Dundee
LivingstonPremiership | Sat 09 May, 15:00
Dundee v Livingston Stats
Data last updated: Sun 19 Jul 2026, 19:52 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Dundee face Livingston in Premiership on Sat 09 May, 15:00. Livingston have lost nine of their last 12 away league fixtures. Dundee United are in excellent home form, having won their last four matches at Tannadice while scoring ten goals. The hosts’ attacking tempo should overwhelm a fragile visiting defence.
Defeats following the derby win over Dundee prevented them from building real momentum heading into the closing weeks
- At 4/6, Dundee Win implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 34%.
- Key metrics and sample prices based on recent home and away trends.
- Livingston have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 4 for Dundee.
- Dundee have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Dundee Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Dundee sit 2 in the table, while Livingston sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Defeats following the derby win over Dundee prevented them from building real momentum heading into the closing weeks is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 60% while the model sits nearer 34% (-26.2 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 3.5 Goals shows a +16 pts edge at 3.2.
Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive
Football case vs market price
The 34% for Dundee Win sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Livingston have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 4 for Dundee. Key metrics and sample prices based on recent home and away trends.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Dundee Win is the preferred angle because key metrics and sample prices based on recent home and away trends. Livingston have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 4 for Dundee. It has not always been elegant, but recently it has at least looked purposeful.
It has not always been elegant, but recently it has at least looked purposeful.
Key Data Signals
Dundee Win evidence
Key metrics and sample prices based on recent home and away trends.
Livingston have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 4 for Dundee.
Dundee have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Dundee Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Dundee sit 2 in the table, while Livingston sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Dundee Win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Dundee
Livingston
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Season team stats
Premiership
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dundee | 33 | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | -19 |
| 12 | Livingston | 16 | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | -31 |
| 2 | Dundee | 42 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -19 |
| 6 | Livingston | 21 | 38 | 2 | 15 | 21 | -35 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
