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Groningen crestGroningen
v
PEC Zwolle crestPEC Zwolle

Eredivisie | Fri 18 Sep, 19:00

Groningen v PEC Zwolle Stats

Data last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026, 20:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Groningen face PEC Zwolle in Eredivisie on Fri 18 Sep, 19:00. Groningen have scored nine of their 12 league goals before half-time, accounting for 75% of their total and giving this fixture a clear early attacking theme. Groningen and PEC Zwolle arrive with similar form, leaving fine margins likely to decide the result.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS Yes

  • At 40/85, BTTS Yes implies roughly 68%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Groningen's early scoring strength and Zwolle's defensive frailties support Both Teams To Score.
  • Groningen show a 100% BTTS rate and PEC Zwolle show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Groningen average 2 goals scored and PEC Zwolle average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for BTTS Yes sits against roughly 68% implied by the current price. Groningen show a 100% BTTS rate and PEC Zwolle show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Groningen's early scoring strength and Zwolle's defensive frailties support Both Teams To Score.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 68% implied
Positive
Groningen show a 100% BTTS rate and PEC Zwolle show.Visible data support
Positive
Groningen average 2 goals scored and PEC Zwolle average 1.2.Visible data support
Positive
Groningen's early scoring strength and Zwolle's defensive frailties support.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because groningen's early scoring strength and Zwolle's defensive frailties support Both Teams To Score. Groningen show a that shared-scoring rate rate and PEC Zwolle show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Recent draws between these sides suggest a tight scoreline, but this exact prediction is fragile to any score variation.

Main risk

Recent draws between these sides suggest a tight scoreline, but this exact prediction is fragile to any score variation.

Key Data Signals

BTTS Yes evidence

Groningen's early scoring strength and Zwolle's defensive frailties support Both Teams To Score.

Groningen show a 100% BTTS rate and PEC Zwolle show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Groningen average 2 goals scored and PEC Zwolle average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS Yes notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Groningen2
Avg goals scored
PEC Zwolle1.2
Groningen2.4
Avg goals conceded
PEC Zwolle3
Groningen100%
BTTS rate
PEC Zwolle60%
Groningen80%
Over 2.5 goals
PEC Zwolle80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 100% for Groningen and 60% for PEC Zwolle, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Eredivisie analysisfull betting preview for Groningen v PEC Zwollecorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
PEC Zwolle Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
PEC Zwolle to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
5
Check odds @ 5
Groningen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Groningen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Groningen

DDLLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 2L
12 Sep 2026A GO Ahead Eagles1-1
06 Sep 2026H Twente2-2
28 Aug 2026H Fortuna Sittard2-3
23 Aug 2026A PSV Eindhoven1-5
16 Aug 2026A ADO Den Haag4-1

PEC Zwolle

LDLWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 4L
13 Sep 2026H Feyenoord0-7
04 Sep 2026A Sparta Rotterdam2-2
29 Aug 2026H NEC Nijmegen1-3
22 Aug 2026A Heerenveen2-0
16 Aug 2026A Twente1-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 44% · edge +10.1 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 82%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
PEC Zwolle Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
PEC Zwolle to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
5
Check odds @ 5
Groningen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Groningen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Groningen Over 2.5
80%PEC Zwolle Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Groningen sit at 80% and PEC Zwolle sit at 80% with the H2H average at 1.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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