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Huesca crestHuesca

Friendlies Clubs | Thu 13 Aug, 19:00

Gimnastic v Huesca Stats

Data last updated: Wed 12 Aug 2026, 08:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly fixture between Gimnastic and Huesca offers a chance for both sides to build fitness and test tactics ahead of the new season. Huesca arrives in strong recent form, having collected maximum points in their last matches and demonstrating solid defensive organization. Gimnastic has struggled to find the net consistently and concedes more frequently, indicating a potential tactical mismatch. The game is expected to be competitive but with Huesca likely to control tempo and create more scoring opportunities, setting the stage for an away win.

BT4Y best bet

Huesca to Win

  • Huesca has a 70% to win, significantly higher than the implied suggest.
  • Gimnastic has scored only 0.67 goals per game recently, while Huesca averages 1.75 goals per game.
  • Huesca concedes just 0.25 goals on average, showing strong defensive form compared to Gimnastic's 1.33.
  • Huesca has maintained a 25% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking potential.
  • Gimnastic's recent form includes no wins and a high rate of matches with both teams scoring, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Huesca to win based on their superior recent form, stronger defensive record, and higher goal-scoring rate compared to Gimnastic. The offer good value given the 27.4% positive edge, reflecting a mismatch in quality and tactical execution. Although this is a friendly, Huesca's consistent performances and defensive solidity underpin in their victory. No data limitations affect this assessment, making the pick a solid choice for standard staking.

Recent formHuesca 9 points vs Gimnastic 2 points
Strong positive
Goals scored per gameHuesca 1.75 vs Gimnastic 0.67
Strong positive
Goals conceded per gameHuesca 0.25 vs Gimnastic 1.33
Strong positive
Value edge27.4% positive
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Huesca's superior recent form and defensive strength make them the clear favorite in this friendly. Their ability to limit goals conceded while maintaining attacking threat suggests they can control the match tempo and secure the win. Gimnastic's struggles in front of goal and defensive lapses further support backing Huesca to win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Huesca's consistent defensive discipline and attacking efficiency set them apart in this matchup, making them the logical choice for victory despite the friendly status of the game.”

Key Data Signals

Huesca to Win evidence

Huesca has a 70% to win, significantly higher than the implied suggest.

Gimnastic has scored only 0.67 goals per game recently, while Huesca averages 1.75 goals per game.

Huesca concedes just 0.25 goals on average, showing strong defensive form compared to Gimnastic's 1.33.

Huesca has maintained a 25% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Huesca to Win notes

  • Over the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.71, indicating relatively low-scoring encounters.
  • Huesca's recent matches show a 25% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting that while goals may be limited, there is potential for a moderate scoring game driven by Huesca's attacking intent in this friendly.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Gimnastic0.67
Avg goals scored
Huesca1.75
Gimnastic1.33
Avg goals conceded
Huesca0.25
Gimnastic67%
BTTS rate
Huesca0%
Gimnastic0%
Over 2.5 goals
Huesca25%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 54% · edge +11.9 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Recent data shows Gimnastic has a high rate of both teams scoring (67%), while Huesca has a low BTTS rate and a moderate over 2.5 goals rate (25%). This suggests a match where Huesca may control scoring opportunities, potentially limiting Gimnastic's chances and reducing the likelihood of both teams scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickHuesca to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
Huesca Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The current for Huesca to win at 2.35 offer strong value compared to the model's 70% win probability. This positive indicates the market underestimates Huesca's chances, making the bet attractive for standard stakes without price sensitivity concerns.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Gimnastic

DDL
Last 50W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 1L
08 Aug 2026H Girona1-1
01 Aug 2026A Olot1-1
25 Jul 2026H FC Andorra0-2

Huesca

WLWW
Last 53W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 1L
07 Aug 2026H FC Andorra4-0
04 Aug 2026H UD Logroñés0-1
01 Aug 2026A Real Sociedad II2-0
25 Jul 2026H Petro de Luanda1-0
Market aligned with main pickHuesca to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Huesca Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Huesca's recent form is strong, with maximum points and a solid defensive record, contrasting with Gimnastic's lower points tally and higher goals conceded. This form disparity highlights Huesca's momentum and readiness, supporting in their ability to secure a win in this friendly encounter.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Gimnastic wins
3Draws
2Huesca wins
04 Dec 2024Gimnastic v Huesca0-1
10 Aug 2024Gimnastic v Huesca1-0
03 Aug 2022Gimnastic v Huesca2-2
27 May 2018Huesca v Gimnastic0-1
23 Dec 2017Gimnastic v Huesca1-2
28 Jan 2017Gimnastic v Huesca0-0
Market aligned with main pickHuesca to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The seven previous meetings between Gimnastic and Huesca have averaged 1.71 goals per game, indicating generally tight contests. While this history suggests cautious play, Huesca's current form and defensive strength provide a stronger basis for expecting them to secure the win in this encounter.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Gimnastic3
Played
Huesca4
Gimnastic0.7
Avg goals for
Huesca1.8
Gimnastic1.3
Avg goals against
Huesca0.3
Gimnastic0
Clean sheets
Huesca3
Market aligned with main pickHuesca to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
Huesca Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Seasonal statistics reflect Huesca's superior attacking output and defensive resilience, scoring 1.75 goals per game while conceding only 0.25. Gimnastic's lower scoring and higher concession rates underline their struggles, reinforcing the expectation that Huesca will control the match and emerge victorious.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Gimnastic Over 2.5
25%Huesca Over 2.5
1.71H2H avg goals
Over the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.71, indicating relatively low-scoring encounters. Huesca's recent matches show a 25% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting that while goals may be limited, there is potential for a moderate scoring game driven by Huesca's attacking intent in this friendly.

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