Football Stats Hub

France crestFrance
v
Iraq crestIraq

World Cup | Mon 22 Jun, 22:00

France v Iraq Stats

Data last updated: Mon 03 Aug 2026, 18:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

France face Iraq in World Cup on Mon 22 Jun, 22:00. France face Iraq in Group I at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia. Michael Olise is also in strong form, giving Deschamps another creative lane, while Desire Doue’s involvement on the left adds a fascinating sub-plot. France possess a convincing attacking rhythm, averaging 2.

BT4Y best bet

Rationale: France to Win & Under 3

  • At 19/20, Rationale: France to Win & Under 3 implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Iraq conceded four goals in their World Cup opener, making defensive resilience their core primary requirement.
  • France have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Iraq.
  • France have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Rationale: France to Win & Under 3 angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Rationale: France to Win & Under 3 sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. France have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Iraq. Iraq conceded four goals in their World Cup opener, making defensive resilience their core primary requirement.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Strong positive
France have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points.Visible data support
Positive
France have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Iraq conceded four goals in their World Cup opener.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: France Win is the preferred angle because iraq conceded four goals in their World Cup opener, making defensive resilience their core primary requirement. France have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Iraq. Iraq arrive bruised by a 4-1 defeat to Norway, but not without things to build from.

Main risk

Iraq arrive bruised by a 4-1 defeat to Norway, but not without things to build from.

Key Data Signals

Rationale: France to Win & Under 3 evidence

Iraq conceded four goals in their World Cup opener, making defensive resilience their core primary requirement.

France have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Iraq.

France have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the France Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Rationale: France to Win & Under 3 notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    France3
    Avg goals scored
    Iraq1
    France1
    Avg goals conceded
    Iraq4
    France100%
    BTTS rate
    Iraq100%
    France100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Iraq100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 74% · edge +4.5 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 48%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for France and 100% for Iraq, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFrance to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 94% · edge -20.3 pts
    1.06
    Check odds @ 1.06
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 48%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    France to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    France6
    Avg corners for
    Iraq2
    France10
    Avg total corners
    Iraq7
    France0
    Avg yellow cards
    Iraq1
    France11
    Avg shots
    Iraq11
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    France

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    16 Jun 2026H Senegal3-1

    Iraq

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    16 Jun 2026H Norway1-4
    Market aligned with main pickFrance to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 94% · edge -20.3 pts
    1.06
    Check odds @ 1.06
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0France wins
    0Draws
    0Iraq wins
    Market aligned with main pickFrance to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 94% · edge -20.3 pts
    1.06
    Check odds @ 1.06
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 48%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for France to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    World Cup

    France8
    Played
    Iraq3
    France2.5
    Avg goals for
    Iraq0.3
    France1.3
    Avg goals against
    Iraq4
    France4
    Clean sheets
    Iraq0
    Market aligned with main pickFrance to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 94% · edge -20.3 pts
    1.06
    Check odds @ 1.06
    Season data supports France to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1France933008
    4Iraq03003-11
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%France Over 2.5
    100%Iraq Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: France sit at 100% and Iraq sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    France v Iraq prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

    More stats pages

    Browse football stats pages

    Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

    Competition and hubs

    World Cup hubmore World Cup analysisrelated match predictioncorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hub

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre