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Ghana crestGhana
v
Panama crestPanama

World Cup | Thu 18 Jun, 00:00

Ghana v Panama Stats

Data last updated: Wed 16 Sep 2026, 14:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ghana face Panama in World Cup on Thu 18 Jun, 00:00. Group L Opens With Nerves, Speed and a Serious Test of Control. Ghana scored 16 goals across their last six matches, yet Panama are undefeated in 12 consecutive competitive matches.

BT4Y best bet

The Draw ( 23/10) Opening matches in a World Cup group sequence carry immense emotional and tactical caution

  • At 2.2, The Draw ( 23/10) Opening matches in a World Cup group sequence carry immense emotional and tactical caution implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • The key question is whether Ghana can turn athletic advantage into clean chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 50% for The Draw ( 23/10) Opening matches in a World Cup group sequence carry immense emotional and tactical caution sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. The key question is whether Ghana can turn athletic advantage into clean chances.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Neutral
The key question is whether Ghana can turn athletic.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +4.5 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because the key question is whether Ghana can turn athletic advantage into clean chances. Given the extreme 29°C conditions and tournament opening nerves, both sides are likely to play with heightened caution, paving the way for a cagey stalemate.

Main risk

Given the extreme 29°C conditions and tournament opening nerves, both sides are likely to play with heightened caution, paving the way for a cagey stalemate.

Key Data Signals

The Draw ( 23/10) Opening matches in a World Cup group sequence carry immense emotional and tactical caution evidence

The key question is whether Ghana can turn athletic advantage into clean chances.

What To Watch In The Data

The Draw ( 23/10) Opening matches in a World Cup group sequence carry immense emotional and tactical caution notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ghana-
Avg goals scored
Panama-
Ghana-
Avg goals conceded
Panama-
Ghana-
BTTS rate
Panama-
Ghana-
Over 2.5 goals
Panama-
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 46% · edge +4.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 32%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 46% · edge +4.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Panama Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Ghana to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Ghana Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ghana

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Ghana yet.

Panama

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Panama yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 77% · edge -6.5 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Panama Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Ghana to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Ghana Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Panama to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Ghana wins
0Draws
0Panama wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 46% · edge +4.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Ghana to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Panama to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Over 2.5 Goals, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

World Cup

Ghana4
Played
Panama3
Ghana0.5
Avg goals for
Panama0
Ghana0.8
Avg goals against
Panama1.3
Ghana2
Clean sheets
Panama0
Best odds for this sectionPanama Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 44% · edge -1.5 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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Ghana to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Ghana Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Panama to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Season data supports Panama Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Ghana431110
4Panama03003-4
3Ghana431110
World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Ghana Over 2.5
-Panama Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The key question is whether Ghana can turn athletic advantage into clean chances.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Ghana v Panama prediction

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Next step

Betting context

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