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France crestFrance
v
Morocco crestMorocco

World Cup | Thu 09 Jul, 21:00

France v Morocco Stats

Data last updated: Wed 08 Jul 2026, 05:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

France face Morocco in World Cup on Thu 09 Jul, 21:00. This is not a group-stage puzzle where a draw can feel useful. France come into this match with five consecutive wins, demonstrating clinical balance by scoring fourteen goals and conceding only twice.

BT4Y best bet

France to Win Regular Time France have displayed absolute authority throughout this campaign, securing five victories from five matches

  • At 4/7, France Win implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 68%.
  • They have the tournament’s leading individual threat in Mbappe, a high-level creator in Olise, another decisive attacker in Dembele and a defensive record that.
  • France have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 11 for Morocco.
  • France have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the France Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 68% for France Win sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. France have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 11 for Morocco. They have the tournament’s leading individual threat in Mbappe, a high-level creator in Olise, another decisive attacker in Dembele and a defensive record that.

Model chance vs price68% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Neutral
France have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points.Visible data support
Positive
France have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
They have the tournament’s leading individual threat in Mbappe.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: France Win is the preferred angle because they have the tournament’s leading individual threat in Mbappe, a high-level creator in Olise, another decisive attacker in Dembele and a defensive record that gives them a platform even when. France have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 11 for Morocco. France deserve their status as the stronger side in this tie, but Morocco are exactly the sort of opponent that can make superiority feel uncomfortable.

Main risk

France deserve their status as the stronger side in this tie, but Morocco are exactly the sort of opponent that can make superiority feel uncomfortable.

Key Data Signals

France Win evidence

They have the tournament’s leading individual threat in Mbappe, a high-level creator in Olise, another decisive attacker in.

France have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 11 for Morocco.

France have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the France Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

France Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    France7.2
    Avg corners for
    Morocco5
    France9.8
    Avg total corners
    Morocco10
    France0.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Morocco1.2
    France17.6
    Avg shots
    Morocco12.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 51% · edge +13.2 pts
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 70%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    more World Cup analysisfull betting preview for France v Moroccocorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    France2.8
    Avg goals scored
    Morocco2
    France0.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Morocco0.8
    France40%
    BTTS rate
    Morocco60%
    France80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Morocco40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 51% · edge +15.4 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 73%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFrance to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 64% · edge +4.2 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 70%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    France Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    France to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    France

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 0D 0L
    04 Jul 2026A Paraguay1-0
    30 Jun 2026H Sweden3-0
    26 Jun 2026A Norway4-1
    22 Jun 2026H Iraq3-0
    16 Jun 2026H Senegal3-1

    Morocco

    WDWWD
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 0L
    04 Jul 2026A Canada3-0
    30 Jun 2026A Netherlands1-1
    24 Jun 2026H Haiti4-2
    19 Jun 2026A Scotland1-0
    13 Jun 2026A Brazil1-1
    Market aligned with main pickFrance to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 64% · edge +4.2 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    France Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1France wins
    0Draws
    0Morocco wins
    14 Dec 2022France v Morocco2-0
    Market aligned with main pickFrance to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 64% · edge +4.2 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    The head-to-head sample gives context for France to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    World Cup

    France5
    Played
    Morocco5
    France2.8
    Avg goals for
    Morocco2.2
    France0.4
    Avg goals against
    Morocco0.8
    France3
    Clean sheets
    Morocco2
    Market aligned with main pickFrance to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 64% · edge +4.2 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    France Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Season data supports France to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Morocco732103
    1France933008
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%France Over 2.5
    40%Morocco Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: France sit at 80% and Morocco sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    France v Morocco prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

    World Cup hubmore World Cup analysisfull betting preview for France v Moroccocorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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