Football Stats Hub

Gent crestGent
v
KV Mechelen crestKV Mechelen

Jupiler Pro League | Sun 09 Aug, 12:30

Gent v KV Mechelen Stats

Data last updated: Sat 08 Aug 2026, 08:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Gent face KV Mechelen in Jupiler Pro League on Sun 09 Aug, 12:30.

BT4Y best bet

KV Mechelen to Win

  • At 3.6, KV Mechelen to Win implies roughly 28%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 41%.
  • Gent sit 10 in the table, while KV Mechelen sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 41% for KV Mechelen to Win sits against roughly 28% implied by the current price. Gent sit 10 in the table, while KV Mechelen sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Model chance vs price41% model chance against roughly 28% implied
Positive
Gent sit 10 in the table, while KV Mechelen sit.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +13.2 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: KV Mechelen Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Gent sit 10 in the table, while KV Mechelen sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

KV Mechelen to Win evidence

Gent sit 10 in the table, while KV Mechelen sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

KV Mechelen to Win notes

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Gent wins
    3Draws
    2KV Mechelen wins
    03 May 2026KV Mechelen v Gent1-0
    06 Apr 2026Gent v KV Mechelen1-1
    08 Mar 2026Gent v KV Mechelen3-1
    16 Aug 2025KV Mechelen v Gent1-1
    07 Feb 2025KV Mechelen v Gent3-3
    15 Sep 2024Gent v KV Mechelen2-0
    Market aligned with main pickKV Mechelen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 28% · edge +13.2 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    The head-to-head sample gives context for KV Mechelen to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Gent

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Gent yet.

    KV Mechelen

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for KV Mechelen yet.

    Market aligned with main pickKV Mechelen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 28% · edge +13.2 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    KV Mechelen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Gent-
    Avg goals scored
    KV Mechelen-
    Gent-
    Avg goals conceded
    KV Mechelen-
    Gent-
    BTTS rate
    KV Mechelen-
    Gent-
    Over 2.5 goals
    KV Mechelen-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickKV Mechelen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 28% · edge +13.2 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    KV Mechelen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    KV Mechelen to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Jupiler Pro League

    Gent0
    Played
    KV Mechelen0
    Gent0
    Avg goals for
    KV Mechelen0
    Gent0
    Avg goals against
    KV Mechelen0
    Gent0
    Clean sheets
    KV Mechelen0
    Market aligned with main pickKV Mechelen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 28% · edge +13.2 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    KV Mechelen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Season data supports KV Mechelen to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    10Gent000000
    11KV Mechelen000000
    Gent sit in position 10, while KV Mechelen sit in position 11, so table pressure belongs in the KV Mechelen to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Gent Over 2.5
    -KV Mechelen Over 2.5
    3.1H2H avg goals

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

    Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

    More stats pages

    Standard Liege v Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League · Sat 08 Aug 17:15KVC Westerlo v Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League · Sat 08 Aug 19:45St. Truiden v Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League · Sat 08 Aug 19:45Zulte Waregem v GenkJupiler Pro League · Sun 09 Aug 15:00

    Competition and hubs

    player stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre