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FC Levadia Tallinn crestFC Levadia Tallinn
v
Caernarfon Town crestCaernarfon Town

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 16 Jul, 17:30

FC Levadia Tallinn v Caernarfon Town Stats

Data last updated: Wed 15 Jul 2026, 04:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn face Caernarfon Town in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 16 Jul, 17:30. Erik Botheim arrives in clinical goalscoring form, fresh from hitting three goals in his previous league fixture. Caernarfon Town remain general favourites under expected expectation, though their recent heavy away defeats provide Levadia Tallinn with a distinct competitive opening.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Requires both competing squads to score at least one goal during regular play

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 55%, above the 33% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 83/100, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 55%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 33%.
  • 🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams to Score (Yes) Rationale
  • FC Levadia Tallinn show a 0% BTTS rate and Caernarfon Town show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • FC Levadia Tallinn average 5 goals scored and Caernarfon Town average 0, so both attacking contributions need separating.
Price warning

Requires both competing squads to score at least one goal during regular play is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 55% while the model sits nearer 33% (-21.3 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Caernarfon Town Draw No Bet shows a +27.7 pts edge at 7.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 33% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 55% implied by the current price. FC Levadia Tallinn show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Caernarfon Town show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams to Score (Yes) Rationale

Model chance vs price33% model chance against roughly 55% implied
Negative
FC Levadia Tallinn show a 0% BTTS rate and Caernarfon.Visible data support
Positive
FC Levadia Tallinn average 5 goals scored and Caernarfon Town.Visible data support
Positive
🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams to Score (Yes) RationaleArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because 🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams to Score (Yes) Rationale FC Levadia Tallinn show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Caernarfon Town show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. They can hurt opponents quickly, but they have also been giving opponents far too many invitations.

Main risk

They can hurt opponents quickly, but they have also been giving opponents far too many invitations.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams to Score (Yes) Rationale

FC Levadia Tallinn show a 0% BTTS rate and Caernarfon Town show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

FC Levadia Tallinn average 5 goals scored and Caernarfon Town average 0, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Levadia Tallinn5
Avg goals scored
Caernarfon Town0
FC Levadia Tallinn0
Avg goals conceded
Caernarfon Town5
FC Levadia Tallinn0%
BTTS rate
Caernarfon Town0%
FC Levadia Tallinn100%
Over 2.5 goals
Caernarfon Town100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 46% · edge -12.2 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price: the BTTS rates are 0% for FC Levadia Tallinn and 0% for Caernarfon Town, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 46% · edge -12.2 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Caernarfon Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
7
Check odds @ 7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Caernarfon Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
12
Check odds @ 12
FC Levadia Tallinn Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
FC Levadia Tallinn to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Levadia Tallinn

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
09 Jul 2026A Caernarfon Town5-0

Caernarfon Town

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
09 Jul 2026H FC Levadia Tallinn0-5
Best odds for this sectionCaernarfon Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 14% · edge +27.7 pts
7
Check odds @ 7
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Caernarfon Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
12
Check odds @ 12
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.01
Check odds @ 1.01
FC Levadia Tallinn Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
FC Levadia Tallinn to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1FC Levadia Tallinn wins
0Draws
0Caernarfon Town wins
09 Jul 2026Caernarfon Town v FC Levadia Tallinn0-5
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 46% · edge -12.2 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Caernarfon Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
12
Check odds @ 12
FC Levadia Tallinn to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Levadia Tallinn2
Played
Caernarfon Town2
FC Levadia Tallinn5
Avg goals for
Caernarfon Town0
FC Levadia Tallinn0
Avg goals against
Caernarfon Town5
FC Levadia Tallinn2
Clean sheets
Caernarfon Town0
Best odds for this sectionCaernarfon Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 14% · edge +27.7 pts
7
Check odds @ 7
Load more odds for this section
Caernarfon Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
12
Check odds @ 12
FC Levadia Tallinn Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
FC Levadia Tallinn to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Season data supports Caernarfon Town Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%FC Levadia Tallinn Over 2.5
100%Caernarfon Town Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: FC Levadia Tallinn sit at 100% and Caernarfon Town sit at 100% with the H2H average at 5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.