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v
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World Cup | Tue 23 Jun, 21:00

England v Ghana Stats

Data last updated: Mon 22 Jun 2026, 03:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

England and Ghana meet in a crucial World Cup Group L clash where both teams hold three points from their opening matches. England arrive on a six-match winning streak, showcasing attacking depth with players like Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham, while Ghana counters with a disciplined defensive record, boasting four consecutive clean sheets. The tactical battle is set between England's possession control and Ghana's compact defensive shape, with both sides aware that a win here could secure a strong position in the group. The match promises a tense, strategic contest rather than an open goal-fest.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Ghana have kept 6 clean sheets in 7 recent matches, including 4 consecutive shutouts.
  • England average 2.89 goals per game but face Ghana's strong defensive block.
  • England control possession with 70% average and 92% passing accuracy.
  • Ghana's defensive compactness suggests a low-scoring tactical battle.
  • Recent form shows England scoring in all 9 listed games, Ghana conceding very few goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Under 2.5 Goals pick aligns with Ghana's exceptional defensive record, including six clean sheets in seven matches and an average of only 0.14 goals conceded per game. England's high possession and passing accuracy may limit vertical penetration against Ghana's compact block, leading to horizontal ball circulation rather than multiple clear chances. The model sees value as the implied underestimate the likelihood of a tight, low-scoring match shaped by Ghana's resilience and England's need for patience breaking down a deep defense. No price warnings apply, supporting a standard stake approach.

Ghana Defensive Solidity6 clean sheets in 7 games, 0.14 goals conceded per match
Strong positive
England Attacking Volume2.89 goals per match, 70% possession, 92% pass accuracy
Positive
Match Tactical SetupGhana's compact shape vs England's possession control
Strong positive
Recent Goal TrendsEngland 100% over 2.5 rate, Ghana 0% over 2.5 rate
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This Under 2.5 Goals selection reflects the tactical reality of a match where Ghana's disciplined defense is likely to stifle England's attacking variety. England's possession control and technical quality suggest a controlled game, but Ghana's resilience and recent clean sheets make a low-scoring outcome the most plausible scenario. The pick balances England's offensive threat with Ghana's defensive compactness, anticipating a tight scoreline.

Main risk

The main risk is an early breakthrough or individual brilliance from players like Jude Bellingham, which could force Ghana to abandon their defensive block and open the game, potentially increasing goal opportunities.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical and defensive balance

“Ghana's defensive discipline combined with England's methodical possession suggests a tactical chess match where goals will be scarce. Expect a patient England probing a resolute Ghana backline, making Under 2.5 Goals a compelling choice.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Ghana have kept 6 clean sheets in 7 recent matches, including 4 consecutive shutouts.

England average 2.89 goals per game but face Ghana's strong defensive block.

England control possession with 70% average and 92% passing accuracy.

Ghana's defensive compactness suggests a low-scoring tactical battle.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last seven matches, Ghana have kept six clean sheets, and England have scored in all nine listed games.
  • However, Ghana's defensive resilience and England's possession-based style suggest a slower tempo with fewer goal-scoring opportunities.
  • The trend points to a tactical battle with limited goals rather than a high-scoring encounter.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

England8
Avg corners for
Ghana2
England10
Avg total corners
Ghana4
England0
Avg yellow cards
Ghana1
England22
Avg shots
Ghana8
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
England averages 8 corners per match with 22 shots and 11 on target, reflecting sustained pressure and attacking intent. Ghana's lower averages (2 corners, 8 shots, 2 on target) indicate a more conservative approach. Ghana's higher foul rate (12.14 per match) versus England's 6.56 suggests potential set-piece opportunities for England, but Ghana's discipline in maintaining shape limits dangerous chances.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

England4
Avg goals scored
Ghana1
England2
Avg goals conceded
Ghana0
England100%
BTTS rate
Ghana0%
England100%
Over 2.5 goals
Ghana0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 44% · edge +10.5 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Ghana's recent sequence of four consecutive clean sheets and a 0% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with England's 100% over 2.5 rate, highlighting a clash between prolific attack and staunch defense. Both Teams To Score is unlikely given Ghana's defensive compactness, supporting a low total goals outcome. The goal-scoring threat is concentrated in England, but Ghana's shape reduces clear-cut chances.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 42% · edge +24.7 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Ghana Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
7
Check odds @ 7
Ghana to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
13
Check odds @ 13
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
7
Check odds @ 7
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
England Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced at 6/5 (2.2 decimal) with an implied chance of 45.5%, while the model estimates a 54% probability, indicating positive value. This reflects in Ghana's defensive strength limiting England's scoring chances. The price is fair and supports a standard stake, with no warnings for overpricing or short sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

England

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
17 Jun 2026H Croatia4-2

Ghana

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
18 Jun 2026H Panama1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 23% · edge +31.4 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Ghana Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
7
Check odds @ 7
Ghana to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
13
Check odds @ 13
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
7
Check odds @ 7
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 82%
1.04
Check odds @ 1.04
England Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
England to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
England's recent form is dominant, with six consecutive wins and 20 goals scored against only two conceded, showing attacking consistency and defensive solidity. Ghana's form is strong defensively, with five wins and one draw in six matches, including four straight clean sheets. This contrast in form underlines the likelihood of a tight game with limited goals, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0England wins
0Draws
0Ghana wins
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 42% · edge +24.7 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Ghana to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
13
Check odds @ 13
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
7
Check odds @ 7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
England to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
No previous competitive meetings exist between England and Ghana, so head-to-head data offers no direct insight. The analysis relies instead on recent form, tactical styles, and player profiles to assess likely match dynamics and goal expectations.
Season team stats

World Cup

England1
Played
Ghana1
England4
Avg goals for
Ghana1
England2
Avg goals against
Ghana0
England0
Clean sheets
Ghana1
Best odds for this sectionGhana Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 14% · edge +27.7 pts
7
Check odds @ 7
Load more odds for this section
Ghana to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
13
Check odds @ 13
England Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
England to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
England's season stats show a high scoring average of 2.89 goals per match and a 100% scoring rate, indicating offensive reliability. Ghana's defensive numbers are exceptional, conceding just 0.14 goals per game and maintaining six clean sheets in seven matches. These season-long profiles reinforce the expectation of a low-scoring match shaped by England's possession and Ghana's defensive compactness.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1England311002
2Ghana311001
Both teams sit atop Group L with three points each after one match, making this fixture pivotal for early qualification. The standings reflect balanced competition rather than control, emphasizing the importance of tactical discipline and defensive resilience over open attacking play, which aligns with a low-scoring outlook.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%England Over 2.5
0%Ghana Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last seven matches, Ghana have kept six clean sheets, and England have scored in all nine listed games. However, Ghana's defensive resilience and England's possession-based style suggest a slower tempo with fewer goal-scoring opportunities. The trend points to a tactical battle with limited goals rather than a high-scoring encounter.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

England v Ghana prediction

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