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FC Thun crestFC Thun
v
BSC Young Boys crestBSC Young Boys

Super League | Sat 01 Aug, 19:30

FC Thun v BSC Young Boys Stats

Data last updated: Fri 31 Jul 2026, 04:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Thun hosts BSC Young Boys in a Super League clash where both teams have started the season with attacking intent, each scoring multiple goals in their opening matches. FC Thun ranks second and Young Boys first, both with three points, setting up a high-stakes encounter. Recent matches show a pattern of open play and goal-scoring opportunities, with both sides demonstrating offensive and willingness to press forward. This fixture promises a dynamic contest with tactical emphasis on attack and goal creation, making goal markets particularly relevant.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have recorded 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • FC Thun and BSC Young Boys average 20 and 19 shots per game respectively, indicating offensive pressure.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 4.9 goals per game, highlighting a high-scoring trend.
  • Key attackers like S. Maier show strong goal threat and shot volume.
  • Both teams maintain a 100% BTTS rate, suggesting goals at both ends are likely.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 78% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, supported by both teams' recent attacking output and high shot volumes. FC Thun and BSC Young Boys have consistently produced matches with multiple goals, reflected in their perfect Over 2.5 record this season and a high average of shots on target. The head-to-head average of 4.9 goals further reinforces the likelihood of a goal-rich game. This combination of offensive efficiency and historical scoring trends underpins the strong in this market.

Recent Over 2.5 Rate100% for both teams
Strong positive
Average Shots per GameFC Thun 20, Young Boys 19
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals4.9 goals per match
Strong positive
BTTS Rate100% for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both FC Thun and BSC Young Boys have shown strong offensive form early in the season. The high volume of shots and goal-scoring opportunities from both sides supports the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals, making this a compelling market to consider for bettors.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking intent and goal volume

“This fixture features two of the league's most potent attacks, with both sides demonstrating a clear intent to score. The volume of shots and historical goal averages suggest a lively, high-scoring encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have recorded 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

FC Thun and BSC Young Boys average 20 and 19 shots per game respectively, indicating offensive pressure.

Head-to-head meetings average 4.9 goals per game, highlighting a high-scoring trend.

Key attackers like S. Maier show strong goal threat and shot volume.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4.9, indicating a trend towards high-scoring encounters.
  • This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a fast-paced game with multiple goal opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Thun3
Avg goals scored
BSC Young Boys4
FC Thun1
Avg goals conceded
BSC Young Boys2
FC Thun100%
BTTS rate
BSC Young Boys100%
FC Thun100%
Over 2.5 goals
BSC Young Boys100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 71% · edge +6.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Both FC Thun and BSC Young Boys have scored and conceded in all recent matches, maintaining a 100% BTTS rate. Combined with their high goal averages, this suggests a match where both teams will find the net and the total goals will exceed 2.5.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 71% · edge +6.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BSC Young Boys Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BSC Young Boys to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
FC Thun Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
FC Thun to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
The Over 2.5 Goals market is well supported by the model's 78% , reflecting strong recent attacking performances and historical goal trends. The price appears fair given the consistent goal output from both teams, making this a solid option without significant price sensitivity.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

FC Thun6
Avg corners for
BSC Young Boys6
FC Thun18
Avg total corners
BSC Young Boys10
FC Thun1
Avg yellow cards
BSC Young Boys1
FC Thun20
Avg shots
BSC Young Boys19
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams average six corners per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Shot volumes are high, with FC Thun averaging 20 shots and Young Boys 19, including 7 and 9 shots on target respectively. Discipline is balanced with low yellow card averages, suggesting an open game with focus on attack rather than disruption.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Thun

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
25 Jul 2026A FC Luzern3-1

BSC Young Boys

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
26 Jul 2026H FC Sion4-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BSC Young Boys Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BSC Young Boys to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
FC Thun Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
FC Thun to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Recent form data shows both teams have scored multiple goals in their opening matches, with FC Thun and BSC Young Boys each recording three points and maintaining perfect Over 2.5 records. This attacking momentum suggests a continuation of high-scoring games in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3FC Thun wins
0Draws
7BSC Young Boys wins
14 May 2026FC Thun v BSC Young Boys3-8
08 Mar 2026BSC Young Boys v FC Thun1-2
25 Jan 2026FC Thun v BSC Young Boys4-1
28 Sep 2025BSC Young Boys v FC Thun4-2
28 Jun 2024BSC Young Boys v FC Thun0-2
15 Jul 2023BSC Young Boys v FC Thun4-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 71% · edge +6.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BSC Young Boys to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
FC Thun to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
The head-to-head record strongly supports a high-scoring match, with an average of nearly five goals per game over the last ten meetings. This historical data aligns with current attacking strengths and suggests goals will be plentiful.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Super League

FC Thun1
Played
BSC Young Boys1
FC Thun3
Avg goals for
BSC Young Boys4
FC Thun1
Avg goals against
BSC Young Boys2
FC Thun0
Clean sheets
BSC Young Boys0
Best odds for this sectionBSC Young Boys Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 54% · edge -0.4 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BSC Young Boys to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
FC Thun Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
FC Thun to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Season-long statistics reveal both teams possess strong offensive profiles, averaging high shots and goals per game. Defensive records show some vulnerability, with goals conceded supporting the likelihood of multiple goals in this match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1BSC Young Boys311002
2FC Thun311002
The tight competition at the top of the Super League table, with Young Boys first and FC Thun second, adds intensity to this fixture. Both teams are motivated to maintain their strong starts, likely encouraging attacking play to secure maximum points.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%FC Thun Over 2.5
100%BSC Young Boys Over 2.5
4.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4.9, indicating a trend towards high-scoring encounters. This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a fast-paced game with multiple goal opportunities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.