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Frosinone crestFrosinone

Serie A | Sat 12 Sep, 14:00

Genoa v Frosinone Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Genoa face Frosinone at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris following a challenging start to the Serie A season with three consecutive defeats and just one goal scored. Frosinone arrive in better form, having secured two wins and scoring six goals in their last two matches, led by Antonio Raimondo's prolific scoring. Despite Frosinone's momentum, their defense has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 20 shots per game. Genoa's attack has struggled to create chances but will find more shooting opportunities against this porous defense. This clash presents a tactical battle between Genoa's need to capitalize on chances and Frosinone's attacking threat against a leaky defense.

BT4Y match pick

Both Teams to Score

  • Frosinone concede an average of 20 shots per game, offering Genoa more shooting chances.
  • Genoa have conceded seven goals in three matches without a clean sheet.
  • Antonio Raimondo has scored four of Frosinone's six league goals, driving their attack.
  • Both teams have scored in only one of Genoa's last three and two of Frosinone's last three matches.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick is supported by Genoa's defensive frailty, having conceded seven goals in three matches, and Frosinone's high volume of shots conceded, averaging 20 per game. Frosinone's attack, led by Antonio Raimondo, has been productive with six goals in recent games. While Genoa's attacking output has been limited, the defensive vulnerabilities on both sides create a strong likelihood of goals at both ends. The price is slightly short, so cautious staking is advised, but the football context justifies backing BTTS here.

Genoa Defensive Weakness7 goals conceded in 3 matches
Strong positive
Frosinone Shot Concession20 shots conceded per game
Strong positive
Frosinone Attack6 goals in last 2 matches, Raimondo 4 goals
Positive
Genoa Attacking OutputLimited chance creation, 1 goal in 3 matches
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities that make goals at both ends plausible. Genoa's defensive struggles and Frosinone's attacking momentum, especially through Raimondo, suggest a lively match with scoring opportunities for both sides. This BTTS pick aligns well with the tactical and statistical profile of the fixture.

Main risk

Genoa have struggled to manufacture good openings, but Frosinone have repeatedly allowed opponents to shoot.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Genoa's porous defense combined with Frosinone's attacking threat, spearheaded by Raimondo, sets the stage for goals at both ends. The defensive openness on both sides makes Both Teams to Score a logical choice despite Genoa's limited attacking form.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Frosinone concede an average of 20 shots per game, offering Genoa more shooting chances.

Antonio Raimondo has scored four of Frosinone's six league goals, driving their attack.

Both teams have scored in only one of Genoa's last three and two of Frosinone's last three matches.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last eight head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.75, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Recent matches show both teams capable of scoring, with Frosinone's attacking momentum and Genoa's defensive issues contributing to an expectation of goals.
  • This trend supports the possibility of Over 2.5 goals and aligns with the Both Teams to Score selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Genoa0.33
Avg goals scored
Frosinone2
Genoa2.33
Avg goals conceded
Frosinone1
Genoa33%
BTTS rate
Frosinone33%
Genoa33%
Over 2.5 goals
Frosinone67%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 59% · edge -3.3 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 35%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Both Genoa and Frosinone have shown tendencies to concede goals, with Genoa failing to keep a clean sheet in their three matches and Frosinone conceding a high volume of shots. Frosinone's attack, led by Raimondo, has been productive, while Genoa's limited scoring is offset by Frosinone's defensive generosity, making goals at both ends likely.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 59% · edge -3.3 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Frosinone Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Frosinone to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Genoa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Genoa to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.67 with an implied probability of 60%, slightly above the model's 55.5% chance, indicating a price-sensitive but still reasonable selection. The slight shortness suggests cautious staking, but the defensive frailties and attacking threats justify the pick as a viable option.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Genoa4
Avg corners for
Frosinone4.33
Genoa8.33
Avg total corners
Frosinone11.67
Genoa2
Avg yellow cards
Frosinone2.33
Genoa10
Avg shots
Frosinone12
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 56% · edge +6.9 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Frosinone concede many shots and corners, with opponents generating sustained pressure and set-piece opportunities despite their recent wins. Genoa's defensive lapses have allowed multiple goal-scoring chances, while both teams average around four corners per game. The fouling rates are moderate, suggesting open play with chances created from wide areas and set pieces.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Genoa

LLL
Last 50W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 3L
04 Sep 2026H Como1-4
30 Aug 2026A Lazio0-1
22 Aug 2026H Napoli0-2

Frosinone

WWL
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
06 Sep 2026H Venezia3-2
29 Aug 2026A Fiorentina3-0
23 Aug 2026H Juventus0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Frosinone Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Frosinone to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Genoa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Genoa to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Frosinone have collected six points from three matches, scoring six goals and conceding three, showing attacking efficiency but defensive susceptibility. Genoa have yet to earn points, scoring only once and conceding seven, reflecting struggles in both attack and defense. This form contrast underlines Frosinone's momentum and Genoa's need to exploit defensive gaps to find goals.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Genoa wins
3Draws
2Frosinone wins
30 Mar 2024Genoa v Frosinone1-1
26 Nov 2023Frosinone v Genoa2-1
13 May 2023Frosinone v Genoa3-2
18 Dec 2022Genoa v Frosinone1-0
03 Mar 2019Genoa v Frosinone0-0
30 Sep 2018Frosinone v Genoa1-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 59% · edge -3.3 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Frosinone to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Genoa to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The recent head-to-head record between Genoa and Frosinone shows a moderately high average of 2.75 goals per game over eight matches, with Frosinone winning two and drawing one of the last three encounters. This history suggests a competitive fixture with goals likely at both ends, though the sample size is moderate and current form and defensive records provide stronger signals for this match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Genoa3
Played
Frosinone3
Genoa0.3
Avg goals for
Frosinone2
Genoa2.3
Avg goals against
Frosinone1
Genoa0
Clean sheets
Frosinone1
Best odds for this sectionFrosinone Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Frosinone to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Genoa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Genoa to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Genoa's season stats reveal a low expected goals tally (1.87 over three matches) and no clean sheets, indicating offensive struggles and defensive frailty. Frosinone have scored six goals in two recent matches but concede a high volume of shots, suggesting an open style that can produce goals at both ends. These season-long trends support the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Frosinone632013
19Genoa03003-6
Frosinone sit comfortably in 7th place with six points, reflecting their strong start and attacking form. Genoa are 19th with no points, highlighting early-season difficulties. While league position shows Frosinone's better form, the defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest this match could be open and competitive despite the standings gap.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%Genoa Over 2.5
67%Frosinone Over 2.5
2.75H2H avg goals
Over the last eight head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.75, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Recent matches show both teams capable of scoring, with Frosinone's attacking momentum and Genoa's defensive issues contributing to an expectation of goals. This trend supports the possibility of Over 2.5 goals and aligns with the Both Teams to Score selection.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Genoa v Frosinone prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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