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Dundee crestDundee
v
ST Johnstone crestST Johnstone

Premiership | Wed 02 Sep, 19:45

Dundee v ST Johnstone Stats

Data last updated: Tue 01 Sep 2026, 07:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Dundee and ST Johnstone meet in a Scottish Premiership fixture where both teams have shown varied attacking and defensive traits early in the season. Dundee, sitting fourth with six points, have a slightly more disciplined defense, while ST Johnstone, ninth with three points, have been involved in higher-scoring matches. Both sides rely on wing play and set-piece deliveries, suggesting a contest with territorial battles and frequent wide attacks. The match timing and stakes could encourage open play, with both teams seeking to assert control and create chances from the flanks, setting the stage for a high-corner count encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Dundee average 4.5 corners per match, ST Johnstone 4.0, combining for 8.5 on average.
  • Recent form shows Dundee and ST Johnstone matches often feature sustained wide pressure and set-piece opportunities.
  • Model projects a 64.2% chance of over 9.5 corners, offering positive value at 1.92 .
  • Both teams have attacking players who generate frequent shots and fouls, increasing corner potential.
  • Historical data and playing styles suggest a tactical emphasis on wing play and crossing, supporting a high corner count.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a strong likelihood of over 9.5 corners based on both teams' average corner counts and attacking patterns. Dundee's 4.5 and ST Johnstone's 4.0 corners per game reflect sustained wing pressure and set-piece involvement. The match context of open play and tactical emphasis on wide attacks further supports this. The 64.2% exceeds the implied market probability, indicating positive value. is high at 78%, with no data limitations affecting the analysis.

Average corners per gameDundee 4.5, ST Johnstone 4.0
Strong positive
Model corner chance64.2%
Strong positive
Market implied chance52.1%
Positive
Attacking style and set-piece frequencyHigh wing play and fouls leading to corners
Strong positive
Confidence level78%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a tactical battle with both Dundee and ST Johnstone pushing wide to create chances, leading to numerous corners. The teams' average corner counts and attacking tendencies support a lively contest with frequent set-piece deliveries, making over 9.5 corners a compelling selection.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“This fixture features two teams that rely heavily on wing play and set-piece situations, naturally generating a high volume of corners. The statistical profile and tactical approach align well with an over 9.5 corners outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Dundee average 4.5 corners per match, ST Johnstone 4.0, combining for 8.5 on average.

Recent form shows Dundee and ST Johnstone matches often feature sustained wide pressure and set-piece opportunities.

Model projects a 64.2% chance of over 9.5 corners, offering positive value at 1.92 .

Both teams have attacking players who generate frequent shots and fouls, increasing corner potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 2.4, indicating moderately open games.
  • Over the last five matches for both teams, attacking tempo and wide play have contributed to frequent goal-scoring chances and set-piece deliveries, supporting a trend towards multiple corners and over 2.5 goals potential.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dundee1.25
Avg goals scored
ST Johnstone1.67
Dundee0.75
Avg goals conceded
ST Johnstone2
Dundee25%
BTTS rate
ST Johnstone67%
Dundee25%
Over 2.5 goals
ST Johnstone67%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 59% · edge +5.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Goal scoring has been moderate with Dundee averaging 1.25 goals and ST Johnstone 1.67, but ST Johnstone's matches show a 67% over 2.5 goals rate and BTTS rate, indicating open play. While goals may vary, the attacking intent supports frequent attacking sequences that often lead to corners.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionDundee Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Dundee to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The over 9.5 corners market is priced attractively at 1.92 with a of 64.2%, indicating clear value. The implied market chance is 52.1%, so the current offer a positive edge without requiring caution. This pricing reflects in the match producing frequent wide attacks and set-piece situations.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Dundee4.5
Avg corners for
ST Johnstone4
Dundee10.5
Avg total corners
ST Johnstone9.33
Dundee1.5
Avg yellow cards
ST Johnstone1
Dundee13.5
Avg shots
ST Johnstone11
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 52% · edge +12.1 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both teams average around 4 to 4.5 corners per match, supported by solid shot volumes (Dundee 13.5, ST Johnstone 11) and fouling rates that can lead to set-piece opportunities. Discipline is moderate, with Dundee averaging 1.5 yellows and ST Johnstone 1, suggesting a physical but not overly aggressive contest conducive to corners.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dundee

LWWL
Last 52W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 2L
30 Aug 2026H Hibernian1-2
22 Aug 2026A Dundee Utd2-0
08 Aug 2026H Aberdeen2-0
03 Aug 2026A Celtic0-1

ST Johnstone

LLW
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
29 Aug 2026A Heart Of Midlothian1-2
08 Aug 2026A ST Mirren0-1
02 Aug 2026H Kilmarnock4-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 80% vs implied 65% · edge +15 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Dundee Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Dundee to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
ST Johnstone Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
ST Johnstone to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Recent matches show Dundee with a lower over 2.5 goals rate (25%) but consistent corner counts near 4.5 per game. ST Johnstone's recent form includes a higher over 2.5 goals rate (67%) and BTTS rate, reflecting more open games. This contrast suggests a dynamic match with frequent attacking transitions and corner opportunities.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Dundee wins
4Draws
1ST Johnstone wins
18 May 2025ST Johnstone v Dundee0-2
01 Mar 2025Dundee v ST Johnstone1-1
05 Jan 2025ST Johnstone v Dundee1-3
26 Oct 2024Dundee v ST Johnstone1-2
30 Mar 2024ST Johnstone v Dundee1-2
11 Feb 2024Dundee v ST Johnstone2-1
Best odds for this sectionDundee to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
ST Johnstone to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
The ten previous meetings between Dundee and ST Johnstone have averaged 2.4 goals per game, suggesting moderately open contests. While the sample size is limited for corner-specific data, the goal trends and tactical setups imply a match where wide attacks and set pieces are common, indirectly supporting a higher corner count.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premiership

Dundee4
Played
ST Johnstone3
Dundee1.3
Avg goals for
ST Johnstone1.7
Dundee0.8
Avg goals against
ST Johnstone2
Dundee2
Clean sheets
ST Johnstone0
Best odds for this sectionDundee Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Dundee to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
ST Johnstone Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
ST Johnstone to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Season-long data confirms Dundee and ST Johnstone average 4.5 and 4.0 corners respectively, reflecting tactical emphasis on wing play and crossing. Defensive stats show moderate goals conceded, supporting sustained attacking pressure and corner generation throughout matches.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Dundee642022
9ST Johnstone33102-1
Dundee's higher league position (4th) compared to ST Johnstone (9th) indicates a competitive edge, but both teams have incentive to attack and press for points. This competitive context supports an open game with frequent set-piece situations and corners as both seek to assert control.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

25%Dundee Over 2.5
67%ST Johnstone Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 2.4, indicating moderately open games. Over the last five matches for both teams, attacking tempo and wide play have contributed to frequent goal-scoring chances and set-piece deliveries, supporting a trend towards multiple corners and over 2.5 goals potential.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.