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FC Midtjylland crestFC Midtjylland
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FC Nordsjaelland crestFC Nordsjaelland

Superliga | Mon 07 Sep, 18:00

FC Midtjylland v FC Nordsjaelland Stats

Data last updated: Sun 06 Sep 2026, 08:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Midtjylland and FC Nordsjaelland meet in a tightly contested Superliga clash with both teams near the top of the table, separated by just one point. Recent matches have shown a competitive tempo, with Midtjylland averaging nearly seven corners per game and Nordsjaelland over five. Both sides possess attacking intent, reflected in their shot volumes and goal involvement, setting the stage for a match where territorial battles and wing play could generate numerous set-piece opportunities. The fixture promises tactical intensity with both teams eager to assert control early in the season.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • FC Midtjylland averages 6.8 corners per game, indicating strong wing pressure.
  • FC Nordsjaelland contributes 5.4 corners per game, supporting a high total corner count.
  • Model projects a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, showing solid statistical backing.
  • Both teams’ attacking styles and recent form suggest sustained pressure and frequent set-piece chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 69% probability for over 9.5 corners, well above the 54.6% implied by current , indicating clear value. Both teams generate high corner counts through active wing play and attacking pressure, with Midtjylland’s 6.8 and Nordsjaelland’s 5.4 average corners per match. The match context of two closely ranked teams fighting for early season points supports a competitive game with frequent territorial shifts and set-piece opportunities. is strong at 85%, reflecting consistent corner trends and attacking metrics. No data limitations affect this analysis.

Model Chance69%
Strong positive
Implied Chance54.6%
Strong positive
Average Corners per GameMidtjylland 6.8, Nordsjaelland 5.4
Strong positive
Confidence Level85%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a dynamic encounter with both FC Midtjylland and FC Nordsjaelland pushing aggressively on the flanks, generating numerous corners. The teams’ offensive styles and recent corner averages support a high corner count, making over 9.5 corners a compelling selection. Tactical battles on the wings and set-piece frequency underpin this choice, reinforced by strong model and value.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“The corner count here reflects both teams’ attacking width and willingness to press high, creating multiple set-piece chances. This fixture’s tempo and territorial exchanges make over 9.5 corners a logical and data-backed angle.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

FC Midtjylland averages 6.8 corners per game, indicating strong wing pressure.

FC Nordsjaelland contributes 5.4 corners per game, supporting a high total corner count.

Model projects a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, showing solid statistical backing.

Both teams’ attacking styles and recent form suggest sustained pressure and frequent set-piece chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 3.4, indicating open play and attacking intent.
  • While this trend focuses on goals, it suggests a tempo conducive to frequent attacking transitions and set pieces, supporting the expectation of a high corner count in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

FC Midtjylland6.8
Avg corners for
FC Nordsjaelland5.4
FC Midtjylland11.4
Avg total corners
FC Nordsjaelland9
FC Midtjylland1.8
Avg yellow cards
FC Nordsjaelland2.2
FC Midtjylland15.4
Avg shots
FC Nordsjaelland17.6
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +13.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Midtjylland’s average of 6.8 corners per game and Nordsjaelland’s 5.4 reflect sustained wing pressure and frequent attacking transitions. Combined with solid shot volumes (15.4 and 17.6 respectively), these stats suggest a match rich in wide play and set-piece situations. Discipline is moderate, with yellow cards averaging 1.8 and 2.2, indicating a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Midtjylland1.4
Avg goals scored
FC Nordsjaelland1.6
FC Midtjylland0.6
Avg goals conceded
FC Nordsjaelland0.6
FC Midtjylland60%
BTTS rate
FC Nordsjaelland20%
FC Midtjylland20%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Nordsjaelland40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
While goal scoring rates differ slightly, with Midtjylland averaging 1.4 and Nordsjaelland 1.6 goals per game, the focus here is on corner generation rather than goals. The teams’ contrasting BTTS rates (60% for Midtjylland, 20% for Nordsjaelland) indicate varied attacking patterns, but both maintain offensive pressure that translates into corners rather than just goals.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionFC Nordsjaelland Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +14.6 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
FC Nordsjaelland to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
FC Midtjylland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The for over 9.5 corners offer clear value, with the model estimating a 69% chance versus a 54.6% implied probability from the price of 1.83. This significant suggests the market underestimates the frequency of corners, likely due to both teams’ active wing play and pressing styles that generate set-piece opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Midtjylland

WDWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 0L
02 Sep 2026A Aarhus2-0
30 Aug 2026A Silkeborg1-1
23 Aug 2026H Randers FC1-0
16 Aug 2026A Lyngby1-1
02 Aug 2026H AC Horsens2-1

FC Nordsjaelland

LWWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 1L
03 Sep 2026A FC Copenhagen0-2
30 Aug 2026H Brondby3-1
23 Aug 2026A Sonderjyske3-0
16 Aug 2026H Silkeborg1-0
02 Aug 2026H Randers FC1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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FC Nordsjaelland Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
FC Nordsjaelland to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
FC Midtjylland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
FC Midtjylland to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Recent form shows Midtjylland with 11 points and Nordsjaelland with 12, both maintaining solid offensive output and defensive resilience. Midtjylland’s lower over 2.5 goals rate (20%) contrasts with Nordsjaelland’s 40%, but both teams consistently generate corners through active wing play and pressing, supporting the over 9.5 corners selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4FC Midtjylland wins
2Draws
4FC Nordsjaelland wins
10 May 2026FC Nordsjaelland v FC Midtjylland0-0
15 Mar 2026FC Midtjylland v FC Nordsjaelland0-1
14 Dec 2025FC Nordsjaelland v FC Midtjylland2-1
04 Dec 2025FC Midtjylland v FC Nordsjaelland5-1
30 Nov 2025FC Midtjylland v FC Nordsjaelland6-0
14 Sep 2025FC Nordsjaelland v FC Midtjylland1-0
Best odds for this sectionFC Nordsjaelland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
FC Midtjylland to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
The ten previous meetings between these teams have produced an average of 3.4 goals per game, reflecting open and attacking contests. Although the sample is moderate, the pattern of offensive play and territorial exchanges between Midtjylland and Nordsjaelland supports the likelihood of numerous corners, aligning with the over 9.5 corners pick.
Season team stats

Superliga

FC Midtjylland6
Played
FC Nordsjaelland6
FC Midtjylland1.7
Avg goals for
FC Nordsjaelland1.5
FC Midtjylland0.8
Avg goals against
FC Nordsjaelland0.7
FC Midtjylland2
Clean sheets
FC Nordsjaelland3
Best odds for this sectionFC Nordsjaelland Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +14.6 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
FC Nordsjaelland to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
FC Midtjylland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
FC Midtjylland to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Season-long data confirms Midtjylland’s strong corner average of 6.8 per match and Nordsjaelland’s 5.4, reflecting sustained attacking pressure and wing control. These figures underpin the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners in this fixture, as both teams maintain offensive patterns that yield frequent set-piece opportunities.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2FC Midtjylland1464205
3FC Nordsjaelland1364115
With Midtjylland second and Nordsjaelland third in the Superliga, both teams have strong incentives to press for victory. This competitive positioning encourages aggressive wing play and territorial battles, which typically increase corner counts as teams seek scoring chances and defensive clearances under pressure.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%FC Midtjylland Over 2.5
40%FC Nordsjaelland Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 3.4, indicating open play and attacking intent. While this trend focuses on goals, it suggests a tempo conducive to frequent attacking transitions and set pieces, supporting the expectation of a high corner count in this fixture.

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