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FC Vaduz crestFC Vaduz
v
FC Basel 1893 crestFC Basel 1893

Super League | Sun 11 Oct, 15:30

FC Vaduz v FC Basel 1893 Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 08:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Vaduz and FC Basel 1893 meet in a Super League clash where attacking intent is clear from both sides. FC Vaduz, despite sitting near the bottom of the table, have shown a strong inclination for open games, scoring 2.2 goals per match and conceding 1.8. FC Basel 1893, positioned fourth, also average 2 goals scored but concede 2.6, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams have recorded 100% over 2.5 goals rates recently, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter with plenty of offensive action expected.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.
  • FC Vaduz averages 14.8 shots per game with 5.4 on target, showing strong attacking pressure.
  • FC Basel 1893 concedes 2.6 goals per match, highlighting defensive frailties.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 3.9 goals, supporting a high-scoring trend.
  • Key players like A. Eberhard contribute significantly to goal threat and shot volume.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a favorable bet with a 58% chance, above the implied market chance of 54.6%, indicating a small positive . Both teams exhibit aggressive attacking styles and defensive lapses, as reflected in their recent goal averages and 100% over 2.5 goals rate. The head-to-head average of 3.9 goals further supports the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Player data shows key attackers generating significant shot volume and goal threat, reinforcing the expectation of multiple goals. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate100% for both teams
Strong positive
Average Goals ConcededFC Basel 1893 concedes 2.6 per match
Positive
Head-to-Head Goals Average3.9 goals per match
Positive
Key Player Shot VolumeM. Eberhard 5.9 shots/90, A. Sow 2.59 shots/90
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both FC Vaduz and FC Basel 1893 have shown tendencies to concede and score freely. FC Vaduz's aggressive shot volume combined with FC Basel's defensive vulnerabilities suggests a match ripe for multiple goals. This bet capitalizes on the offensive strengths and defensive weaknesses of both sides.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and defensive context

“This fixture features two teams with attacking firepower and defensive frailties, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice given their recent scoring patterns and head-to-head history.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.

FC Vaduz averages 14.8 shots per game with 5.4 on target, showing strong attacking pressure.

FC Basel 1893 concedes 2.6 goals per match, highlighting defensive frailties.

Head-to-head meetings average 3.9 goals, supporting a high-scoring trend.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.9, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games.
  • This sample highlights a pattern of open play and goal-rich encounters, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel and supporting the Over 3.5 Goals bet.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Vaduz2.2
Avg goals scored
FC Basel 18932
FC Vaduz1.8
Avg goals conceded
FC Basel 18932.6
FC Vaduz100%
BTTS rate
FC Basel 1893100%
FC Vaduz100%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Basel 1893100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 55% · edge +3.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Both teams have consistently produced high-scoring matches, with FC Vaduz and FC Basel 1893 each recording 100% over 2.5 goals and BTTS rates recently. Their attacking output combined with defensive concessions creates a strong environment for goals and both teams to score.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionFC Vaduz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 54% · edge +11.8 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
FC Vaduz to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
FC Basel 1893 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+3.4 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for FC Vaduz and 100% for FC Basel 1893, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Vaduz

LLWLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 7L
20 Sep 2026H FC Thun1-2
13 Sep 2026A FC Zurich1-2
05 Sep 2026H Lausanne3-1
02 Sep 2026A FC Luzern1-2
30 Aug 2026H Grasshoppers5-2

FC Basel 1893

LWLLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 4L
20 Sep 2026H FC ST. Gallen1-3
13 Sep 2026A FC Luzern4-2
06 Sep 2026H FC Lugano1-3
03 Sep 2026H FC Sion1-2
29 Aug 2026A BSC Young Boys3-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 80% vs implied 65% · edge +15 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
FC Vaduz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
FC Vaduz to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
FC Basel 1893 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
FC Basel 1893 to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Recent form data shows both teams scoring and conceding frequently, with FC Vaduz scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.8 goals per match, and FC Basel 1893 scoring 2 but conceding 2.6. Both teams have a perfect record of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, reinforcing the expectation of a high-scoring encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%FC Vaduz Over 2.5
100%FC Basel 1893 Over 2.5
3.9H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.9, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games. This sample highlights a pattern of open play and goal-rich encounters, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel and supporting the Over 3.5 Goals bet.

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