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FC Thun crestFC Thun
v
Grasshoppers crestGrasshoppers

Super League | Sat 12 Sep, 17:00

FC Thun v Grasshoppers Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Thun and Grasshoppers meet in a Super League clash where both sides have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. FC Thun have conceded over three goals per game on average, while Grasshoppers also leak goals frequently. Both teams have similar recent scoring rates and high over 2.5 goals percentages, suggesting an open game with multiple goal-scoring opportunities. The match carries importance for both sides seeking points to improve their league standing, adding urgency to their offensive efforts. Tactical openness and defensive lapses set the stage for a high-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • FC Thun concede an average of 3.2 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Grasshoppers have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, matching FC Thun's rate.
  • Both teams average 1.6 goals scored per game, supporting attacking potential.
  • Recent form shows both sides involved in high-scoring matches, with BTTS rates at 60% and 80%.
  • Model projects a 55.4% chance for Over 3.5 Goals, with positive value at 2.1 .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals due to both FC Thun and Grasshoppers exhibiting porous defenses and consistent attacking output. Each team averages 1.6 goals scored per match but concedes heavily, with FC Thun allowing 3.2 goals per game and Grasshoppers 2.6. Their high over 2.5 goals rates (80% each) and recent form underline a pattern of open, high-scoring games. The offer positive value with a 7.8% edge, making this a compelling selection despite the inherent volatility of such high totals.

FC Thun Defensive Record3.2 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Grasshoppers Over 2.5 Rate80% matches over 2.5 goals
Strong positive
Combined Goals Scored3.2 goals per game (1.6 each)
Positive
Model Confidence64% confidence in Over 3.5 Goals
Positive
Value Edge7.8% positive edge at 2.1 odds
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both FC Thun and Grasshoppers pushing forward aggressively. FC Thun's defensive struggles combined with Grasshoppers' attacking threats suggest multiple goals are likely. The data supports a high-scoring match, making Over 3.5 Goals a strong tactical and statistical call for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and defensive vulnerabilities

“This fixture features two teams with leaky defenses and active offenses, creating fertile ground for a goal-rich encounter. The attacking roles and recent scoring patterns point towards a lively match with plenty of goalmouth action.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

FC Thun concede an average of 3.2 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.

Grasshoppers have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, matching FC Thun's rate.

Both teams average 1.6 goals scored per game, supporting attacking potential.

Recent form shows both sides involved in high-scoring matches, with BTTS rates at 60% and 80%.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.9, close to the over 2.5 threshold.
  • Both teams have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate recently, suggesting a trend towards open, goal-filled matches.
  • This trend supports expectations of a fast tempo and multiple scoring opportunities in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

FC Thun4
Avg corners for
Grasshoppers5
FC Thun9
Avg total corners
Grasshoppers13.33
FC Thun2.2
Avg yellow cards
Grasshoppers2.67
FC Thun13.4
Avg shots
Grasshoppers14.67
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 55% · edge +5.2 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Grasshoppers average 6.4 corners per game to FC Thun's 4, reflecting more attacking pressure. Both teams average over 13 shots per game, with Grasshoppers taking more shots on target. Discipline is balanced with similar yellow card averages, suggesting a competitive but open match with sustained offensive activity.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Thun1.6
Avg goals scored
Grasshoppers1.6
FC Thun3.2
Avg goals conceded
Grasshoppers2.6
FC Thun60%
BTTS rate
Grasshoppers80%
FC Thun80%
Over 2.5 goals
Grasshoppers80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 48% · edge +7.8 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 31%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams have high BTTS rates, with Grasshoppers at 80% and FC Thun at 60%, indicating frequent mutual scoring. Combined with their goal averages and defensive records, this match is likely to see multiple goals from both sides, supporting the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Grasshoppers Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Grasshoppers to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
FC Thun Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
FC Thun to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.1 with a 7.8% , reflecting the model's 55.4% chance. This suggests the market slightly underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game, making the bet a positive-value opportunity without significant price warnings.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Thun

LDWLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 3L
06 Sep 2026A FC Sion2-3
02 Sep 2026H Lausanne0-0
30 Aug 2026A FC ST. Gallen4-3
09 Aug 2026A FC Basel 18932-4
01 Aug 2026H BSC Young Boys0-6

Grasshoppers

DWLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 3L
05 Sep 2026H FC Zurich2-2
02 Sep 2026H FC ST. Gallen2-0
30 Aug 2026A FC Vaduz2-5
08 Aug 2026A Servette FC1-2
02 Aug 2026H FC Lugano1-4
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Grasshoppers Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Grasshoppers to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
FC Thun Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
FC Thun to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Recent matches for both teams show a strong tendency towards high-scoring games, with FC Thun and Grasshoppers each averaging 1.6 goals scored and conceding heavily. Their over 2.5 goals rate of 80% underscores a pattern of open games, reinforcing the likelihood of Over 3.5 Goals in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4FC Thun wins
3Draws
3Grasshoppers wins
14 Mar 2026FC Thun v Grasshoppers5-1
18 Jan 2026Grasshoppers v FC Thun1-3
30 Aug 2025FC Thun v Grasshoppers1-1
13 Sep 2024FC Thun v Grasshoppers0-2
31 May 2024FC Thun v Grasshoppers1-2
26 May 2024Grasshoppers v FC Thun1-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Grasshoppers to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
FC Thun to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The last 10 meetings between FC Thun and Grasshoppers have averaged 2.9 goals per game, indicating a history of relatively open contests. While not overwhelmingly high, this average aligns with the current attacking and defensive trends of both teams, providing moderate support for a high-scoring outcome.
Season team stats

Super League

FC Thun6
Played
Grasshoppers6
FC Thun1.8
Avg goals for
Grasshoppers1.5
FC Thun2.8
Avg goals against
Grasshoppers2.3
FC Thun1
Clean sheets
Grasshoppers1
Best odds for this sectionGrasshoppers Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +15 pts
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Load more odds for this section
Grasshoppers to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
FC Thun Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
FC Thun to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Season-long data reveals FC Thun concedes 3.2 goals per game while scoring 1.6, highlighting defensive weaknesses. Grasshoppers concede 2.6 goals and score 1.6, also reflecting defensive vulnerability. These profiles support a match prone to multiple goals and align with the Over 3.5 Goals market.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7FC Thun76213-6
11Grasshoppers56123-5
FC Thun sits 7th with 7 points, while Grasshoppers are 11th with 5 points, indicating both teams need positive results. This competitive pressure may encourage attacking play to secure points, increasing the chances of a high-scoring game rather than cautious defensive tactics.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%FC Thun Over 2.5
80%Grasshoppers Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.9, close to the over 2.5 threshold. Both teams have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate recently, suggesting a trend towards open, goal-filled matches. This trend supports expectations of a fast tempo and multiple scoring opportunities in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.