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Forli crestForli
v
Livorno crestLivorno

Serie C - Girone B | Sun 11 Oct, 16:30

Forli v Livorno Stats

Data last updated: Mon 12 Oct 2026, 08:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Forli and Livorno meet in a Serie C - Girone B clash where both sides have shown attacking intent but also defensive vulnerabilities. Forli sits mid-table with 10 points and has scored and conceded at a rate suggesting open play, while Livorno, positioned higher with 14 points, has a slightly more prolific attack but leaky defense. Recent matches indicate both teams are capable of finding the net, setting up a contest likely to feature goals at both ends. Tactical approaches from both sides favor offensive opportunities, making this fixture an intriguing battle of attacking strengths against defensive resilience.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Forli has an 80% BTTS rate in recent games, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.
  • Livorno's BTTS rate stands at 60%, showing a tendency to both score and concede.
  • The average goals per match in their recent head-to-head is 3.67, supporting a goal-rich encounter.
  • Forli and Livorno have scored at least once in most recent fixtures, reinforcing BTTS likelihood.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong recent form data where Forli and Livorno frequently find the net while conceding. The 18.2% positive at of 1.73 indicates this market is priced attractively. Both sides' attacking and defensive profiles suggest open play and goal opportunities, making BTTS a compelling selection. No data limitations affect , and the model supports a standard stake approach.

Model Chance72.8% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge72.8% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Forli BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Livorno BTTS Rate60%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Forli and Livorno have demonstrated attacking capabilities paired with defensive frailties, making both teams to score a logical pick. The recent form data and head-to-head goal averages support an open game where both sides find the net, aligning well with the tactical context of this Serie C fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS market rationale

“The attacking tendencies and defensive lapses from both Forli and Livorno create a fertile environment for goals at both ends, making the BTTS market a natural fit for this match.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Forli has an 80% BTTS rate in recent games, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.

Livorno's BTTS rate stands at 60%, showing a tendency to both score and concede.

The average goals per match in their recent head-to-head is 3.67, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

Forli and Livorno have scored at least once in most recent fixtures, reinforcing BTTS likelihood.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last three head-to-head matches, an average of 3.67 goals per game has been recorded, indicating a trend towards open, goal-rich encounters.
  • This supports expectations for a lively tempo and multiple scoring opportunities in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Forli1
Avg goals scored
Livorno1.4
Forli1
Avg goals conceded
Livorno1.6
Forli80%
BTTS rate
Livorno60%
Forli20%
Over 2.5 goals
Livorno40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Recent goal trends show Forli scoring and conceding at a rate of 1 goal per game, while Livorno averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Their head-to-head average of 3.67 goals per match further supports a high-scoring encounter with both teams likely to find the net.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Forli

LDDDW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 2L
03 Oct 2026A Vado0-1
27 Sep 2026A Ostia Mare1-1
19 Sep 2026H Torres1-1
16 Sep 2026A Pineto1-1
12 Sep 2026H Vis Pesaro2-1

Livorno

LWDWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 2L
03 Oct 2026H Pescara0-1
26 Sep 2026H Pianese3-2
21 Sep 2026A Guidonia Montecelio 19371-1
16 Sep 2026H Vado3-2
12 Sep 2026A Spezia0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 67% · edge +7.2 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Livorno Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2
Check odds @ 2
Livorno to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Forli Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Forli to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Forli has earned 6 points recently with an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent scoring and conceding. Livorno's 7 points and 60% BTTS rate reflect a similar pattern of open play and goal involvement, reinforcing the expectation of both teams scoring in this fixture.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Livorno Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2
Check odds @ 2
Livorno to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Forli Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Forli to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
The 72.8% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Forli show a 80% BTTS rate and Livorno show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Forli Over 2.5
40%Livorno Over 2.5
3.67H2H avg goals
Over the last three head-to-head matches, an average of 3.67 goals per game has been recorded, indicating a trend towards open, goal-rich encounters. This supports expectations for a lively tempo and multiple scoring opportunities in this fixture.

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