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FC Dallas crestFC Dallas
v
Seattle Sounders crestSeattle Sounders

Major League Soccer | Thu 15 Oct, 01:30

FC Dallas v Seattle Sounders Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Major League Soccer clash features FC Dallas hosting Seattle Sounders in a fixture where both teams are pushing for crucial points late in the season. FC Dallas sits third with a solid home record, while Seattle Sounders, seventh, have shown strong attacking form recently. Seattle's ability to score and maintain pressure on opponents contrasts with Dallas's more balanced but less prolific offense. Tactical approaches suggest Seattle will look to exploit their offensive momentum and pressing style to secure an away victory in this competitive matchup.

BT4Y best bet

Seattle Sounders to Win

  • Seattle Sounders have a 62.7% to win, indicating strong in their victory.
  • Seattle averages 2.6 goals per game, significantly higher than FC Dallas's 1.4, highlighting offensive superiority.
  • Seattle's recent form shows 13 points gained, compared to Dallas's 10, reflecting better momentum.
  • Seattle averages 14 shots and 6.8 corners per game, suggesting sustained attacking pressure.
  • FC Dallas concedes 1 goal per game, but Seattle's attack led by D. Rusnák poses a serious threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Seattle Sounders to win due to their superior attacking metrics, including a higher goals-per-game average (2.6) and more shots on target (6 per game) compared to FC Dallas. Seattle's recent form is stronger, with 13 points gained recently versus Dallas's 10. The model also notes Seattle's ability to create more corners and maintain offensive pressure, which aligns with their tactical approach. These factors combine to give Seattle a 62.7% chance of victory, making the away win a compelling selection despite the home advantage for Dallas.

Model Win Probability62.7%
Strong positive
Goals per GameSeattle 2.6 vs Dallas 1.4
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsSeattle 13 vs Dallas 10
Positive
Shots per GameSeattle 14 vs Dallas 12
Positive
Corners per GameSeattle 6.8 vs Dallas 5.2
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Seattle Sounders' recent attacking form and ability to generate chances through key players like D. Rusnák make them the likely winners in this fixture. Their superior offensive statistics and momentum suggest they can overcome FC Dallas's home advantage and secure a valuable away victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form advantage for Seattle Sounders

“Seattle Sounders' dynamic attack and recent momentum position them well to claim victory on the road, especially given their ability to sustain pressure and create quality chances.”

Key Data Signals

Seattle Sounders to Win evidence

Seattle Sounders have a 62.7% to win, indicating strong in their victory.

Seattle averages 2.6 goals per game, significantly higher than FC Dallas's 1.4, highlighting offensive superiority.

Seattle's recent form shows 13 points gained, compared to Dallas's 10, reflecting better momentum.

Seattle averages 14 shots and 6.8 corners per game, suggesting sustained attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Seattle Sounders to Win notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals scored between these teams is 2.1 per game, with Seattle's recent games showing an 80% Over 2.5 rate.
  • This trend suggests a fast-paced game with multiple scoring opportunities, supporting expectations of a goal-filled contest.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Dallas1.4
Avg goals scored
Seattle Sounders2.6
FC Dallas1
Avg goals conceded
Seattle Sounders1
FC Dallas60%
BTTS rate
Seattle Sounders60%
FC Dallas60%
Over 2.5 goals
Seattle Sounders80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 67% · edge +3.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 81%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 41%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Seattle Sounders average 2.6 goals per game with an 80% Over 2.5 rate, indicating a high-scoring tendency. FC Dallas's 1.4 goals per game and 60% Over 2.5 rate suggest a moderately open game. Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, so goals from both sides are likely, supporting a goal-rich encounter.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSeattle Sounders to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
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Seattle Sounders Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
The 40.6% for Seattle Sounders to Win sits against roughly 25.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Seattle Sounders have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 10 for FC Dallas.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Dallas

LWDWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
11 Oct 2026A Charlotte2-3
27 Sep 2026H Los Angeles FC1-0
20 Sep 2026H Austin0-0
13 Sep 2026H Portland Timbers2-1
10 Sep 2026A Minnesota United FC2-1

Seattle Sounders

WWWWD
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 5D 1L
11 Oct 2026A New England Revolution3-0
02 Oct 2026H Sporting Kansas City2-1
27 Sep 2026H Minnesota United FC3-1
24 Sep 2026H Real Salt Lake2-0
20 Sep 2026A Colorado Rapids3-3
Market aligned with main pickSeattle Sounders to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Seattle Sounders Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Seattle Sounders have accumulated 13 points recently, outperforming FC Dallas's 10 points. This form advantage, combined with Seattle's higher goal output and offensive efficiency, suggests they carry better momentum into this fixture, increasing their chances to secure a win on the road.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%FC Dallas Over 2.5
80%Seattle Sounders Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals scored between these teams is 2.1 per game, with Seattle's recent games showing an 80% Over 2.5 rate. This trend suggests a fast-paced game with multiple scoring opportunities, supporting expectations of a goal-filled contest.

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