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FC Cincinnati crestFC Cincinnati
v
Inter Miami crestInter Miami

Major League Soccer | Thu 14 May, 00:30

FC Cincinnati v Inter Miami Stats

Data last updated: Mon 15 Jun 2026, 16:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Cincinnati face Inter Miami in Major League Soccer on Thu 14 May, 00:30. A 2-1 result reflects Miami's attacking dominance and away consistency while acknowledging Cincinnati's ability to remain competitive and find the net at TQL Stadium.

BT4Y best bet

The winner and for both teams to score

  • At 8/1, FC Cincinnati Win implies roughly 11%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 38%.
  • Inter Miami have won six of their last seven away MLS matches and arrive with immense attacking momentum.
  • Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for FC Cincinnati.
  • Inter Miami have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the FC Cincinnati Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • FC Cincinnati sit 7 in the table, while Inter Miami sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 38% for FC Cincinnati Win sits against roughly 11% implied by the current price. Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for FC Cincinnati. Inter Miami have won six of their last seven away MLS matches and arrive with immense attacking momentum.

Model chance vs price38% model chance against roughly 11% implied
Strong positive
Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 10.Visible data support
Positive
Inter Miami have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Inter Miami have won six of their last seven.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: FC Cincinnati Win is the preferred angle because inter Miami have won six of their last seven away MLS matches and arrive with immense attacking momentum. Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for FC Cincinnati. That is not just entertaining — it signals a team that are increasingly aggressive going forward but also alarmingly open when transitions break against them.

Main risk

That is not just entertaining — it signals a team that are increasingly aggressive going forward but also alarmingly open when transitions break against them.

Key Data Signals

FC Cincinnati Win evidence

Inter Miami have won six of their last seven away MLS matches and arrive with immense attacking momentum.

Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for FC Cincinnati.

Inter Miami have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the FC Cincinnati Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

FC Cincinnati sit 7 in the table, while Inter Miami sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

FC Cincinnati Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    FC Cincinnati4.4
    Avg corners for
    Inter Miami5.4
    FC Cincinnati9.8
    Avg total corners
    Inter Miami7.8
    FC Cincinnati3
    Avg yellow cards
    Inter Miami3.4
    FC Cincinnati14.6
    Avg shots
    Inter Miami15.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15.4 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
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    Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.88
    Check odds @ 1.88
    Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    Major League Soccer fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for FC Cincinnati v Inter Miamicorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    FC Cincinnati2.8
    Avg goals scored
    Inter Miami2.6
    FC Cincinnati2.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Inter Miami1.8
    FC Cincinnati80%
    BTTS rate
    Inter Miami80%
    FC Cincinnati80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Inter Miami60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 75% · edge +0.8 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
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    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 80% for FC Cincinnati and 80% for Inter Miami, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFC Cincinnati to WinBetUK guide price · Model 38% vs implied 33% · edge +5 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    FC Cincinnati Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    FC Cincinnati to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    FC Cincinnati

    DWWDD
    Last 52W 3D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 4D 3L
    10 May 2026A Charlotte2-2
    03 May 2026A Chicago Fire3-2
    26 Apr 2026H New York Red Bulls2-0
    23 Apr 2026A New York City FC4-4
    19 Apr 2026H Chicago Fire3-3

    Inter Miami

    WLDWW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 4D 1L
    09 May 2026A Toronto FC4-2
    03 May 2026H Orlando City SC3-4
    26 Apr 2026H New England Revolution1-1
    23 Apr 2026A Real Salt Lake2-0
    18 Apr 2026A Colorado Rapids3-2
    Market aligned with main pickFC Cincinnati to WinBetUK guide price · Model 38% vs implied 33% · edge +5 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
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    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.71
    Check odds @ 1.71
    FC Cincinnati Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5FC Cincinnati wins
    3Draws
    2Inter Miami wins
    23 Nov 2025FC Cincinnati v Inter Miami0-4
    27 Jul 2025Inter Miami v FC Cincinnati0-0
    17 Jul 2025FC Cincinnati v Inter Miami3-0
    25 Aug 2024Inter Miami v FC Cincinnati2-0
    07 Jul 2024FC Cincinnati v Inter Miami6-1
    08 Oct 2023Inter Miami v FC Cincinnati0-1
    Market aligned with main pickFC Cincinnati to WinBetUK guide price · Model 38% vs implied 33% · edge +5 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    The head-to-head sample gives context for FC Cincinnati to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Major League Soccer

    FC Cincinnati15
    Played
    Inter Miami15
    FC Cincinnati2.4
    Avg goals for
    Inter Miami2.6
    FC Cincinnati2.5
    Avg goals against
    Inter Miami1.9
    FC Cincinnati2
    Clean sheets
    Inter Miami3
    Market aligned with main pickFC Cincinnati to WinBetUK guide price · Model 38% vs implied 33% · edge +5 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    FC Cincinnati Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Season data supports FC Cincinnati to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Inter Miami311594211
    7FC Cincinnati2015555-1
    FC Cincinnati sit in position 7, while Inter Miami sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the FC Cincinnati Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%FC Cincinnati Over 2.5
    60%Inter Miami Over 2.5
    3.6H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: FC Cincinnati sit at 80% and Inter Miami sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    FC Cincinnati v Inter Miami prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Major League Soccer hubMajor League Soccer fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for FC Cincinnati v Inter Miamicorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

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    Betting context

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