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Dundeev
LivingstonPremiership | Sat 09 May, 15:00
Dundee v Livingston Stats
BT4Y best bet
Livingston to Win
- At 4.1, Livingston to Win is priced at roughly 24% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 50%, so the current line is showing a +25.8-point value edge.
- Dundee have a recent record of 1W-1D-3L, while Livingston come in at 1W-2D-2L across the same last-five lens.
- The result profile supports the Livingston to Win angle: Dundee have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
- The result profile supports the Livingston to Win angle: Livingston have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 4.1, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 24% · edge +25.8 pts
4.1
Bet HERE @ 4.1Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
60%Dundee Over 2.5
60%Livingston Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Dundee
WLDLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 recordLast 103W 4D 3L
02 May 2026H ST Mirren1-0
26 Apr 2026A Dundee Utd0-3
11 Apr 2026A Kilmarnock2-2
05 Apr 2026H Celtic1-2
21 Mar 2026A Heart Of Midlothian0-1
Livingston
DWLDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 101W 6D 3L
01 May 2026H Aberdeen2-2
25 Apr 2026A ST Mirren2-0
11 Apr 2026A Dundee Utd2-3
05 Apr 2026H Heart Of Midlothian2-2
21 Mar 2026A Kilmarnock0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 24% · edge +25.8 pts
4.1
Bet HERE @ 4.1Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Dundee0.8
Avg goals scoredLivingston1.6
Dundee1.6
Avg goals concededLivingston1.8
Dundee40%
BTTS rateLivingston60%
Dundee60%
Over 2.5 goalsLivingston60%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 83% vs implied 78% · edge +5.2 pts
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
4Dundee wins
3Draws
3Livingston wins
14 Feb 2026Dundee v Livingston2-2
13 Dec 2025Livingston v Dundee2-2
20 Sep 2025Dundee v Livingston3-2
27 Jan 2024Livingston v Dundee1-4
05 Nov 2023Dundee v Livingston1-0
28 Oct 2023Livingston v Dundee0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 24% · edge +25.8 pts
4.1
Bet HERE @ 4.1Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Dundee3.8
Avg corners forLivingston4.67
Dundee7.8
Avg total cornersLivingston9.67
Dundee1
Avg yellow cardsLivingston1
Dundee8.8
Avg shotsLivingston9.33
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 48% · edge +3.4 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
R. MuirheadLivingston · Attacker
Goal threat60/100
Shots /902.32
SOT /901.13
L. SmithLivingston · Midfielder
Goal threat52/100
Shots /901.32
SOT /900.8
S. MayLivingston · Attacker
Goal threat39/100
Shots /901.4
SOT /900.83
C. MontañoLivingston · Defender
Goal threat28/100
Shots /900.85
SOT /900.34
Season team stats
Premiership
Dundee36
PlayedLivingston36
Dundee1.1
Avg goals forLivingston1.1
Dundee1.6
Avg goals againstLivingston2
Dundee7
Clean sheetsLivingston3
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 24% · edge +25.8 pts
4.1
Bet HERE @ 4.1Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dundee | 33 | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | -19 |
| 12 | Livingston | 16 | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | -31 |
| 3 | Dundee | 39 | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | -18 |
| 6 | Livingston | 20 | 36 | 2 | 14 | 20 | -32 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
