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Fiorentina crestFiorentina
v
Torino crestTorino

Serie A | Sat 05 Sep, 14:00

Fiorentina v Torino Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 09:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fiorentina face Torino in Serie A on Sat 05 Sep, 14:00. Fabio Grosso’s Fiorentina have lost 4-0 to Roma and 3-0 at home to newly promoted Frosinone, leaving them without a league goal and with seven conceded. Fiorentina and Torino arrive with similar form, leaving fine margins likely to decide the result.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 20/23, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Both teams have defensive issues and scoring potential, with Torino's consistent goalscoring and Fiorentina's need for a home response making both teams scoring a.
  • Fiorentina show a 0% BTTS rate and Torino show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Fiorentina average 0 goals scored and Torino average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. Fiorentina show a 0% BTTS rate and Torino show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Both teams have defensive issues and scoring potential, with Torino's consistent goalscoring and Fiorentina's need for a home response making both teams scoring a.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Positive
Fiorentina show a 0% BTTS rate and Torino show a.Visible data support
Positive
Fiorentina average 0 goals scored and Torino average 1, so.Visible data support
Positive
Both teams have defensive issues and scoring potential.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because both teams have defensive issues and scoring potential, with Torino's consistent goalscoring and Fiorentina's need for a home response making both teams scoring a credible outcome. Fiorentina show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Torino show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Torino are scoring, but not stopping the slide

Main risk

Torino are scoring, but not stopping the slide.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Both teams have defensive issues and scoring potential, with Torino's consistent goalscoring and Fiorentina's need for a home.

Fiorentina show a 0% BTTS rate and Torino show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Fiorentina average 0 goals scored and Torino average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fiorentina0
Avg goals scored
Torino1
Fiorentina3.5
Avg goals conceded
Torino2
Fiorentina0%
BTTS rate
Torino100%
Fiorentina100%
Over 2.5 goals
Torino100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Torino to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Torino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Fiorentina to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Fiorentina Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A hubfull betting preview for Fiorentina v Torinocorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Fiorentina5.5
Avg corners for
Torino2.5
Fiorentina9
Avg total corners
Torino6.5
Fiorentina2.5
Avg yellow cards
Torino0.5
Fiorentina17
Avg shots
Torino9
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fiorentina

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
29 Aug 2026H Frosinone0-3
24 Aug 2026A AS Roma0-4

Torino

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
29 Aug 2026A Sassuolo1-2
23 Aug 2026H AC Milan1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 55% · edge +4.9 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Torino to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Torino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Fiorentina to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Fiorentina Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Fiorentina wins
5Draws
2Torino wins
07 Feb 2026Fiorentina v Torino2-2
31 Aug 2025Torino v Fiorentina0-0
19 Jan 2025Fiorentina v Torino1-1
03 Nov 2024Torino v Fiorentina0-1
02 Mar 2024Torino v Fiorentina0-0
29 Dec 2023Fiorentina v Torino1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Torino to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Fiorentina to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Fiorentina5
Played
Torino5
Fiorentina1.2
Avg goals for
Torino1
Fiorentina2.4
Avg goals against
Torino1.6
Fiorentina0
Clean sheets
Torino0
Best odds for this sectionTorino to WinBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 24% · edge +8.9 pts
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Load more odds for this section
Torino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Fiorentina to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Fiorentina Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Season data supports Torino to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
14Torino45113-3
17Fiorentina45113-6
Fiorentina sit in position 17, while Torino sit in position 14, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Fiorentina Over 2.5
100%Torino Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Fiorentina sit at 100% and Torino sit at 100% with the H2H average at 1.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Fiorentina v Torino prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

Serie A hubSerie A hubfull betting preview for Fiorentina v Torinocorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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