Football Stats Hub

England U19 crestEngland U19
v
USA U19 crestUSA U19

Friendlies | Fri 02 Oct, 15:00

England U19 v USA U19 Stats

Data last updated: Thu 01 Oct 2026, 09:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly match between England U19 and USA U19 offers an intriguing clash of youth talent with USA U19 entering on the back of strong recent performances, having secured 9 points with an attacking average of 3.67 goals per game. England U19, while solid defensively conceding only 0.5 goals per game, have a more modest scoring record. The USA side's offensive dynamism and recent form suggest they will look to impose themselves early, while England will aim to contain and counter. The match promises tactical intensity and a test of attacking versus defensive strengths.

BT4Y best bet

USA U19 to Win

  • USA U19 have a high recent scoring rate of 3.67 goals per game compared to England's 1.5
  • USA U19 have collected 9 points recently, showing strong form
  • England U19 concede fewer goals (0.5 per game), indicating defensive solidity
  • USA U19's over 2.5 goals rate is 67%, suggesting open games with scoring chances

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors USA U19 to win based on their superior recent form and attacking output, with a 69.1% chance reflecting in their offensive capabilities. Despite England's defensive strengths, USA's higher goal-scoring rate and points tally underpin this selection. The data quality is solid for both sides, supporting a reliable forecast. The price offers positive value given the model's strong and the tactical context of USA's attacking momentum against England's defense.

Recent form pointsUSA U19 9 vs England U19 6
Strong positive
Goals scored per gameUSA U19 3.67 vs England U19 1.5
Strong positive
Goals conceded per gameEngland U19 0.5 vs USA U19 0.67
Positive
Model confidence69%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The USA U19 team’s recent attacking form and points accumulation suggest they have the edge in this friendly. England’s defensive resilience will be tested by USA’s dynamic offense, making a USA win a plausible outcome based on current momentum and goal production.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“USA U19’s high scoring rate and recent results position them as favorites, with their offensive approach likely to challenge England’s defense throughout the match.”

Key Data Signals

USA U19 to Win evidence

USA U19 have a high recent scoring rate of 3.67 goals per game compared to England's 1.5

USA U19 have collected 9 points recently, showing strong form

England U19 concede fewer goals (0.5 per game), indicating defensive solidity

USA U19's over 2.5 goals rate is 67%, suggesting open games with scoring chances

What To Watch In The Data

USA U19 to Win notes

  • Over the recent matches, USA U19 have a 67% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a trend towards open, high-scoring encounters.
  • England’s 50% rate suggests a balanced approach, but the trend favors a match with multiple goals, driven by USA’s attacking tendencies and England’s occasional defensive vulnerabilities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

England U191.5
Avg goals scored
USA U193.67
England U190.5
Avg goals conceded
USA U190.67
England U1950%
BTTS rate
USA U1933%
England U1950%
Over 2.5 goals
USA U1967%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 46% vs implied 38% · edge +7.3 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 77%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
USA U19’s average of 3.67 goals per game and a 33% BTTS rate indicate a tendency for high-scoring matches but less frequent both teams scoring. England’s lower scoring and strong defense suggest matches may feature goals primarily from USA, supporting a goal-heavy game but potentially one-sided in scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickUSA U19 to WinBetfred guide price · Model 34% vs implied 23% · edge +11 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
USA U19 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The 34.1% for USA U19 to Win sits against roughly 23.1% implied by the current price (+11 pts). USA U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for England U19.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

England U19

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
29 Sep 2026H Norway U192-1
25 Sep 2026H Republic of Ireland U191-0

USA U19

WWW
Last 53W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 0L
29 Sep 2026H Wales U192-0
09 Jun 2026H Japan U195-2
28 Mar 2026A Wales U194-0
Market aligned with main pickUSA U19 to WinBetfred guide price · Model 34% vs implied 23% · edge +11 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
USA U19 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
USA U19’s recent form is impressive with 9 points and a high goal-scoring rate, indicating strong momentum and . England U19 have been solid defensively but less prolific offensively, suggesting USA’s form advantage could be decisive in breaking down England’s defense in this friendly.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%England U19 Over 2.5
67%USA U19 Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the recent matches, USA U19 have a 67% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a trend towards open, high-scoring encounters. England’s 50% rate suggests a balanced approach, but the trend favors a match with multiple goals, driven by USA’s attacking tendencies and England’s occasional defensive vulnerabilities.

Loading deeper match data…