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Frosinone crestFrosinone
v
Como crestComo

Serie A | Sun 20 Sep, 14:00

Frosinone v Como Stats

Data last updated: Sun 11 Oct 2026, 00:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Frosinone face Como in Serie A on Sun 20 Sep, 14:00. Como arrive at Stadio Benito Stirpe with an unbeaten Serie A record and considerable attacking momentum, but Frosinone have already shown enough to make this a more awkward assignment than the league table might suggest.

BT4Y best bet

Como to win

  • At 13/2, Como to win implies roughly 13%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 28%.
  • Como often score twice recently, while Frosinone's attack supports a home goal.
  • Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Frosinone.
  • Frosinone have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Como to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Frosinone sit 9 in the table, while Como sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 28% for Como to win sits against roughly 13% implied by the current price. Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Frosinone. Como often score twice recently, while Frosinone's attack supports a home goal.

Model chance vs price28% model chance against roughly 13% implied
Strong positive
Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Frosinone have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Como often score twice recently, while Frosinone's attack supports.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Como Win is the preferred angle because como often score twice recently, while Frosinone's attack supports a home goal. Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Frosinone. They do, however, underline that Frosinone have previously found ways to frustrate this opponent.

Main risk

They do, however, underline that Frosinone have previously found ways to frustrate this opponent.

Key Data Signals

Como to win evidence

Como often score twice recently, while Frosinone's attack supports a home goal.

Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Frosinone.

Frosinone have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Como Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Frosinone sit 9 in the table, while Como sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Como to win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Frosinone1.75
    Avg goals scored
    Como2.25
    Frosinone1
    Avg goals conceded
    Como1
    Frosinone50%
    BTTS rate
    Como100%
    Frosinone50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Como75%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickComo to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 68% · edge -10.2 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 56%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Como Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Como to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Frosinone

    DWWL
    Last 52W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 1L
    12 Sep 2026A Genoa1-1
    06 Sep 2026H Venezia3-2
    29 Aug 2026A Fiorentina3-0
    23 Aug 2026H Juventus0-1

    Como

    WWWD
    Last 53W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 0L
    14 Sep 2026H Parma2-1
    04 Sep 2026A Genoa4-1
    30 Aug 2026A Napoli2-1
    22 Aug 2026A Udinese1-1
    Market aligned with main pickComo to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 68% · edge -10.2 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
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    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 82%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Como Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Frosinone Over 2.5
    75%Como Over 2.5
    2.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Frosinone sit at 50% and Como sit at 75% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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