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Guidonia Montecelio 1937 crestGuidonia Montecelio 1937
v
Pineto crestPineto

Serie C - Girone B | Sun 04 Oct, 13:30

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 v Pineto Stats

Data last updated: Sat 03 Oct 2026, 08:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 and Pineto meet in Serie C - Girone B with both sides showing moderate recent form and offensive intent. Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have collected 6 points with a solid defensive record, conceding just one goal in recent matches, while Pineto have scored slightly more but conceded twice as many goals. Both teams have demonstrated a tendency to find the net, with an 80% BTTS rate each, setting up an intriguing contest where both sides look capable of scoring. The fixture promises open play and goal opportunities given their attacking patterns and defensive vulnerabilities.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have an 80% rate of scoring and conceding goals in recent matches.
  • Pineto's matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals, indicating open attacking play.
  • Guidonia Montecelio 1937 maintain a strong defensive record but still contribute to BTTS outcomes.
  • The average goals per game in their recent head-to-head is 4, supporting goal-scoring chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong recent BTTS rates of 80% for both sides. Despite Guidonia Montecelio 1937's solid defense, Pineto's attacking output and the high average goals in their head-to-head (4 goals per game) support this outcome. The at 2.0 offer positive value with a 26% edge, making BTTS a compelling selection based on attacking tendencies and defensive openness. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Pineto BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals4 goals per game
Positive
Value Edge65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability and defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams to score a logical choice. Pineto's higher goals conceded and Guidonia Montecelio 1937's willingness to attack create a balanced contest where both sides are likely to find the net. The data supports an open game with goal opportunities at both ends.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS likelihood

“The attacking patterns and recent BTTS rates for both Guidonia Montecelio 1937 and Pineto suggest this fixture will feature goals from both sides. Their head-to-head history reinforces the likelihood of an open game with scoring chances.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have an 80% rate of scoring and conceding goals in recent matches.

Pineto's matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals, indicating open attacking play.

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 maintain a strong defensive record but still contribute to BTTS outcomes.

The average goals per game in their recent head-to-head is 4, supporting goal-scoring chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4 per game, indicating a high-scoring trend.
  • Pineto's 80% over 2.5 goals rate and Guidonia Montecelio 1937's participation in matches with goals further suggest a fast tempo and open play conducive to multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Guidonia Montecelio 19371
Avg goals scored
Pineto1.2
Guidonia Montecelio 19371
Avg goals conceded
Pineto2
Guidonia Montecelio 193780%
BTTS rate
Pineto80%
Guidonia Montecelio 193720%
Over 2.5 goals
Pineto80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate recently, indicating a strong trend of mutual scoring. The head-to-head average of 4 goals per game further supports the likelihood of goals at both ends. While Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have a tighter defense, Pineto's attacking output balances this, suggesting a lively match with goals from both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Pineto Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Pineto to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The 65% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Guidonia Montecelio 1937 show a 80% BTTS rate and Pineto show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Guidonia Montecelio 1937

LDDDW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 2L
27 Sep 2026A Vis Pesaro1-2
21 Sep 2026H Livorno1-1
16 Sep 2026A Latina1-1
12 Sep 2026H Reggiana1-1
05 Sep 2026H Pianese1-0

Pineto

LDDWL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 4D 2L
26 Sep 2026H Grosseto0-4
20 Sep 2026A Campobasso FC2-2
16 Sep 2026H Forli1-1
12 Sep 2026H Sambenedettese2-1
06 Sep 2026A Perugia1-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 80% · edge -1.7 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
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Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Pineto Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Pineto to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Recent form shows Guidonia Montecelio 1937 with 6 points and a strong defensive record, conceding only once, while Pineto have 5 points but concede more frequently. Both teams' matches have frequently featured goals at both ends, reinforcing the BTTS trend and suggesting continued mutual scoring in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Over 2.5
80%Pineto Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4 per game, indicating a high-scoring trend. Pineto's 80% over 2.5 goals rate and Guidonia Montecelio 1937's participation in matches with goals further suggest a fast tempo and open play conducive to multiple goals in this fixture.

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