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FC Copenhagen crestFC Copenhagen
v
AC Horsens crestAC Horsens

Superliga | Fri 11 Sep, 18:00

FC Copenhagen v AC Horsens Stats

Data last updated: Thu 10 Sep 2026, 08:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Copenhagen hosts AC Horsens in a Superliga clash where both teams have shown attacking intent early in the season. FC Copenhagen leads the league and boasts a potent offense averaging nearly three goals per game, while AC Horsens, positioned sixth, also contributes to high-scoring matches. The tactical setup suggests an open game with both sides pushing forward, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides and recent goal-rich encounters set the stage for a potentially thrilling, high-scoring fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • FC Copenhagen averages 2.8 goals per game with an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate.
  • AC Horsens also has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating frequent high-scoring matches.
  • The last 10 head-to-head matches averaged 3.3 goals, supporting a goal-heavy game.
  • FC Copenhagen averages 16.8 shots per game with 5.8 on target, showing strong attacking pressure.
  • Key players like M. Elyounoussi contribute significantly to FC Copenhagen's goal threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 58% chance against a 45.5% implied market probability, reflecting a 12.5% . Both teams have high scoring rates and frequently participate in matches exceeding 2.5 goals, supported by a 3.3 average in recent head-to-heads. FC Copenhagen's aggressive shot volume and AC Horsens' attacking tendencies create conditions conducive to multiple goals. The data quality is solid, reinforcing in this high-scoring prediction.

Model Chance58%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance45.5%
Positive
Value Edge12.5%
Strong positive
FC Copenhagen Goals/Game2.8
Strong positive
AC Horsens Goals/Game2.2
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively encounter with FC Copenhagen's dominant attack facing AC Horsens' willingness to engage offensively. The combination of high scoring averages and open tactical play suggests Over 3.5 Goals is a fitting selection, driven by both teams' offensive outputs and recent goal-rich meetings.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“This fixture features two sides that prioritize attack, with FC Copenhagen's prolific forwards and AC Horsens' willingness to commit players forward creating a fertile ground for goals. The statistical trends and player roles align well with a high-scoring game scenario.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

FC Copenhagen averages 2.8 goals per game with an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate.

AC Horsens also has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating frequent high-scoring matches.

The last 10 head-to-head matches averaged 3.3 goals, supporting a goal-heavy game.

FC Copenhagen averages 16.8 shots per game with 5.8 on target, showing strong attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • The last 10 meetings between these teams have averaged 3.3 goals, with a consistent trend toward Over 2.5 Goals outcomes.
  • This sample suggests a pattern of open games with attacking tempo and defensive gaps, supporting the expectation of a goal-rich encounter on Friday.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Copenhagen2.8
Avg goals scored
AC Horsens2.2
FC Copenhagen1
Avg goals conceded
AC Horsens1.8
FC Copenhagen20%
BTTS rate
AC Horsens80%
FC Copenhagen80%
Over 2.5 goals
AC Horsens80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 46% · edge +12.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams show high Over 2.5 Goals rates at 80%, with FC Copenhagen scoring 2.8 goals per game and AC Horsens 2.2. The last 10 head-to-head matches averaged 3.3 goals, indicating a history of open, goal-filled contests. BTTS rates diverge, but the goal volume supports multiple scoring events.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 67% · edge +10.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
AC Horsens Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
AC Horsens to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
9.5
Check odds @ 9.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
FC Copenhagen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
FC Copenhagen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
The Over 3.5 Goals market offers clear value at 2.2 , with the model's 58% probability exceeding the market's 45.5% implied chance. This positive reflects the strong attacking profiles and recent scoring trends, making the price attractive without major caution flags.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

FC Copenhagen4.2
Avg corners for
AC Horsens2.4
FC Copenhagen7.4
Avg total corners
AC Horsens8.6
FC Copenhagen1.8
Avg yellow cards
AC Horsens2.4
FC Copenhagen16.8
Avg shots
AC Horsens11.6

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Copenhagen

WWWLW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 0D 1L
06 Sep 2026A Odense5-0
03 Sep 2026H FC Nordsjaelland2-0
31 Aug 2026H Sonderjyske3-1
23 Aug 2026A Viborg0-4
16 Aug 2026A Randers FC4-0

AC Horsens

WLWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 3L
06 Sep 2026A Sonderjyske5-2
28 Aug 2026H Viborg2-3
23 Aug 2026H Lyngby2-1
16 Aug 2026A Odense2-1
09 Aug 2026H Brondby0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
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AC Horsens Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
AC Horsens to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
9.5
Check odds @ 9.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
FC Copenhagen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
FC Copenhagen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Recent form data shows FC Copenhagen with 12 points and an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while AC Horsens has 9 points with the same Over 2.5 rate. Both teams have conceded goals regularly, with FC Copenhagen allowing 1 per game and AC Horsens 1.8, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that support a high-scoring outcome.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7FC Copenhagen wins
0Draws
3AC Horsens wins
11 Jul 2026FC Copenhagen v AC Horsens3-2
12 Mar 2023AC Horsens v FC Copenhagen1-4
17 Jul 2022FC Copenhagen v AC Horsens0-1
07 Feb 2021AC Horsens v FC Copenhagen0-2
06 Dec 2020FC Copenhagen v AC Horsens2-0
08 Mar 2020FC Copenhagen v AC Horsens0-1
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 67% · edge +10.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
AC Horsens to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
9.5
Check odds @ 9.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
FC Copenhagen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Head-to-head data over 10 matches shows an average of 3.3 goals per game, confirming a historical tendency for high-scoring affairs. This trend aligns with both teams' current offensive form, providing a strong contextual basis for expecting multiple goals in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Superliga

FC Copenhagen7
Played
AC Horsens7
FC Copenhagen2.9
Avg goals for
AC Horsens1.9
FC Copenhagen1.1
Avg goals against
AC Horsens1.7
FC Copenhagen3
Clean sheets
AC Horsens0
Best odds for this sectionAC Horsens Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
AC Horsens to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
9.5
Check odds @ 9.5
FC Copenhagen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
FC Copenhagen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Season-long statistics reveal FC Copenhagen's strong offensive output of 2.8 goals per game and AC Horsens' 2.2, both maintaining high Over 2.5 Goals percentages at 80%. Defensive records show some susceptibility, especially for AC Horsens, reinforcing the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1FC Copenhagen18760112
6AC Horsens1073131
FC Copenhagen leads the Superliga with 18 points, reflecting their dominant form and attacking prowess. AC Horsens sits sixth with 10 points, indicating competitive but less consistent performances. While standings highlight FC Copenhagen's strength, the gap suggests they may push aggressively for goals, increasing the chance of a high-scoring match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%FC Copenhagen Over 2.5
80%AC Horsens Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
The last 10 meetings between these teams have averaged 3.3 goals, with a consistent trend toward Over 2.5 Goals outcomes. This sample suggests a pattern of open games with attacking tempo and defensive gaps, supporting the expectation of a goal-rich encounter on Friday.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.