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FC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04
v
Bayern München crestBayern München

Bundesliga | Sat 05 Sep, 17:30

FC Schalke 04 v Bayern München Stats

Data last updated: Mon 07 Sep 2026, 05:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Schalke 04 return to the Veltins-Arena unbeaten in 14 home matches, presenting a resilient platform against Bayern München, who arrive on a remarkable 20-match Bundesliga away winning streak. Schalke's opening 3-0 defeat at Augsburg belies their attacking threat, having generated 2.10 expected goals despite a red card disruption. Bayern, under Vincent Kompany, have scored 226 Bundesliga goals in 69 matches, showcasing potent attacking depth with multiple goal threats beyond Harry Kane. Schalke's midfield absences create a tactical vulnerability against Bayern's dynamic runners, setting up a high-stakes clash between Schalke's home strength and Bayern's away control.

BT4Y best bet

Bayern München to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Bayern have won 20 consecutive Bundesliga away matches, highlighting their control.
  • Schalke remain unbeaten in 14 home matches with 11 wins, showing strong home form.
  • Schalke produced 2.10 expected goals in their opening match despite a 3-0 loss, indicating attacking potential.
  • Bayern have scored 226 goals under Kompany, with four of last five wins by three or more goals.
  • Both teams have scored in 100% of Bayern's recent matches, while Schalke scored in 40% of theirs.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Bayern München to Win & Both Teams to Score as a well-supported pick due to Bayern's exceptional away form and scoring consistency combined with Schalke's proven ability to create quality chances at home. Bayern's attacking depth, with multiple players contributing shots and goals, complements Schalke's expected goals output, suggesting both sides are likely to find the net. Although the price is slightly short, the football evidence justifies cautious backing of this combined market. Schalke's midfield disruptions add tactical nuance but do not negate their scoring threat.

Bayern's 20-match away winning streakStrong positive
Strong positive
Schalke's 2.10 expected goals at AugsburgPositive attacking signal
Positive
Bayern's multiple goal threats beyond KaneStrong positive
Strong positive
Slightly short price vs model chancePrice sensitive
Neutral
Schalke's midfield absencesNegative tactical factor
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Bayern München's relentless away winning run and attacking variety make them strong favorites to win. Schalke's solid home form and ability to generate quality chances suggest they will score despite midfield absences. This combination supports the pick of Bayern to win with both teams scoring, reflecting tactical and form realities.

Main risk

Although Schalke 04 suffered a 3-0 loss at Augsburg on opening weekend, the underlying metrics reveal genuine attacking threat.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and scoring

“Bayern's attacking depth and Schalke's home resilience create a compelling scenario for both teams to score, even as Bayern's away control points to a likely victory.”

Key Data Signals

Bayern München to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Bayern have won 20 consecutive Bundesliga away matches, highlighting their control.

Schalke remain unbeaten in 14 home matches with 11 wins, showing strong home form.

Schalke produced 2.10 expected goals in their opening match despite a 3-0 loss, indicating attacking potential.

Bayern have scored 226 goals under Kompany, with four of last five wins by three or more goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Bayern München to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 Bundesliga meetings, the average goals per game is 3.8, indicating a high-scoring trend.
  • Both teams have consistently contributed to goal tallies, with Bayern's recent matches featuring multiple goals and Schalke showing attacking promise.
  • This trend supports expectations for an open game with over 2.5 goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Schalke 040
Avg goals scored
Bayern München5
FC Schalke 043
Avg goals conceded
Bayern München1
FC Schalke 040%
BTTS rate
Bayern München100%
FC Schalke 04100%
Over 2.5 goals
Bayern München100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +7.9 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both teams have scored in all of Bayern's recent matches, while Schalke scored in 2 of their last 5, including a 2.10 expected goals performance at Augsburg. Bayern's recent high-scoring wins and Schalke's home attacking resilience suggest a match with goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS route.

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Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBayern München Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 91% · edge -14.9 pts
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Bayern München to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The of 2.2 for Bayern München to Win & Both Teams to Score reflect a slightly short price compared to the model's 44.4% chance, indicating cautious value. The market prices Bayern's strong away form and Schalke's scoring potential but leaves limited margin for enhanced staking. drift or improved Schalke midfield clarity would strengthen the value case.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

FC Schalke 043
Avg corners for
Bayern München9
FC Schalke 0414
Avg total corners
Bayern München12
FC Schalke 040
Avg yellow cards
Bayern München1
FC Schalke 0411
Avg shots
Bayern München21
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Bayern average 9 corners and 21 shots per match, indicating sustained attacking pressure and wide play. Schalke average 3 corners and 11 shots, showing moderate offensive activity. Bayern's discipline is solid with 1 yellow card per game, while Schalke's low card count reflects a less aggressive style. The shot and corner disparity suggests Bayern will dominate territory and chances.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Schalke 04

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
30 Aug 2026A FC Augsburg0-3

Bayern München

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
28 Aug 2026H VfB Stuttgart5-1
Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 84% vs implied 97% · edge -13.1 pts
1.03
Check odds @ 1.03
Load more odds for this section
Bayern München Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Bayern München to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Bayern München have won their last match and scored 5 goals while conceding just 1, maintaining a 100% over 2.5 goals and BTTS rate. Schalke have yet to earn points this season, conceding 3 goals and failing to score, but their underlying expected goals suggest offensive potential. This contrast in form underpins Bayern's favored status but leaves room for Schalke to score.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0FC Schalke 04 wins
0Draws
10Bayern München wins
13 May 2023Bayern Munich v FC Schalke 046-0
12 Nov 2022FC Schalke 04 v Bayern Munich0-2
24 Jan 2021FC Schalke 04 v Bayern Munich0-4
18 Sep 2020Bayern Munich v FC Schalke 048-0
03 Mar 2020FC Schalke 04 v Bayern Munich0-1
25 Jan 2020Bayern Munich v FC Schalke 045-0
Market aligned with main pickBayern München to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 86% · edge -15.5 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
The last 12 meetings have all been won by Bayern München, showing clear control. However, Schalke's strong home form and recent attacking metrics suggest they can breach Bayern's defense. While head-to-head favors Bayern, Schalke's ability to score and Bayern's defensive concessions add nuance to the matchup.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

Bundesliga

FC Schalke 042
Played
Bayern München2
FC Schalke 040
Avg goals for
Bayern München2.5
FC Schalke 041.5
Avg goals against
Bayern München0.5
FC Schalke 041
Clean sheets
Bayern München1
Market aligned with main pickBayern München Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 91% · edge -14.9 pts
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Load more odds for this section
Bayern München to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Bayern München's season stats show prolific scoring with 226 goals in 69 matches under Kompany, averaging over 3 goals per game in recent wins. Schalke's strong home record and 2.10 expected goals in their opener reflect offensive capability despite defensive vulnerabilities. Bayern's defensive concessions in recent matches support the likelihood of both teams scoring.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Bayern München421104
14FC Schalke 0412011-3
Bayern München lead the Bundesliga standings with 3 points from one match, reflecting their strong start and status as title favorites. Schalke sit bottom with 0 points but have a strong unbeaten home streak that could challenge Bayern. The table context highlights Bayern's pressure to maintain momentum and Schalke's need to capitalize on home advantage.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%FC Schalke 04 Over 2.5
100%Bayern München Over 2.5
3.8H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 Bundesliga meetings, the average goals per game is 3.8, indicating a high-scoring trend. Both teams have consistently contributed to goal tallies, with Bayern's recent matches featuring multiple goals and Schalke showing attacking promise. This trend supports expectations for an open game with over 2.5 goals.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

FC Schalke 04 v Bayern München prediction

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