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Fulham crestFulham
v
Hull City crestHull City

Premier League | Sat 17 Oct, 15:00

Fulham v Hull City Stats

Data last updated: Mon 09 Nov 2026, 05:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fulham face Hull City in Premier League on Sat 17 Oct, 15:00. Fulham vs Hull City Preview: Cottagers Target First Premier League Win Against Resilient Tigers. Fulham's recent lack of wins contrasts with Hull's single victory in last five matches.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Over 2

  • At 8/11, Over 2 implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 52%.
  • The prediction for over 2.5 goals is based on both teams' defensive struggles and Fulham's strong home scoring.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Fulham and 60% for Hull City, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Hull City are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Fulham at 0.8.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Fulham and 60% for Hull City show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
Price warning

Over 2 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 58% while the model sits nearer 52% (-6.4 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 4.5 Cards shows a +15 pts edge at 2.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 52% for Over 2 sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Fulham and 60% for Hull City, so the goals angle is not just a price call. The prediction for over 2.5 goals is based on both teams' defensive struggles and Fulham's strong home scoring.

Model chance vs price52% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Negative
The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Fulham and 60%.Visible data support
Positive
Hull City are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
The prediction for over 2.5 goals is based on.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because the prediction for over 2.5 goals is based on both teams' defensive struggles and Fulham's strong home scoring. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Fulham and 60% for Hull City, so the goals angle is not just a price call. However, Hull's direct playing style and ability to compete physically could make this a difficult afternoon for the hosts.

Main risk

However, Hull's direct playing style and ability to compete physically could make this a difficult afternoon for the hosts.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

The prediction for over 2.5 goals is based on both teams' defensive struggles and Fulham's strong home scoring.

The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Fulham and 60% for Hull City, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Hull City are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Fulham at 0.8.

BTTS rates of 60% for Fulham and 60% for Hull City show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fulham0.8
Avg goals scored
Hull City1.2
Fulham1.4
Avg goals conceded
Hull City1.2
Fulham60%
BTTS rate
Hull City60%
Fulham40%
Over 2.5 goals
Hull City60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 58% · edge -6.3 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for Fulham and 60% for Hull City, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Premier League fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 58% · edge -6.3 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Hull City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Hull City to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Fulham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 2.5 Goals is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fulham

LDDLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 4L
10 Oct 2026A Ipswich1-2
20 Sep 2026H Manchester United1-1
12 Sep 2026A Liverpool0-0
05 Sep 2026H Crystal Palace2-3
30 Aug 2026A Sunderland0-1

Hull City

DLDDW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 1L
11 Oct 2026H Everton2-2
19 Sep 2026A Newcastle1-2
12 Sep 2026A Chelsea2-2
05 Sep 2026H Aston Villa0-0
29 Aug 2026A Coventry1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Hull City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Hull City to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Fulham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Fulham to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Fulham Over 2.5
60%Hull City Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Fulham sit at 40% and Hull City sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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