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Groningen crestGroningen
v
Twente crestTwente

Eredivisie | Sun 06 Sep, 11:15

Groningen v Twente Stats

Data last updated: Sat 05 Sep 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Groningen face Twente in Eredivisie on Sun 06 Sep, 11:15. Groningen come in with 6 recent points and 2.25 goals per match, while Twente have 6 points and 2.33 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • At 2.2, Over 3.5 Goals implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 58%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Groningen and 67% for Twente, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Twente are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.33 goals per match, with Groningen at 2.25.
  • BTTS rates of 100% for Groningen and 67% for Twente show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Groningen and 67% for Twente, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price58% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Groningen and 67%.Visible data support
Positive
Twente are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.33.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 3.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Groningen and 67% for Twente, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Groningen and 67% for Twente, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Twente are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.33 goals per match, with Groningen at 2.25.

BTTS rates of 100% for Groningen and 67% for Twente show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Groningen4.5
Avg corners for
Twente7.67
Groningen8.75
Avg total corners
Twente10.67
Groningen1.25
Avg yellow cards
Twente0.67
Groningen15.5
Avg shots
Twente22.67
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 66% vs implied 58% · edge +7.7 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

Eredivisie fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Groningen2.25
Avg goals scored
Twente2.33
Groningen2.5
Avg goals conceded
Twente1
Groningen100%
BTTS rate
Twente67%
Groningen100%
Over 2.5 goals
Twente67%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 46% · edge +12.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Twente Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Twente to WinBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Groningen to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Groningen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Groningen

LLWW
Last 52W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 2L
28 Aug 2026H Fortuna Sittard2-3
23 Aug 2026A PSV Eindhoven1-5
16 Aug 2026A ADO Den Haag4-1
09 Aug 2026H Utrecht2-1

Twente

WWL
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
30 Aug 2026A Cambuur4-1
16 Aug 2026H PEC Zwolle3-1
09 Aug 2026A Heerenveen0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 77% vs implied 75% · edge +1.4 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Twente Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Twente to WinBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Groningen to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Groningen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Groningen wins
5Draws
5Twente wins
22 Feb 2026Twente v Groningen2-1
02 Nov 2025Groningen v Twente1-1
01 Mar 2025Groningen v Twente1-1
15 Dec 2024Twente v Groningen2-0
05 Feb 2023Groningen v Twente1-1
16 Oct 2022Twente v Groningen3-0
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Twente to WinBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Groningen to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Eredivisie

Groningen4
Played
Twente3
Groningen2.3
Avg goals for
Twente2.3
Groningen2.5
Avg goals against
Twente1
Groningen0
Clean sheets
Twente0
Best odds for this sectionTwente Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 62% · edge -2.9 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Twente to WinBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Groningen to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Groningen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Season data supports Twente Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Twente632014
10Groningen64202-1
Groningen sit in position 10, while Twente sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the Over 3.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Groningen Over 2.5
67%Twente Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Groningen sit at 100% and Twente sit at 67% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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