Football Stats Hub

GIL Vicente crestGIL Vicente
v
Rio Ave crestRio Ave

Primeira Liga | Sun 09 Aug, 20:30

GIL Vicente v Rio Ave Stats

Data last updated: Sat 08 Aug 2026, 08:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

GIL Vicente face Rio Ave in Primeira Liga on Sun 09 Aug, 20:30. A persistent draw pattern dominates recent head-to-heads with four consecutive league draws and five of six meetings ending level. When two unbeaten trends collide, somebody usually has to blink — unless, of course, these two simply draw again.

BT4Y best bet

Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave 1-1

  • At 5/2, Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave 1-1 implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 44%.
  • Defensive concession rates and key attacking threats from Murilo de Souza and Jalen Blesa support both teams scoring once without a runaway winner.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 44% for Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave 1-1 sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Defensive concession rates and key attacking threats from Murilo de Souza and Jalen Blesa support both teams scoring once without a runaway winner.

Model chance vs price44% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Strong positive
Defensive concession rates and key attacking threats from Murilo.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because defensive concession rates and key attacking threats from Murilo de Souza and Jalen Blesa support both teams scoring once without a runaway winner. Rio Ave have also altered personnel but possess greater continuity on the touchline through Silaidopoulos.

Main risk

Rio Ave have also altered personnel but possess greater continuity on the touchline through Silaidopoulos.

Key Data Signals

Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave 1-1 evidence

Defensive concession rates and key attacking threats from Murilo de Souza and Jalen Blesa support both teams scoring.

What To Watch In The Data

Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave 1-1 notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

GIL Vicente-
Avg goals scored
Rio Ave-
GIL Vicente-
Avg goals conceded
Rio Ave-
GIL Vicente-
BTTS rate
Rio Ave-
GIL Vicente-
Over 2.5 goals
Rio Ave-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 50% vs implied 56% · edge -5.6 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Primeira Liga analysisrelated match predictionplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 50% vs implied 56% · edge -5.6 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Rio Ave to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Rio Ave Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
GIL Vicente Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
GIL Vicente to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

GIL Vicente

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for GIL Vicente yet.

Rio Ave

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Rio Ave yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Rio Ave to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Rio Ave Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
GIL Vicente Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
GIL Vicente to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2GIL Vicente wins
6Draws
2Rio Ave wins
03 May 2026Rio Ave v GIL Vicente0-0
20 Dec 2025GIL Vicente v Rio Ave2-2
02 Aug 2025GIL Vicente v Rio Ave3-1
16 May 2025Rio Ave v GIL Vicente1-1
06 Jan 2025GIL Vicente v Rio Ave1-1
24 Jul 2024GIL Vicente v Rio Ave2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 50% vs implied 56% · edge -5.6 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Rio Ave to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
GIL Vicente to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Primeira Liga

GIL Vicente0
Played
Rio Ave0
GIL Vicente0
Avg goals for
Rio Ave0
GIL Vicente0
Avg goals against
Rio Ave0
GIL Vicente0
Clean sheets
Rio Ave0
Best odds for this sectionRio Ave to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +14.7 pts
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Load more odds for this section
Rio Ave Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
GIL Vicente Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
GIL Vicente to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Season data supports Rio Ave to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6GIL Vicente000000
7Rio Ave000000
GIL Vicente sit in position 6, while Rio Ave sit in position 7, so table pressure belongs in the Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave 1-1 assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-GIL Vicente Over 2.5
-Rio Ave Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Defensive concession rates and key attacking threats from Murilo de Souza and Jalen Blesa support both teams scoring once without a runaway winner.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

GIL Vicente v Rio Ave prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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