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Estrelav
FamalicaoPrimeira Liga | Mon 11 May, 20:15
Estrela v Famalicao Stats
BT4Y best bet
Famalicao to Win
- At 2, Famalicao to Win is priced at roughly 50% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +20-point value edge.
- Estrela have a recent record of 0W-0D-5L, while Famalicao come in at 1W-4D-0L across the same last-five lens.
- The result profile supports the Famalicao to Win angle: Estrela have taken 0 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
- The result profile supports the Famalicao to Win angle: Famalicao have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 2, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 50% · edge +20 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
40%Estrela Over 2.5
60%Famalicao Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Estrela
LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 recordLast 101W 2D 7L
02 May 2026A Moreirense2-3
26 Apr 2026H FC Porto1-2
19 Apr 2026A Arouca0-1
11 Apr 2026H Sporting CP0-1
04 Apr 2026A Nacional0-2
Famalicao
DWDDD
Last 51W 4D 0L
Last 5 recordLast 105W 5D 0L
02 May 2026H Benfica2-2
26 Apr 2026A Estoril1-0
19 Apr 2026A SC Braga2-2
10 Apr 2026H Moreirense1-1
04 Apr 2026A FC Porto2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 50% · edge +20 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Estrela0.6
Avg goals scoredFamalicao1.6
Estrela1.8
Avg goals concededFamalicao1.4
Estrela40%
BTTS rateFamalicao80%
Estrela40%
Over 2.5 goalsFamalicao60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
2Estrela wins
2Draws
1Famalicao wins
27 Dec 2025Famalicao v Estrela2-3
25 Jan 2025Famalicao v Estrela0-0
19 Aug 2024Estrela v Famalicao0-3
16 Mar 2024Famalicao v Estrela0-0
29 Oct 2023Estrela v Famalicao1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 50% · edge +20 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Estrela3.4
Avg corners forFamalicao5.6
Estrela9.2
Avg total cornersFamalicao10
Estrela2.8
Avg yellow cardsFamalicao3.6
Estrela11.2
Avg shotsFamalicao11.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 53% vs implied 56% · edge -3 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
M. ZabiriFamalicao · Attacker
Goal threat81/100
Shots /903.13
SOT /902.04
A. JoujouFamalicao · Attacker
Goal threat59/100
Shots /902.13
SOT /901.37
U. AbubakarFamalicao · Attacker
Goal threat55/100
Shots /902.62
SOT /901.74
R. BeneyFamalicao · Attacker
Goal threat46/100
Shots /902.67
SOT /902.23
Gonzalo PastorFamalicao · Midfielder
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Mathias De AmorimFamalicao · Midfielder
Goal threat33/100
Shots /901.02
SOT /900.31
Season team stats
Primeira Liga
Estrela32
PlayedFamalicao32
Estrela1.1
Avg goals forFamalicao1.3
Estrela1.7
Avg goals againstFamalicao0.9
Estrela7
Clean sheetsFamalicao15
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 50% · edge +20 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Famalicao | 52 | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 12 |
| 15 | Estrela | 28 | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -18 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
