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FK Zalgiris Vilnius crestFK Zalgiris Vilnius
v
Dinamo Tbilisi crestDinamo Tbilisi

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 30 Jul, 18:00

FK Zalgiris Vilnius v Dinamo Tbilisi Stats

Data last updated: Wed 29 Jul 2026, 03:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa Conference League fixture between FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Dinamo Tbilisi promises an open contest with both teams showing attacking intent in recent matches. FK Zalgiris Vilnius has scored and conceded an average of 1.67 goals per game in their last three outings, while Dinamo Tbilisi boasts a stronger defensive record, conceding just 0.67 goals per match but scoring 2 on average. Both sides have demonstrated a propensity for goals and offensive play, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter under continental competition pressure.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • FK Zalgiris Vilnius has a 100% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches.
  • Dinamo Tbilisi averages 2 goals scored and only 0.67 conceded per game recently.
  • Both teams have a 67% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goals at both ends.
  • The last two head-to-head matches averaged 1.5 goals, suggesting a moderate scoring history but recent form points higher.
  • Recent form data shows FK Zalgiris Vilnius concedes and scores at similar rates, supporting open play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 2.5 Goals with a 68.4% chance, reflecting both teams' recent attacking and defensive patterns. FK Zalgiris Vilnius's perfect Over 2.5 record and Dinamo Tbilisi's strong scoring form underpin the likelihood of multiple goals. Although head-to-head matches have been lower scoring, recent form and goal involvement rates suggest an upward trend in goal frequency. No price warning is needed, and standard stake guidance applies for this confident selection.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Over 2.5 Rate100% in recent matches
Strong positive
Dinamo Tbilisi Goals For2 per game recently
Strong positive
Dinamo Tbilisi Goals Against0.67 per game recently
Positive
Both Teams to Score Rate67% for both teams
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals1.5 goals in last 2 matches
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively match with both sides pushing forward, as FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Dinamo Tbilisi have shown strong offensive output recently. The attacking tendencies combined with defensive vulnerabilities suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a sensible choice for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“The attacking profiles of both FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Dinamo Tbilisi suggest this game will feature multiple goal-scoring opportunities, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling selection.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius has a 100% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches.

Dinamo Tbilisi averages 2 goals scored and only 0.67 conceded per game recently.

Both teams have a 67% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goals at both ends.

The last two head-to-head matches averaged 1.5 goals, suggesting a moderate scoring history but recent form points higher.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last two head-to-head matches averaged 1.5 goals, a modest figure, but recent form over the last three matches shows a strong trend toward Over 2.5 Goals, especially for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, indicating a shift toward more open, high-tempo games in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius1.67
Avg goals scored
Dinamo Tbilisi2
FK Zalgiris Vilnius1.67
Avg goals conceded
Dinamo Tbilisi0.67
FK Zalgiris Vilnius67%
BTTS rate
Dinamo Tbilisi67%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius100%
Over 2.5 goals
Dinamo Tbilisi67%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 60% · edge +8.5 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have a 67% rate for Both Teams to Score, reflecting balanced attacking and defensive performances. FK Zalgiris Vilnius scores and concedes at similar rates, while Dinamo Tbilisi's stronger defense still concedes occasionally, supporting multiple goals and BTTS potential.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 60% · edge +8.5 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Dinamo Tbilisi Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Dinamo Tbilisi to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
The Over 2.5 Goals market is supported by strong recent scoring data from both teams, with FK Zalgiris Vilnius maintaining a 100% rate in recent matches. The price appears fair given the model's 68.4% chance, making this a confident but not overly priced selection.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

LWW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
23 Jul 2026A Dinamo Tbilisi0-3
16 Jul 2026H Petrovac2-1
09 Jul 2026A Petrovac3-1

Dinamo Tbilisi

WDW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
23 Jul 2026H FK Zalgiris Vilnius3-0
16 Jul 2026H US Mondorf-les-bains1-1
09 Jul 2026A US Mondorf-les-bains2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Dinamo Tbilisi Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Dinamo Tbilisi to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
FK Zalgiris Vilnius to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Recent form shows FK Zalgiris Vilnius scoring and conceding 1.67 goals per game, with a perfect Over 2.5 record, while Dinamo Tbilisi scores 2 and concedes 0.67 per game. These figures indicate open matches with multiple goals, reinforcing the Over 2.5 selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0FK Zalgiris Vilnius wins
1Draws
1Dinamo Tbilisi wins
23 Jul 2026Dinamo Tbilisi v FK Zalgiris Vilnius3-0
01 Feb 2023FK Zalgiris Vilnius v Dinamo Tbilisi0-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 60% · edge +8.5 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Dinamo Tbilisi to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
FK Zalgiris Vilnius to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The limited head-to-head sample of two matches shows an average of 1.5 goals, suggesting historically tighter contests. However, recent attacking form from both sides indicates that this fixture may see more goals than previous encounters, reducing the weight of the head-to-head trend.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

FK Zalgiris Vilnius4
Played
Dinamo Tbilisi4
FK Zalgiris Vilnius3
Avg goals for
Dinamo Tbilisi2
FK Zalgiris Vilnius1.8
Avg goals against
Dinamo Tbilisi2.3
FK Zalgiris Vilnius0
Clean sheets
Dinamo Tbilisi1
Best odds for this sectionDinamo Tbilisi Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Dinamo Tbilisi to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
FK Zalgiris Vilnius to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season-long data highlights FK Zalgiris Vilnius's tendency for high-scoring games, as reflected in their recent Over 2.5 rate. Dinamo Tbilisi's solid attack combined with a relatively tight defense suggests matches with several goals but some defensive organisation.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%FK Zalgiris Vilnius Over 2.5
67%Dinamo Tbilisi Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
The last two head-to-head matches averaged 1.5 goals, a modest figure, but recent form over the last three matches shows a strong trend toward Over 2.5 Goals, especially for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, indicating a shift toward more open, high-tempo games in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.