Ferencvarosi TC

Twente

UEFA Europa League | Thu 30 Jul, 19:30

Ferencvarosi TC v Twente Stats

Data last updated: Wed 29 Jul 2026, 03:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ferencvarosi TC hosts Twente in the Europa League second leg holding a narrow 2-1 aggregate lead. Ferencvarosi TC's strong home record in Europe, including scoring in 12 consecutive home matches, contrasts with Twente's territorial control and high shot volume in the first leg. Twente must press aggressively to overturn the deficit, while Ferencvarosi TC aim to balance control with attacking threat, especially through in-form forward Lenny Joseph. The tactical battle promises an open, high-tempo encounter with both sides likely to create scoring opportunities until the final whistle.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

All four Ferencvarosi TC competitive matches this season have featured at least three goals.
Twente recorded 69% possession and seven shots on target in the first leg.
Ferencvarosi TC have scored in 12 consecutive European home games.
Potential goalkeeper change for Twente may weaken their defensive stability.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at a 78% chance, well above the implied 59.9% from the , indicating strong value. Ferencvarosi TC's matches consistently feature high goal totals, and Twente's attacking volume and need to score increase the likelihood of an open game. The recent defensive instability of Ferencvarosi TC and Twente's goalkeeper doubts further support expectations of multiple goals. Data quality is solid, with no limitations on team data, reinforcing in this selection.

Model Chance78%

Strong positive

Implied Probability59.9%

Positive

Recent High Scoring Matches100% Over 2.5 rate for both teams

Strong positive

Twente Defensive ConcernsGoalkeeper injury and away defensive issues

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively second leg as Ferencvarosi TC look to leverage their strong home scoring record against a Twente side that dominated possession but lacked clinical finishing in the first match. The tactical interplay between Ferencvarosi TC's efficient counter-attacks and Twente's pressing urgency should produce multiple goals in a high-tempo contest.

Main risk

That lead gives the Hungarian champions something to protect, but it is nowhere near large enough to encourage a passive approach.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and scoring outlook

“Ferencvarosi TC's home efficiency combined with Twente's pressing and attacking volume sets the stage for a goal-rich encounter. The narrow aggregate margin and tactical dynamics favor an open game with several scoring chances.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

All four Ferencvarosi TC competitive matches this season have featured at least three goals.

Twente recorded 69% possession and seven shots on target in the first leg.

Ferencvarosi TC have scored in 12 consecutive European home games.

Potential goalkeeper change for Twente may weaken their defensive stability.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

In the last four competitive matches for Ferencvarosi TC and recent fixtures for Twente, Over 2.5 Goals has occurred 100% of the time.
The high tempo, combined with tactical openness and defensive vulnerabilities, suggests this trend will continue, with multiple goals expected in this fixture.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ferencvarosi TC2.33

Avg goals scored

Twente1

Ferencvarosi TC0.67

Avg goals conceded

Twente2

Ferencvarosi TC67%

BTTS rate

Twente100%

Ferencvarosi TC100%

Over 2.5 goals

Twente100%

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%

1.2

Check odds @ 1.2

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Both teams have shown strong attacking intent with Ferencvarosi TC scoring in 12 straight European home matches and Twente creating numerous chances in the first leg. Both teams to score is highly probable given Twente's need to attack and Ferencvarosi TC's defensive vulnerabilities, supporting a high-scoring game with goals at both ends.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Ferencvarosi TC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%

2.02

Check odds @ 2.02

Ferencvarosi TC to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%

2.8

Check odds @ 2.8

Twente Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

1.78

Check odds @ 1.78

DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Twente to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.67 with an implied probability of 59.9%, while the model estimates a 78% chance, indicating clear value. This price reflects the market's recognition of the attacking potential but slightly underestimates the likelihood of multiple goals given both teams' recent form and tactical necessities.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Ferencvarosi TC0

Avg corners for

Twente0

Ferencvarosi TC0

Avg total corners

Twente0

Ferencvarosi TC1.33

Avg yellow cards

Twente0

Ferencvarosi TC0

Avg shots

Twente0

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

2.5

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Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 29%

1.92

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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

The match is expected to feature sustained pressure and attacking transitions, with Twente's wide play and Ferencvarosi TC's counter-attacks likely generating numerous shots and set-piece opportunities. Ferencvarosi TC's discipline record suggests moderate card risk, while Twente's aggressive pressing may increase fouls and cards, contributing to a dynamic match environment.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ferencvarosi TC

WWW

Last 53W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 0D 0L

23 Jul 2026A Twente2-1

16 Jul 2026H Vojvodina3-0

09 Jul 2026A Vojvodina2-1

Twente

Last 50W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 1L

23 Jul 2026H Ferencvarosi TC1-2

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 80% vs implied 65% · edge +15 pts

1.55

Check odds @ 1.55

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Ferencvarosi TC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%

2.02

Check odds @ 2.02

Ferencvarosi TC to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%

2.8

Check odds @ 2.8

Twente Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

1.78

Check odds @ 1.78

DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Twente to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Ferencvarosi TC have maintained a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in their recent matches, reflecting their open and attacking style. Twente also share a 100% Over 2.5 rate, underscoring the likelihood of multiple goals. Recent form data highlights both teams' offensive capabilities and defensive lapses, setting up a high-scoring encounter.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Ferencvarosi TC wins

0Draws

0Twente wins

23 Jul 2026Twente v Ferencvarosi TC1-2

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Ferencvarosi TC to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%

2.8

Check odds @ 2.8

DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Twente to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

The single recent meeting between these teams featured an average of 3 goals, supporting the expectation of a high-scoring match. While the head-to-head sample is limited, it aligns with the attacking tendencies and tactical setups observed in this tie, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals selection.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Ferencvarosi TC4

Played

Twente2

Ferencvarosi TC2.3

Avg goals for

Twente1.5

Ferencvarosi TC1

Avg goals against

Twente2

Ferencvarosi TC1

Clean sheets

Twente0

Best odds for this sectionFerencvarosi TC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts

2.02

Check odds @ 2.02

Load more odds for this section

Ferencvarosi TC to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%

2.8

Check odds @ 2.8

Twente Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

1.78

Check odds @ 1.78

Twente to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Season-long data shows Ferencvarosi TC consistently score and concede goals, with an average of 2.33 goals for and 0.67 against per match, supporting Over 2.5 Goals. Twente's season stats reveal a similar trend with a goal for rate of 1 and a higher concession rate of 2, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that could lead to more goals.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Ferencvarosi TC Over 2.5

100%Twente Over 2.5

3H2H avg goals

In the last four competitive matches for Ferencvarosi TC and recent fixtures for Twente, Over 2.5 Goals has occurred 100% of the time. The high tempo, combined with tactical openness and defensive vulnerabilities, suggests this trend will continue, with multiple goals expected in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Ferencvarosi TC v Twente Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Ferencvarosi TC

Twente

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Football Stats Hub

Ferencvarosi TC v Twente Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Ferencvarosi TC

Twente

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