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England crestEngland
v
Ghana crestGhana

World Cup | Tue 23 Jun, 21:00

England v Ghana Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 11:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

England face Ghana in World Cup on Tue 23 Jun, 21:00. Group L Leaders Meet With Control, Nerve And A Place In The Knockouts On The Line. Ghana have five wins and one draw across their last six listed matches, including clean sheets in recent games.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2

  • At 6/5, England Win implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 56%.
  • With Ghana averaging 0.14 goals conceded, a single breakthrough scenario heavily reinforces a tight defensive landscape.
  • Ghana have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the England Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 56% for England Win sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. Ghana have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the England Win angle more than a raw possession edge. With Ghana averaging that scoring level conceded, a single breakthrough scenario heavily reinforces a tight defensive landscape.

Model chance vs price56% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Positive
Ghana have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
With Ghana averaging 0.14 goals conceded, a single breakthrough.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: England Win is the preferred angle because with Ghana averaging that scoring level conceded, a single breakthrough scenario heavily reinforces a tight defensive landscape. Ghana have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the England Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Ghana’s start was very different, but no less valuable.

Main risk

Ghana’s start was very different, but no less valuable.

Key Data Signals

England Win evidence

With Ghana averaging 0.14 goals conceded, a single breakthrough scenario heavily reinforces a tight defensive landscape.

Ghana have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the England Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

England Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    England8
    Avg corners for
    Ghana2
    England10
    Avg total corners
    Ghana4
    England0
    Avg yellow cards
    Ghana1
    England22
    Avg shots
    Ghana8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
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    Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 44%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    World Cup fixtures and predictionsEngland v Ghana predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    England4
    Avg goals scored
    Ghana1
    England2
    Avg goals conceded
    Ghana0
    England100%
    BTTS rate
    Ghana0%
    England100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Ghana0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 42% · edge +24.7 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickEngland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 83% · edge -27.7 pts
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    England Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    England to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    England

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    17 Jun 2026H Croatia4-2

    Ghana

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    18 Jun 2026H Panama1-0
    Market aligned with main pickEngland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 83% · edge -27.7 pts
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 82%
    1.04
    Check odds @ 1.04
    England Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0England wins
    0Draws
    0Ghana wins
    Market aligned with main pickEngland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 83% · edge -27.7 pts
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for England to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    World Cup

    England7
    Played
    Ghana0
    England2
    Avg goals for
    Ghana-
    England1.1
    Avg goals against
    Ghana-
    England2
    Clean sheets
    Ghana-
    Market aligned with main pickEngland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 83% · edge -27.7 pts
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Load more odds for this section
    England Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Season data supports England to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%England Over 2.5
    0%Ghana Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: England sit at 100% and Ghana sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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