06 Jun, 01:00

Haiti v Peru Stats

Data last updated: Sat 11 Jul 2026, 22:17 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Haiti face Peru in Friendlies on Sat 06 Jun, 01:00. Haiti won six, drew two and lost only two of their 10 matches across two CONCACAF qualifying group-stage campaigns, sealing just their second World Cup appearance and first since 1974.

BT4Y best bet

Of a specific side to win while offering a complete refund of stake if the match finishes in a draw, mitigating standard 90-minute risk factors

  • At 9/4, Haiti Win implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • They gave Sebastien Migne’s side the kind of defensive that can hold a tournament team together when the football gets messy.
  • Haiti have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Peru.
  • Haiti have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per match, which helps the Haiti Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Haiti Win sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Haiti have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Peru. They gave Sebastien Migne’s side the kind of defensive that can hold a tournament team together when the football gets messy.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Strong positive
Haiti have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Haiti have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
They gave Sebastien Migne’s side the kind of defensive.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Haiti Win is the preferred angle because they gave Sebastien Migne’s side the kind of defensive that can hold a tournament team together when the football gets messy. Haiti have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Peru. Peru are still a technically respected South American side, but their task now is restoration.

Main risk

Peru are still a technically respected South American side, but their task now is restoration.

Key Data Signals

Haiti Win evidence

They gave Sebastien Migne’s side the kind of defensive that can hold a tournament team together when the.

Haiti have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Peru.

Haiti have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per match, which helps the Haiti Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Haiti Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Haiti5
    Avg corners for
    Peru5.5
    Haiti13
    Avg total corners
    Peru12.5
    Haiti0
    Avg yellow cards
    Peru2
    Haiti13
    Avg shots
    Peru7.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 75% vs implied 51% · edge +23.7 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    more Friendlies analysisrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Haiti1.67
    Avg goals scored
    Peru1
    Haiti0.67
    Avg goals conceded
    Peru2
    Haiti33%
    BTTS rate
    Peru50%
    Haiti33%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Peru50%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 27% · edge +34.5 pts
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 43%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickHaiti to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 36% · edge +31 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 61%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Haiti Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Haiti to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Haiti

    WDL
    Last 51W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 1L
    03 Jun 2026H New Zealand4-0
    31 Mar 2026H Iceland1-1
    29 Mar 2026H Tunisia0-1

    Peru

    DL
    Last 50W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 1L
    31 Mar 2026H Honduras2-2
    28 Mar 2026A Senegal0-2
    Market aligned with main pickHaiti to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 36% · edge +31 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Haiti Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Haiti wins
    0Draws
    1Peru wins
    05 Jun 2016Haiti v Peru0-1
    Market aligned with main pickHaiti to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 36% · edge +31 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 61%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Haiti to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Haiti4
    Played
    Peru4
    Haiti1.5
    Avg goals for
    Peru1.3
    Haiti1
    Avg goals against
    Peru2
    Haiti1
    Clean sheets
    Peru0
    Market aligned with main pickHaiti to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 36% · edge +31 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Haiti Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Season data supports Haiti to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    33%Haiti Over 2.5
    50%Peru Over 2.5
    1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Haiti sit at 33% and Peru sit at 50% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Haiti v Peru prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

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