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Fiorentina crestFiorentina
v
Pisa crestPisa

Coppa Italia | Tue 15 Sep, 20:00

Fiorentina v Pisa Stats

Data last updated: Thu 08 Oct 2026, 16:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fiorentina face Pisa in Coppa Italia on Tue 15 Sep, 20:00. Fiorentina had scored only once across league defeats by Roma, Frosinone and Torino before putting four past Venezia, with Franco Mastantuono claiming a hat-trick and Mateo Pellegrino also scoring. Fiorentina's recent form and Pisa's defensive struggles influence the expected result.

BT4Y best bet

Fiorentina to win and both teams to score

  • At 19/10, Fiorentina to win and both teams to score implies roughly 35%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 47%.
  • Fiorentina vs Pisa: New-Mood Viola Face a Defence Still Under Scrutiny.
  • Fiorentina need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Fiorentina on 3 and Pisa on 1.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Fiorentina and 100% for Pisa.
  • Fiorentina to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 4 for Fiorentina and 1 for Pisa are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 47% for Fiorentina to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 35% implied by the current price. Fiorentina need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Fiorentina on 3 and Pisa on 1. Fiorentina vs Pisa: New-Mood Viola Face a Defence Still Under Scrutiny.

Model chance vs price47% model chance against roughly 35% implied
Positive
Fiorentina need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Fiorentina vs Pisa: New-Mood Viola Face a Defence Still.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Fiorentina Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because fiorentina vs Pisa: New-Mood Viola Face a Defence Still Under Scrutiny. Fiorentina need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Fiorentina on 3 and Pisa on 1. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Fiorentina to win and both teams to score evidence

Fiorentina vs Pisa: New-Mood Viola Face a Defence Still Under Scrutiny.

Fiorentina need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Fiorentina on 3 and Pisa on 1.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Fiorentina and 100% for Pisa.

Fiorentina Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 4 for Fiorentina and 1 for Pisa are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Fiorentina to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fiorentina4
Avg goals scored
Pisa1
Fiorentina1
Avg goals conceded
Pisa1
Fiorentina100%
BTTS rate
Pisa100%
Fiorentina100%
Over 2.5 goals
Pisa0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 25%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickFiorentina to WinBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 70% · edge -4.6 pts
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Fiorentina Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Fiorentina to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fiorentina

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
14 Aug 2026H Benevento4-1

Pisa

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
17 Aug 2026H Empoli1-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 86% vs implied 91% · edge -4.9 pts
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
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Fiorentina to WinBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Fiorentina Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Fiorentina Over 2.5
0%Pisa Over 2.5
0.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Fiorentina sit at 100% and Pisa sit at 0% with the H2H average at 0.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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