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Dundee Utd crestDundee Utd
v
Falkirk crestFalkirk

Premiership | Sat 05 Sep, 15:00

Dundee Utd v Falkirk Stats

Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 07:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Dundee Utd face Falkirk in Premiership on Sat 05 Sep, 15:00. Dundee Utd come in with 4 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Falkirk have 1 points and 0.5 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • At 1.8, Over 9.5 Corners implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 69%.
  • Falkirk lead the corner sample at 4.25 per match, with Dundee Utd lower at 4.2.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Dundee Utd average 14.2 and Falkirk average 9.25.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Falkirk lead the corner sample at 4.25 per match, with Dundee Utd lower at 4.2.

Model chance vs price69% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Positive
Falkirk lead the corner sample at 4.25 per match.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 9.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Falkirk lead the corner sample at 4.25 per match, with Dundee Utd lower at 4.2. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Falkirk lead the corner sample at 4.25 per match, with Dundee Utd lower at 4.2.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Dundee Utd average 14.2 and Falkirk average 9.25.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Dundee Utd4.2
Avg corners for
Falkirk4.25
Dundee Utd11.2
Avg total corners
Falkirk9.5
Dundee Utd2
Avg yellow cards
Falkirk2
Dundee Utd14.2
Avg shots
Falkirk9.25
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +13.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dundee Utd1
Avg goals scored
Falkirk0.5
Dundee Utd2
Avg goals conceded
Falkirk1.5
Dundee Utd20%
BTTS rate
Falkirk50%
Dundee Utd60%
Over 2.5 goals
Falkirk50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 46% · edge +6 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS No is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: Dundee Utd concede 2 on average and Falkirk score 0.5, so the clean-sheet route has a data base.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionDundee Utd Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 55% · edge +11 pts
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
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Dundee Utd to WinBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Falkirk to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Falkirk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Dundee Utd Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dundee Utd

LWLLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 3L
02 Sep 2026A Motherwell0-3
29 Aug 2026A Kilmarnock4-0
22 Aug 2026H Dundee0-2
09 Aug 2026A Heart Of Midlothian0-4
31 Jul 2026H Rangers1-1

Falkirk

LLDL
Last 50W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 3L
02 Sep 2026H Rangers1-2
29 Aug 2026A Celtic1-2
09 Aug 2026A Motherwell0-0
01 Aug 2026H ST Mirren0-2
Best odds for this sectionDundee Utd Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 55% · edge +11 pts
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 83%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Dundee Utd to WinBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Falkirk to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Falkirk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Dundee Utd wins
2Draws
4Falkirk wins
06 Mar 2026Falkirk v Dundee Utd2-1
14 Feb 2026Falkirk v Dundee Utd2-3
22 Nov 2025Dundee Utd v Falkirk0-3
03 Aug 2025Falkirk v Dundee Utd2-2
13 Jul 2024Falkirk v Dundee Utd2-0
17 Nov 2023Falkirk v Dundee Utd4-2
Best odds for this sectionDundee Utd to WinBetUK guide price · Model 57% vs implied 52% · edge +4.5 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Falkirk to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The head-to-head sample gives context for Dundee Utd to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Premiership

Dundee Utd5
Played
Falkirk4
Dundee Utd1
Avg goals for
Falkirk0.5
Dundee Utd2
Avg goals against
Falkirk1.5
Dundee Utd1
Clean sheets
Falkirk1
Best odds for this sectionDundee Utd Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 55% · edge +11 pts
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Load more odds for this section
Dundee Utd to WinBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Falkirk to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Falkirk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Season data supports Dundee Utd Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Dundee Utd45113-5
11Falkirk14013-4
Dundee Utd sit in position 9, while Falkirk sit in position 11, so table pressure belongs in the Over 9.5 Corners assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Dundee Utd Over 2.5
50%Falkirk Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Dundee Utd sit at 60% and Falkirk sit at 50% with the H2H average at 3.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.