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AFC Wimbledon crestAFC Wimbledon

League Cup | Thu 27 Aug, 20:00

Fulham v AFC Wimbledon Stats

Data last updated: Wed 26 Aug 2026, 08:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This League Cup fixture features Fulham hosting AFC Wimbledon in a match where AFC Wimbledon have shown resilience and tactical discipline in recent outings. Fulham's data is limited, making it harder to assess their current form fully, but AFC Wimbledon have demonstrated solid defensive organization and the ability to frustrate opponents. The stakes are high as both teams seek progression, with AFC Wimbledon likely to adopt a cautious approach aiming to avoid defeat and capitalize on counter-attacks. The tactical setup and recent defensive solidity suggest a competitive contest with a strong chance of AFC Wimbledon avoiding loss.

BT4Y best bet

AFC Wimbledon or Draw

  • AFC Wimbledon have earned points recently and show defensive solidity.
  • Fulham's limited data sample increases uncertainty about their attacking threat.
  • AFC Wimbledon average 7 corners and 2 yellows per game, indicating active but disciplined play.
  • AFC Wimbledon’s shot volume and accuracy are solid, supporting their chance to avoid defeat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors AFC Wimbledon or Draw with a 75.6% chance, reflecting their defensive strength and recent form. The market price offers significant value, with an implied chance of just 22.2%, creating a 53.4% . AFC Wimbledon’s consistent shot volume and defensive discipline underpin this . However, Fulham’s limited data means line-ups and tactical changes could influence the outcome, so caution is advised. The pick remains attractive given AFC Wimbledon’s ability to absorb pressure and create chances on the break.

Model Chance75.6%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance22.2%
Strong positive
Value Edge53.4%
Strong positive
Data QualityLimited Fulham data increases uncertainty
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

AFC Wimbledon’s recent defensive resilience and ability to generate quality shots make them a strong candidate to avoid defeat here. Fulham’s uncertain form and limited data reduce in their attacking threat, tipping the balance toward a cautious AFC Wimbledon or Draw outcome. This bet aligns with tactical and statistical signals pointing to a tight contest favoring the underdog’s defensive discipline.

Main risk

The hosts’ defensive performance on Monday leaves room for scrutiny, but the visitors have offered little attacking evidence so far that they are equipped to exploit those vulnerabilities consistently.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and statistical analysis

“AFC Wimbledon’s disciplined defensive shape and steady shot creation provide a compelling case for them to avoid defeat against a Fulham side with unclear attacking form. Their ability to frustrate and counter effectively is key in this cup tie.”

Key Data Signals

AFC Wimbledon or Draw evidence

AFC Wimbledon have earned points recently and show defensive solidity.

Fulham's limited data sample increases uncertainty about their attacking threat.

AFC Wimbledon average 7 corners and 2 yellows per game, indicating active but disciplined play.

AFC Wimbledon’s shot volume and accuracy are solid, supporting their chance to avoid defeat.

What To Watch In The Data

AFC Wimbledon or Draw notes

  • Over the last five matches, AFC Wimbledon have featured low-scoring games with an Over 2.5 Goals rate of 0%, indicating tight defensive battles.
  • The trend suggests a controlled tempo with limited goal opportunities, supporting a cautious game likely to end in a draw or narrow win for AFC Wimbledon.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fulham-
Avg goals scored
AFC Wimbledon1
Fulham-
Avg goals conceded
AFC Wimbledon1
Fulham-
BTTS rate
AFC Wimbledon100%
Fulham-
Over 2.5 goals
AFC Wimbledon0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
AFC Wimbledon have a 100% BTTS rate in recent matches but a 0% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating low-scoring games with both teams finding the net. This suggests a tactical battle with tight defenses and limited goal-scoring opportunities, supporting a cautious approach favoring a draw or narrow result.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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AFC Wimbledon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
7
Check odds @ 7
AFC Wimbledon to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Fulham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Fulham to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
The AFC Wimbledon or Draw market offers strong value as the model estimates a 75.6% chance, while the market implies only 22.2%. This large discrepancy suggests the market underestimates AFC Wimbledon’s defensive capabilities and recent form. The price is attractive for a cautious bet, with room for further improvement if AFC Wimbledon’s defensive discipline continues.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Fulham-
Avg corners for
AFC Wimbledon7
Fulham-
Avg total corners
AFC Wimbledon12
Fulham-
Avg yellow cards
AFC Wimbledon2
Fulham-
Avg shots
AFC Wimbledon15
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
AFC Wimbledon average 7 corners and 2 yellow cards per game, reflecting active territorial play and disciplined aggression. Their average of 15 shots with 5 on target per match shows consistent offensive pressure, which combined with controlled fouling, supports their ability to maintain defensive shape while threatening on counters.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fulham

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Fulham yet.

AFC Wimbledon

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
08 Aug 2026H Newport County1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
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AFC Wimbledon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
7
Check odds @ 7
AFC Wimbledon to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.04
Check odds @ 1.04
Fulham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Fulham to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Recent form data shows AFC Wimbledon securing a point with a goal scored and conceded, reflecting resilience and balanced play. Fulham’s data is limited, but no points recorded suggest struggles to convert chances. AFC Wimbledon’s consistent defensive performances and ability to create chances underpin in avoiding defeat.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Fulham wins
0Draws
0AFC Wimbledon wins
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
7
Check odds @ 7
AFC Wimbledon to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Fulham to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
No previous head-to-head matches exist between Fulham and AFC Wimbledon, so historical data offers no direct insight. This absence increases reliance on current form, tactical setups, and player-level data to inform expectations for this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League Cup

Fulham0
Played
AFC Wimbledon1
Fulham0
Avg goals for
AFC Wimbledon2
Fulham0
Avg goals against
AFC Wimbledon1
Fulham0
Clean sheets
AFC Wimbledon0
Best odds for this sectionAFC Wimbledon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 14% · edge +15 pts
7
Check odds @ 7
Load more odds for this section
AFC Wimbledon to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Fulham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Fulham to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Season stats highlight AFC Wimbledon’s solid defensive record and moderate attacking output, with consistent corners and shots supporting their tactical approach. Fulham’s limited data prevents full assessment, but their attacking numbers appear less convincing, reinforcing the likelihood of AFC Wimbledon or Draw.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Fulham Over 2.5
0%AFC Wimbledon Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, AFC Wimbledon have featured low-scoring games with an Over 2.5 Goals rate of 0%, indicating tight defensive battles. The trend suggests a controlled tempo with limited goal opportunities, supporting a cautious game likely to end in a draw or narrow win for AFC Wimbledon.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.