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FC ST. Gallen crestFC ST. Gallen
v
Lausanne crestLausanne

Super League | Sun 11 Oct, 15:30

FC ST. Gallen v Lausanne Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 08:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Gallen and Lausanne meet in a Swiss Super League clash where defensive solidity and recent scoring struggles shape expectations. Gallen have earned 6 points recently but average just 1.2 goals per game while conceding 2, indicating a cautious approach. Lausanne, sitting lower in the standings with only 1 recent point and 0.6 goals scored per game, have struggled offensively and defensively, conceding over two goals per match. Both teams' low scoring rates and defensive vulnerabilities suggest a tight contest with limited goal-scoring opportunities, setting the stage for a match where both sides may fail to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS No

  • Gallen averages 1.2 goals per game with a 40% BTTS rate this season.
  • Lausanne scores 0.6 goals per game and concedes 2.2, showing offensive struggles.
  • Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate, indicating matches often end with one side failing to score.
  • Gallen averages nearly 20 shots per game but with limited conversion, suggesting inefficiency.
  • Lausanne ranks 12th with only 6 points, reflecting their low scoring and defensive issues.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model favors BTTS No with a 47.3% chance, above the 40% implied by , indicating value. Both teams have low scoring rates and a 40% BTTS occurrence, reflecting frequent matches where one side fails to score. Gallen's higher shot volume contrasts with their modest goal output, while Lausanne's offensive struggles reduce the likelihood of both teams scoring. This statistical profile supports a cautious game with limited goals from both sides. No data limitations or price warnings affect this pick, making it a solid standard stake choice.

Model Chance47.3% model chance vs 40% implied (+7.3 pts)
Positive
Implied Chance47.3% model chance vs 40% implied (+7.3 pts)
Positive
BTTS Rate Both Teams40%
Positive
FC St. Gallen Goals For1.2 per game
Positive
Lausanne Goals For0.6 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The tactical setup and recent form suggest a match where defensive caution prevails, limiting goal-scoring chances. Gallen's moderate offensive output and Lausanne's struggles to score combine to make both teams not scoring a likely outcome. This aligns with the data showing low BTTS rates and supports a bet on BTTS No.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS No rationale

“This fixture features two sides with clear offensive limitations and defensive vulnerabilities that often cancel each other out, making a no-goal-for-one-side scenario probable. The data-driven BTTS No pick reflects this balanced but low-scoring dynamic.”

Key Data Signals

BTTS No evidence

Gallen averages 1.2 goals per game with a 40% BTTS rate this season.

Lausanne scores 0.6 goals per game and concedes 2.2, showing offensive struggles.

Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate, indicating matches often end with one side failing to score.

Gallen averages nearly 20 shots per game but with limited conversion, suggesting inefficiency.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.4, indicating moderately open games historically.
  • However, current season data shows both teams have low BTTS rates and scoring outputs, suggesting recent tactical adjustments or form changes have reduced goal frequency.
  • This trend points to a match with fewer goals and a higher chance of BTTS No despite historical averages.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC ST. Gallen1.2
Avg goals scored
Lausanne0.6
FC ST. Gallen2
Avg goals conceded
Lausanne2.2
FC ST. Gallen40%
BTTS rate
Lausanne40%
FC ST. Gallen60%
Over 2.5 goals
Lausanne60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 40% · edge +7.3 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate this season, with FC St. Gallen scoring 1.2 goals per game and Lausanne only 0.6. This low scoring output and frequent matches where one side fails to score support the likelihood of BTTS No. The goal trends indicate a match prone to limited offensive success rather than open goal exchanges.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionFC ST. Gallen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 74% · edge +3.1 pts
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
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FC ST. Gallen to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Lausanne Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Lausanne to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The 47.3% for BTTS No sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price (+7.3 pts). Gallen show a 40% BTTS rate and Lausanne show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC ST. Gallen

WLLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 4L
20 Sep 2026A FC Basel 18933-1
16 Sep 2026A FC Lugano1-4
12 Sep 2026H FC Sion0-3
06 Sep 2026A Servette FC2-0
02 Sep 2026A Grasshoppers0-2

Lausanne

LLLDL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 5L
20 Sep 2026H FC Lugano0-4
13 Sep 2026H Servette FC0-1
05 Sep 2026A FC Vaduz1-3
02 Sep 2026A FC Thun0-0
29 Aug 2026H FC Zurich2-3
Best odds for this sectionFC ST. Gallen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 74% · edge +3.1 pts
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Load more odds for this section
FC ST. Gallen to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Lausanne Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Lausanne to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Recent form shows FC St. Gallen with 6 points and 1.2 goals per game, while Lausanne has only 1 point and 0.6 goals per game. Both teams concede around 2 goals per match, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities but limited offensive success. The 40% BTTS rate for both sides aligns with a trend of matches where one team fails to score, supporting the BTTS No pick.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%FC ST. Gallen Over 2.5
60%Lausanne Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.4, indicating moderately open games historically. However, current season data shows both teams have low BTTS rates and scoring outputs, suggesting recent tactical adjustments or form changes have reduced goal frequency. This trend points to a match with fewer goals and a higher chance of BTTS No despite historical averages.

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