Football Stats Hub

Genoa crestGenoa
v
Frosinone crestFrosinone

Serie A | Sat 12 Sep, 14:00

Genoa v Frosinone Stats

Data last updated: Mon 05 Oct 2026, 06:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Genoa face Frosinone in Serie A on Sat 12 Sep, 14:00. Defensive records and recent goals support backing both sides to score in this fixture.

BT4Y match pick

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 4/6, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 56%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Genoa show a 33% BTTS rate and Frosinone show a 33% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Genoa average 0.33 goals scored and Frosinone average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 56% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Genoa show a 33% BTTS rate and Frosinone show a 33% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price56% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Negative
Genoa show a 33% BTTS rate and Frosinone show a.Visible data support
Positive
Genoa average 0.33 goals scored and Frosinone average 2, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Genoa show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Frosinone show a 33% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Genoa have struggled to manufacture good openings, but Frosinone have repeatedly allowed opponents to shoot.

Main risk

Genoa have struggled to manufacture good openings, but Frosinone have repeatedly allowed opponents to shoot.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Genoa show a 33% BTTS rate and Frosinone show a 33% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Genoa average 0.33 goals scored and Frosinone average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Genoa0.33
Avg goals scored
Frosinone2
Genoa2.33
Avg goals conceded
Frosinone1
Genoa33%
BTTS rate
Frosinone33%
Genoa33%
Over 2.5 goals
Frosinone67%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 59% · edge -3.3 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 35%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price: the BTTS rates are 33% for Genoa and 33% for Frosinone, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 59% · edge -3.3 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Frosinone Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Frosinone to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Genoa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Genoa

LLL
Last 50W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 3L
04 Sep 2026H Como1-4
30 Aug 2026A Lazio0-1
22 Aug 2026H Napoli0-2

Frosinone

WWL
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
06 Sep 2026H Venezia3-2
29 Aug 2026A Fiorentina3-0
23 Aug 2026H Juventus0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Frosinone Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Frosinone to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Genoa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Genoa to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%Genoa Over 2.5
67%Frosinone Over 2.5
2.75H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Genoa sit at 33% and Frosinone sit at 67% with the H2H average at 2.75 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Loading deeper match data…