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Criciuma crestCriciuma
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Fortaleza EC crestFortaleza EC

Serie B | Sun 23 Aug, 22:30

Criciuma v Fortaleza EC Stats

Data last updated: Tue 25 Aug 2026, 16:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie B clash features Criciuma, currently top of the table, hosting Fortaleza EC, who sit fifth. Criciuma have been solid defensively but have struggled to score freely, averaging just 0.6 goals per game recently. Fortaleza EC, meanwhile, show a more balanced attack and defense, with a higher rate of goals scored and conceded. Both sides have shown tendencies to find the net, setting up a contest where both teams scoring is a realistic outcome. The match carries significance for both sides as they aim to consolidate their positions near the top of the standings.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Criciuma and Fortaleza EC both have recent BTTS rates of 20% and 60% respectively.
  • Fortaleza EC averages 12.6 shots per game with 3.2 on target, indicating attacking intent.
  • Criciuma ranks 1st with 44 points; Fortaleza EC is 5th with 37 points, both pushing for top positions.
  • Recent H2H matches average 2.4 goals, suggesting moderate scoring in their encounters.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model sees a 53.3% chance of both teams scoring, above the implied market chance of 45.5%, indicating positive value at of 2.2. Fortaleza EC's higher BTTS rate and attacking shot volume support this, while Criciuma's defensive solidity is balanced by their occasional goal threat. The average 2.4 goals in recent head-to-heads further supports the likelihood of goals at both ends. No data limitations or price warnings apply, making this a solid pick with standard stake guidance.

Model BTTS Chance53.3%
Strong positive
Fortaleza EC BTTS Rate60%
Strong positive
Criciuma Defensive Record0.6 goals conceded per game
Neutral
H2H Average Goals2.4 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown the ability to score in this Serie B fixture, with Fortaleza EC's attacking players creating consistent chances and Criciuma maintaining a solid defense that still concedes occasionally. The data suggests a balanced contest where both sides find the net, making the BTTS bet a logical choice based on tactical and statistical evidence.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Player attacking roles and goal threat

“Fortaleza EC's midfielders like Vitinho and J. Miritello provide sustained attacking threat, while Criciuma's forwards such as R. Otero offer enough quality to break down defenses, supporting the expectation of goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Criciuma and Fortaleza EC both have recent BTTS rates of 20% and 60% respectively.

Fortaleza EC averages 12.6 shots per game with 3.2 on target, indicating attacking intent.

Criciuma ranks 1st with 44 points; Fortaleza EC is 5th with 37 points, both pushing for top positions.

Recent H2H matches average 2.4 goals, suggesting moderate scoring in their encounters.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.4, reflecting a moderate scoring tempo.
  • This trend suggests a match environment where goals are likely but not excessively high, fitting well with the BTTS market rather than high over/under totals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Criciuma0.6
Avg goals scored
Fortaleza EC0.8
Criciuma0.6
Avg goals conceded
Fortaleza EC0.8
Criciuma20%
BTTS rate
Fortaleza EC60%
Criciuma0%
Over 2.5 goals
Fortaleza EC20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 46% · edge +7.8 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
5
Check odds @ 5
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Fortaleza EC's 60% BTTS rate contrasts with Criciuma's 20%, but combined with their average goals conceded and scored, this points to a game where both sides can find the net. The recent head-to-head average of 2.4 goals per match supports a moderate scoring environment conducive to BTTS outcomes.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Criciuma

DWLDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
20 Aug 2026A Botafogo SP1-1
15 Aug 2026H Goias1-0
09 Aug 2026A Athletic Club0-2
26 Jul 2026H Nautico Recife0-0
21 Jul 2026A Novorizontino1-0

Fortaleza EC

DDDWL
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
19 Aug 2026H São Bernardo1-1
15 Aug 2026A Juventude0-0
09 Aug 2026A Cuiaba1-1
29 Jul 2026H Botafogo SP1-0
22 Jul 2026A Vila Nova1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 55% · edge +6.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 79%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Fortaleza EC to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Fortaleza EC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Criciuma to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Criciuma Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Recent form shows Criciuma scoring 0.6 goals per game with a 20% BTTS rate, while Fortaleza EC scores slightly more and concedes more, with a 60% BTTS rate. This contrast highlights Fortaleza's more open style and supports the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.

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League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Criciuma442412848
5Fortaleza EC402411766
Criciuma leads the Serie B standings, indicating strong overall performance, but Fortaleza EC's fifth place shows they are competitive and capable of challenging top teams. The stakes for both sides to secure points add to the likelihood of an open game with goals at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 46% · edge +7.8 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Fortaleza EC to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Fortaleza EC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Criciuma to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Criciuma Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 2.2, reflecting a 45.5% implied chance, while the model estimates a higher 53.3% likelihood, indicating positive value. This pricing suggests the market may be underestimating Fortaleza EC's offensive capabilities and the potential for Criciuma to score despite their defensive focus.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Criciuma7.4
Avg corners for
Fortaleza EC5.8
Criciuma13.2
Avg total corners
Fortaleza EC10.6
Criciuma2.2
Avg yellow cards
Fortaleza EC1.4
Criciuma13
Avg shots
Fortaleza EC12.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 67% · edge +2.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 5.5 CardsBetfred guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both teams generate a healthy number of shots and corners, with Criciuma averaging 7.4 corners and Fortaleza EC 5.8, indicating sustained attacking pressure. Card averages are moderate, suggesting a competitive but disciplined match that allows for open play and goal-scoring chances.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Criciuma wins
1Draws
3Fortaleza EC wins
20 Apr 2026Fortaleza EC v Criciuma3-2
10 Aug 2024Fortaleza EC v Criciuma1-0
24 Jul 2024Criciuma v Fortaleza EC1-1
08 Sep 2018Criciuma v Fortaleza EC2-0
23 May 2018Fortaleza EC v Criciuma2-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 46% · edge +7.8 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Fortaleza EC to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Criciuma to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
The five recent meetings between Criciuma and Fortaleza EC have averaged 2.4 goals per game, indicating a balanced scoring pattern. While not overwhelmingly high-scoring, this average supports the expectation that both teams have found the net in previous encounters, lending weight to the BTTS pick.
Season team stats

Serie B

Criciuma24
Played
Fortaleza EC24
Criciuma1
Avg goals for
Fortaleza EC1.1
Criciuma0.7
Avg goals against
Fortaleza EC0.9
Criciuma11
Clean sheets
Fortaleza EC11
Best odds for this sectionFortaleza EC to WinBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 24% · edge +9.3 pts
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Load more odds for this section
Fortaleza EC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Criciuma to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Criciuma Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Season-long data reveals Criciuma's strong defensive record balanced against a modest attack, while Fortaleza EC maintains a more balanced attack and defense profile. This combination suggests a match where both teams have opportunities to score, aligning with the BTTS selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Criciuma Over 2.5
20%Fortaleza EC Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.4, reflecting a moderate scoring tempo. This trend suggests a match environment where goals are likely but not excessively high, fitting well with the BTTS market rather than high over/under totals.

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