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FC Cincinnati crestFC Cincinnati
v
New England Revolution crestNew England Revolution

Major League Soccer | Thu 15 Oct, 00:30

FC Cincinnati v New England Revolution Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Cincinnati face New England Revolution in Major League Soccer on Thu 15 Oct, 00:30. FC Cincinnati come in with 5 recent points and 1.8 goals per match, while New England Revolution have 9 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

New England Revolution to Win

  • At 3.8, New England Revolution to Win implies roughly 26%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 41%.
  • New England Revolution have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for FC Cincinnati.
  • New England Revolution have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the New England Revolution to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • FC Cincinnati sit 9 in the table, while New England Revolution sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 41% for New England Revolution to Win sits against roughly 26% implied by the current price. New England Revolution have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for FC Cincinnati.

Model chance vs price41% model chance against roughly 26% implied
Strong positive
New England Revolution have the stronger recent points return, taking.Visible data support
Positive
New England Revolution have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: New England Revolution Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers New England Revolution have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for FC Cincinnati. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

New England Revolution to Win evidence

New England Revolution have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for FC Cincinnati.

New England Revolution have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the New England Revolution Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

FC Cincinnati sit 9 in the table, while New England Revolution sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

New England Revolution to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    FC Cincinnati1.8
    Avg goals scored
    New England Revolution1.6
    FC Cincinnati2.8
    Avg goals conceded
    New England Revolution2
    FC Cincinnati80%
    BTTS rate
    New England Revolution60%
    FC Cincinnati100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    New England Revolution100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 71% · edge +6.6 pts
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
    2.88
    Check odds @ 2.88
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for FC Cincinnati and 100% for New England Revolution, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickNew England Revolution to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    New England Revolution Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    New England Revolution to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Major League Soccer hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    FC Cincinnati

    WLDDL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 4D 3L
    11 Oct 2026A Atlanta United FC3-1
    27 Sep 2026A CF Montreal1-3
    20 Sep 2026A Houston Dynamo2-2
    13 Sep 2026H Charlotte3-3
    10 Sep 2026A Philadelphia Union0-5

    New England Revolution

    LLWWW
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 1D 4L
    11 Oct 2026H Seattle Sounders0-3
    27 Sep 2026A Real Salt Lake0-3
    20 Sep 2026H Orlando City SC4-2
    13 Sep 2026A Chicago Fire2-1
    10 Sep 2026A New York City FC2-1
    Market aligned with main pickNew England Revolution to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
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    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    New England Revolution Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%FC Cincinnati Over 2.5
    100%New England Revolution Over 2.5
    3.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: FC Cincinnati sit at 100% and New England Revolution sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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