Everton

Wolves

League Cup | Wed 16 Sep, 19:45

Everton v Wolves Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 07:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Everton and Wolves meet in a League Cup tie where attacking intent is likely to shape the contest. Everton's recent matches have featured high scoring, with a perfect record of Over 2.5 Goals in their last outings, while Wolves have shown a more moderate goal output but remain capable of contributing to an open game. Both sides have demonstrated defensive vulnerabilities recently, suggesting a fixture that could see multiple goals. The cup setting adds urgency for both teams to push forward and avoid a stalemate, setting the stage for an entertaining encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

Everton have recorded Over 2.5 Goals in 100% of recent matches, indicating strong attacking form.
Wolves have a 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate, showing moderate goal involvement.
Everton average 29 shots and 10 shots on target per game, reflecting offensive pressure.
Wolves average 14.5 shots and 5 shots on target, suggesting some attacking threat.
Recent head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals, supporting a higher-scoring game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at a 69% chance, well above the implied market chance of 57.8%, indicating positive value. Everton's attacking statistics, including high shot volume and perfect recent Over 2.5 record, combine with Wolves' capacity to score and concede goals to support a game with multiple goals. The League Cup context encourages open play and goal-scoring opportunities. No data limitations affect , and the price offers a standard staking opportunity for value.

Model Probability69% chance of Over 2.5 Goals

Strong positive

Everton Recent Form100% Over 2.5 rate in recent matches

Strong positive

Wolves Goal Contribution50% Over 2.5 rate, moderate attacking output

Positive

Shot VolumesEverton 29 shots/game, Wolves 14.5 shots/game

Positive

Market PriceOdds 1.73 with positive value edge

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open League Cup clash with Everton's strong attacking form likely to push the goal count above 2.5. Wolves' moderate offensive threat and defensive lapses add to the likelihood of multiple goals. The data and tactical context suggest a lively match with scoring opportunities for both sides.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking dynamics

“Everton's high shot volume and clinical finishing combined with Wolves' vulnerability at the back set the stage for a goal-rich encounter in this cup tie.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Everton have recorded Over 2.5 Goals in 100% of recent matches, indicating strong attacking form.

Wolves have a 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate, showing moderate goal involvement.

Everton average 29 shots and 10 shots on target per game, reflecting offensive pressure.

Wolves average 14.5 shots and 5 shots on target, suggesting some attacking threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.5, indicating a trend towards moderately high-scoring encounters.
This sample suggests a balanced tempo with opportunities for both sides to score, reinforcing the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Everton5

Avg corners for

Wolves7

Everton8

Avg total corners

Wolves10.5

Everton0

Avg yellow cards

Wolves1

Everton29

Avg shots

Wolves14.5

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 52% · edge -7.9 pts

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

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Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 39%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Everton's average of 5 corners and 29 shots per game highlights their offensive pressure and territorial control. Wolves generate fewer shots and more corners, indicating a mix of defensive resilience and counter-attacking attempts. Wolves' slightly higher average of yellow cards suggests a moderately physical approach, which could disrupt rhythm but also lead to set-piece opportunities.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Everton4

Avg goals scored

Wolves2.5

Everton0

Avg goals conceded

Wolves0

Everton0%

BTTS rate

Wolves0%

Everton100%

Over 2.5 goals

Wolves50%

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 65%

Check odds @ 2

Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 87%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Recent form shows Everton consistently involved in high-scoring games with no BTTS occurrences, indicating they often score while keeping clean sheets. Wolves have a 50% Over 2.5 rate and no BTTS, suggesting matches often end with one side scoring multiple goals. The combined data points to a game with multiple goals but possibly not both teams scoring.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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Wolves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Wolves to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%

3.9

Check odds @ 3.9

Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Everton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.32

Check odds @ 1.32

Everton to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.73, reflecting an implied chance of 57.8%, which is notably lower than the model's 69% probability. This gap indicates a positive value opportunity, supported by Everton's attacking control and Wolves' susceptibility to conceding goals. The price is attractive for standard stakes without requiring drift.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Everton

Last 51W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 0L

26 Aug 2026A Preston4-0

Wolves

Last 52W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 0D 0L

25 Aug 2026A Sheffield Wednesday2-0

07 Aug 2026H Port Vale3-0

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

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Wolves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Wolves to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%

3.9

Check odds @ 3.9

Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 71%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Everton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.32

Check odds @ 1.32

Everton to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Everton's recent matches have all exceeded 2.5 goals, showcasing a potent attack and occasional defensive lapses. Wolves have a mixed recent form with half their games going over 2.5 goals, reflecting inconsistency but capacity for open play. This contrast suggests a fixture likely to feature several goals, especially with Everton pushing forward aggressively.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Everton wins

3Draws

5Wolves wins

07 Jan 2026Everton v Wolves1-1

23 Sep 2025Wolves v Everton2-0

30 Aug 2025Wolves v Everton2-3

08 Mar 2025Wolves v Everton1-1

04 Dec 2024Everton v Wolves4-0

30 Dec 2023Wolves v Everton3-0

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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Wolves to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%

3.9

Check odds @ 3.9

Everton to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2.5 goals per game, suggesting a history of competitive and moderately high-scoring games. While not overwhelmingly supportive, this trend aligns with the expectation of multiple goals in the upcoming fixture, adding contextual backing to the Over 2.5 selection.

Season team stats

League Cup

Everton1

Played

Wolves2

Everton4

Avg goals for

Wolves2.5

Everton0

Avg goals against

Wolves0

Everton1

Clean sheets

Wolves2

Best odds for this sectionWolves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

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Wolves to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

Everton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.32

Check odds @ 1.32

Everton to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Season-long data confirms Everton's high attacking output with an average of 29 shots per game and a perfect Over 2.5 record recently. Wolves' more modest shooting figures and 50% Over 2.5 rate indicate a team capable of both scoring and conceding goals, supporting the expectation of a match with multiple goals scored.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Everton Over 2.5

50%Wolves Over 2.5

2.5H2H avg goals

Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.5, indicating a trend towards moderately high-scoring encounters. This sample suggests a balanced tempo with opportunities for both sides to score, reinforcing the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

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Betting context

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Football Stats Hub

Everton v Wolves Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Football Stats Hub

Everton v Wolves Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

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