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Groningen crestGroningen
v
PEC Zwolle crestPEC Zwolle

Eredivisie | Fri 18 Sep, 19:00

Groningen v PEC Zwolle Stats

Data last updated: Thu 17 Sep 2026, 08:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Groningen hosts PEC Zwolle in an Eredivisie clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Groningen ranks mid-table with 8 points, while PEC Zwolle struggles near the bottom with 4 points. Both sides have a high rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating open play and offensive opportunities. Groningen's recent form includes strong corner delivery and sustained pressure, while PEC Zwolle's defensive frailties suggest they may concede set-piece opportunities. The match promises dynamic wing play and frequent attacking transitions, setting the stage for a high corner count.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Groningen averages 4.2 corners per match, matching PEC Zwolle's 4.2 corners per game.
  • Both teams have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open, attacking games.
  • Groningen's recent matches show 100% BTTS rate, suggesting attacking openness and defensive gaps.
  • Model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, with a positive of 13.4%.
  • Player data shows active attacking roles likely to generate wide play and set-piece opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners due to both teams' aggressive attacking styles and defensive weaknesses, reflected in their high average corners per game (4.2 each). Recent form data supports frequent attacking pressure and open play, with Groningen's 100% BTTS rate and both teams' 80% over 2.5 goals rate. Player-level stats highlight key attackers like Nils Eggens and B. Willumsson who generate numerous shots and wide play, increasing corner chances. The current offer positive value with a 13.4% edge and no price warnings, making this a solid corner market selection.

Model Chance69%
Strong positive
Average Corners per Game4.2 each team
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate80% both teams
Positive
BTTS Rate (Groningen)100%
Positive
Key Player Attacking ActivityHigh shots and wide play
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained wing attacks and frequent set-piece situations as Groningen and PEC Zwolle both push forward aggressively. Groningen's active attackers and PEC Zwolle's defensive struggles suggest a lively game with many corners. The data supports a strong likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners, making this an attractive market for bettors seeking value in set-piece volume.

Main risk

Recent draws between these sides suggest a tight scoreline, but this exact prediction is fragile to any score variation.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corner market analysis

“Groningen's dynamic wide players and PEC Zwolle's defensive openness create a fertile environment for numerous corners. The consistent attacking tempo and high shot volumes from both sides underpin the strong corner count forecast.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Groningen averages 4.2 corners per match, matching PEC Zwolle's 4.2 corners per game.

Both teams have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open, attacking games.

Model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, with a positive of 13.4%.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 1.5, indicating moderate scoring but not low enough to suppress attacking intent.
  • Both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates at 80% suggest a tempo favoring multiple goal and corner opportunities, driven by open play and transitions.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Groningen2
Avg goals scored
PEC Zwolle1.2
Groningen2.4
Avg goals conceded
PEC Zwolle3
Groningen100%
BTTS rate
PEC Zwolle60%
Groningen80%
Over 2.5 goals
PEC Zwolle80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both Groningen and PEC Zwolle have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and a combined BTTS rate of 80%, reflecting open games with attacking intent. This offensive openness typically correlates with increased corner counts due to frequent attacking sequences and defensive pressure.

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Useful next reads

more Eredivisie analysisfull betting preview for Groningen v PEC Zwollecorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
PEC Zwolle Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Groningen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
PEC Zwolle to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Groningen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively at 1.8 with a of 69%, indicating clear value. The 13.4% positive suggests the underestimate the likelihood of a high corner count, making this a price-sensitive opportunity worth backing at standard stakes.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Groningen4.2
Avg corners for
PEC Zwolle4.2
Groningen9.6
Avg total corners
PEC Zwolle12
Groningen1.2
Avg yellow cards
PEC Zwolle1
Groningen14.2
Avg shots
PEC Zwolle11.6
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +13.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams average 4.2 corners per match, supported by high shot volumes (Groningen 14.2, PEC Zwolle 11.6) and shots on target (5.2 and 4.2 respectively). The moderate card averages suggest a competitive but not overly aggressive match, allowing sustained attacking pressure and corner opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Groningen

DDLLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 2L
12 Sep 2026A GO Ahead Eagles1-1
06 Sep 2026H Twente2-2
28 Aug 2026H Fortuna Sittard2-3
23 Aug 2026A PSV Eindhoven1-5
16 Aug 2026A ADO Den Haag4-1

PEC Zwolle

LDLWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 4L
13 Sep 2026H Feyenoord0-7
04 Sep 2026A Sparta Rotterdam2-2
29 Aug 2026H NEC Nijmegen1-3
22 Aug 2026A Heerenveen2-0
16 Aug 2026A Twente1-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 82% vs implied 85% · edge -2.5 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
PEC Zwolle Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Groningen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
PEC Zwolle to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Groningen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Groningen's recent matches show a perfect 100% BTTS rate and an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating open and attacking games that generate numerous corners. PEC Zwolle mirrors the 80% over 2.5 goals rate, reinforcing the expectation of a high-tempo match with frequent set-piece situations.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Groningen wins
6Draws
3PEC Zwolle wins
13 Mar 2026PEC Zwolle v Groningen1-1
23 Nov 2025Groningen v PEC Zwolle2-2
18 May 2025PEC Zwolle v Groningen2-0
08 Dec 2024Groningen v PEC Zwolle0-0
05 Aug 2023PEC Zwolle v Groningen0-0
20 Feb 2022PEC Zwolle v Groningen1-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
PEC Zwolle to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Groningen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The ten previous meetings average 1.5 goals per game, a moderate scoring rate that suggests competitive but open encounters. While not overwhelmingly high scoring, the matches have featured enough attacking moments to support a higher corner count, especially given current season attacking trends.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eredivisie

Groningen6
Played
PEC Zwolle6
Groningen2
Avg goals for
PEC Zwolle1
Groningen2.2
Avg goals against
PEC Zwolle2.8
Groningen0
Clean sheets
PEC Zwolle1
Best odds for this sectionPEC Zwolle Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 33% · edge +8.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Groningen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
PEC Zwolle to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Groningen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Season-long data shows both teams consistently generate around 4.2 corners per game, with Groningen's attacking output slightly higher. The high over 2.5 goals rates and BTTS percentages underline an offensive style prone to creating corner opportunities through sustained pressure and wing play.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Groningen86222-1
16PEC Zwolle46114-11
Groningen sits mid-table with 8 points, while PEC Zwolle struggles near the relegation zone with 4 points. The standings suggest Groningen may push to consolidate their position, while PEC Zwolle will seek attacking chances to improve results, likely increasing offensive actions and corner counts.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Groningen Over 2.5
80%PEC Zwolle Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 1.5, indicating moderate scoring but not low enough to suppress attacking intent. Both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates at 80% suggest a tempo favoring multiple goal and corner opportunities, driven by open play and transitions.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Groningen v PEC Zwolle prediction

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