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Fiorentina crestFiorentina
v
Torino crestTorino

Serie A | Sat 05 Sep, 14:00

Fiorentina v Torino Stats

Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 07:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fiorentina and Torino meet at the Stadio Artemio Franchi both seeking their first Serie A points after difficult starts under new management. Fiorentina have conceded seven goals in two league matches without scoring, exposing defensive frailties and attacking struggles. Torino have scored in six of their last seven matches despite recent defeats, offering a consistent goal threat. Both sides face pressure to respond quickly, with Fiorentina's home form under scrutiny and Torino's away record showing vulnerability. This clash of defensive lapses and scoring potential sets up a compelling contest for goals from both teams.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Fiorentina conceded seven goals and failed to score in their opening two Serie A matches.
  • Torino have scored in six of their last seven matches across all competitions.
  • Neither team has kept a clean sheet recently, with Fiorentina failing to do so in five straight games.
  • Mateo Pellegrino has a strong scoring record against Torino, with five Serie A goals in the last two seasons.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score selection is supported by Fiorentina's defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded heavily and failed to keep clean sheets recently, combined with Torino's consistent scoring record in recent matches. The model assigns a 66.7% chance to this outcome, reflecting the tactical scenario where Torino's attacking threat meets Fiorentina's defensive gaps. The price offers positive value with a 13.2% edge, making this a sensible pick given the teams' current form and scoring patterns. No significant data limitations affect in this rationale.

Fiorentina Defensive Record7 goals conceded in 2 Serie A matches
Strong positive
Torino Scoring ConsistencyScored in 6 of last 7 matches
Strong positive
Recent Clean SheetsNeither team kept a clean sheet in last 5 matches
Strong positive
Value Edge13.2% positive value at 1.87 odds
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses and scoring potential, making a match with goals at both ends likely. Torino's ability to score despite recent losses and Fiorentina's home need to respond create a scenario where both sides can breach each other's defenses. This tactical and form-based combination supports backing both teams to score in this fixture.

Main risk

Torino are scoring, but not stopping the slide.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Fiorentina's defensive fragility combined with Torino's steady scoring record creates a strong likelihood of goals from both sides, despite early-season struggles for both teams.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Fiorentina conceded seven goals and failed to score in their opening two Serie A matches.

Torino have scored in six of their last seven matches across all competitions.

Mateo Pellegrino has a strong scoring record against Torino, with five Serie A goals in the last two seasons.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • The last ten head-to-head matches between Fiorentina and Torino have averaged 1.8 goals per game, with the last three meetings all ending in draws.
  • Both teams have a 100% rate of over 2.5 goals in their recent matches, suggesting a trend towards open games with multiple goals.
  • This trend supports the expectation of goals from both sides in this fixture, driven by attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fiorentina0
Avg goals scored
Torino1
Fiorentina3.5
Avg goals conceded
Torino2
Fiorentina0%
BTTS rate
Torino100%
Fiorentina100%
Over 2.5 goals
Torino100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Fiorentina have failed to score in their first two Serie A matches but have conceded seven goals, highlighting defensive issues. Torino have scored in six of their last seven matches, showing attacking consistency. Both teams have not kept clean sheets recently, making the Both Teams to Score outcome plausible through a combination of defensive frailty and offensive persistence.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Torino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Torino to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Fiorentina Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at about 1.87 with an implied probability of 53.5%, while the model estimates a 66.7% chance, indicating clear positive value. This reflects the tactical scenario where Fiorentina's defensive lapses meet Torino's consistent goal threat. The offer a good opportunity to back this outcome with , supported by both teams' recent scoring and conceding patterns.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Fiorentina5.5
Avg corners for
Torino2.5
Fiorentina9
Avg total corners
Torino6.5
Fiorentina2.5
Avg yellow cards
Torino0.5
Fiorentina17
Avg shots
Torino9
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Fiorentina average 5.5 corners and 17 shots per game with 4 shots on target, indicating active attacking play despite scoring struggles. Torino average fewer corners (2.5) and shots (9) but maintain a steady goal output. Fiorentina's higher yellow card average (2.5) compared to Torino's (0.5) suggests a more aggressive defensive approach, potentially leading to set-piece opportunities and sustained pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fiorentina

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
29 Aug 2026H Frosinone0-3
24 Aug 2026A AS Roma0-4

Torino

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
29 Aug 2026A Sassuolo1-2
23 Aug 2026H AC Milan1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Torino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Torino to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Fiorentina Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Fiorentina to WinBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both Fiorentina and Torino have yet to earn Serie A points this season, with Fiorentina conceding 3.5 goals per game and scoring none, while Torino have scored once per game and conceded two. Both teams have a 100% rate of matches finishing over 2.5 goals and contrasting BTTS rates: Fiorentina 0% and Torino 100%. This form data highlights Fiorentina's defensive struggles and Torino's consistent scoring, reinforcing the likelihood of goals from both sides.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Fiorentina wins
5Draws
2Torino wins
07 Feb 2026Fiorentina v Torino2-2
31 Aug 2025Torino v Fiorentina0-0
19 Jan 2025Fiorentina v Torino1-1
03 Nov 2024Torino v Fiorentina0-1
02 Mar 2024Torino v Fiorentina0-0
29 Dec 2023Fiorentina v Torino1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Torino to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Fiorentina to WinBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The head-to-head record shows Fiorentina have lost only once in their last 36 home Serie A meetings against Torino, indicating historical home strength. However, the last three matches have all ended in draws, reflecting a recent balance between the sides. This recent parity aligns with the current form and tactical uncertainty, suggesting a competitive match where both teams can find the net.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Fiorentina2
Played
Torino2
Fiorentina0
Avg goals for
Torino1
Fiorentina3.5
Avg goals against
Torino2
Fiorentina0
Clean sheets
Torino0
Best odds for this sectionTorino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
Torino to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Fiorentina Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Fiorentina to WinBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Fiorentina's season start shows a leaky defense with 7 goals conceded in 2 matches and no goals scored, indicating offensive difficulties. Torino have maintained a better scoring record, netting in six of seven recent matches, but their defense remains vulnerable. These season stats underline the tactical clash of Fiorentina's defensive fragility against Torino's attacking consistency, supporting the Both Teams to Score outcome.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
14Torino02002-2
19Fiorentina02002-7
Fiorentina sit bottom of the Serie A table with zero points and a poor goal difference, increasing pressure to respond at home. Torino are 14th with zero points but have shown some attacking promise. While the standings reflect early struggles, they emphasize the high stakes for both teams to find form, which can lead to open play and goals from both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Fiorentina Over 2.5
100%Torino Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
The last ten head-to-head matches between Fiorentina and Torino have averaged 1.8 goals per game, with the last three meetings all ending in draws. Both teams have a 100% rate of over 2.5 goals in their recent matches, suggesting a trend towards open games with multiple goals. This trend supports the expectation of goals from both sides in this fixture, driven by attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.