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Genoa crestGenoa
v
Como crestComo

Serie A | Fri 04 Sep, 19:45

Genoa v Como Stats

Data last updated: Tue 22 Sep 2026, 04:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Genoa face Como in Serie A on Fri 04 Sep, 19:45. Genoa are without a league victory in seven matches and have lost the last four, with their most recent Serie A win dating back to mid-April.

BT4Y best bet

Como to Win

  • At 4/5, Como to Win implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 56%.
  • Genoa vs Como: Hosts’ attacking shortage meets a confident away side.
  • Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Genoa.
  • Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Como to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Genoa sit 19 in the table, while Como sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 56% for Como to Win sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Genoa. Genoa vs Como: Hosts’ attacking shortage meets a confident away side.

Model chance vs price56% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Neutral
Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Genoa vs Como: Hosts’ attacking shortage meets a confident.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Como Win is the preferred angle because genoa vs Como: Hosts’ attacking shortage meets a confident away side. Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Genoa. Lorenzo Colombo is expected to continue up front despite failing to hit the target so far, so the challenge is not simply to improve finishing but to give the attack more worthwhile.

Main risk

Lorenzo Colombo is expected to continue up front despite failing to hit the target so far, so the challenge is not simply to improve finishing but to give the attack more worthwhile.

Key Data Signals

Como to Win evidence

Genoa vs Como: Hosts’ attacking shortage meets a confident away side.

Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Genoa.

Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Como Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Genoa sit 19 in the table, while Como sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Como to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Genoa3.5
    Avg corners for
    Como8.5
    Genoa8
    Avg total corners
    Como10
    Genoa2
    Avg yellow cards
    Como0
    Genoa9.5
    Avg shots
    Como20.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +13.4 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 51%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 4.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 44%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    Serie A fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Genoa v Comocorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Genoa0
    Avg goals scored
    Como1.5
    Genoa1.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Como1
    Genoa0%
    BTTS rate
    Como100%
    Genoa0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Como50%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickComo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 57% · edge -1.1 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 64%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Como Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 51%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Como to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Genoa

    LL
    Last 50W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 2L
    30 Aug 2026A Lazio0-1
    22 Aug 2026H Napoli0-2

    Como

    WD
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    30 Aug 2026A Napoli2-1
    22 Aug 2026A Udinese1-1
    Market aligned with main pickComo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 57% · edge -1.1 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Como Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 80%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Genoa wins
    4Draws
    2Como wins
    26 Apr 2026Genoa v Como0-2
    15 Sep 2025Como v Genoa1-1
    27 Apr 2025Como v Genoa1-0
    07 Nov 2024Genoa v Como1-1
    10 Apr 2023como v Genoa2-2
    13 Nov 2022Genoa v como1-1
    Market aligned with main pickComo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 57% · edge -1.1 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 64%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Como to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Serie A

    Genoa5
    Played
    Como5
    Genoa0.6
    Avg goals for
    Como1.8
    Genoa2
    Avg goals against
    Como1.2
    Genoa0
    Clean sheets
    Como0
    Market aligned with main pickComo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 57% · edge -1.1 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Como Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Season data supports Como to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    8Como1053113
    19Genoa15014-7
    Genoa sit in position 19, while Como sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the Como to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Genoa Over 2.5
    50%Como Over 2.5
    2.17H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Genoa sit at 0% and Como sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2.17 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Genoa v Como prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Serie A hubSerie A fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Genoa v Comocorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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