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Dundee Utd crestDundee Utd
v
Dundee crestDundee

Premiership | Sat 22 Aug, 17:45

Dundee Utd v Dundee Stats

Data last updated: Mon 14 Sep 2026, 06:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Dundee Utd face Dundee in Premiership on Sat 22 Aug, 17:45. Dundee Utd come in with 1 recent points and 0.5 goals per match, while Dundee have 3 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • Teams Key Stats: Possession and Goal Output
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Dundee Utd and 0% for Dundee, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Dundee are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Dundee Utd at 0.5.
  • BTTS rates of 50% for Dundee Utd and 0% for Dundee show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Dundee Utd and 0% for Dundee, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Teams Key Stats: Possession and Goal Output

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Dundee Utd.Visible data support
Positive
Dundee are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.Visible data support
Positive
Teams Key Stats: Possession and Goal OutputArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Dundee are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Dundee Utd at 0.5. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Dundee are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Dundee Utd at 0.5.

BTTS rates of 50% for Dundee Utd and 0% for Dundee show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Dundee Utd3.5
Avg corners for
Dundee4.5
Dundee Utd12
Avg total corners
Dundee11
Dundee Utd1.5
Avg yellow cards
Dundee1
Dundee Utd10.5
Avg shots
Dundee14.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 67% · edge +2.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dundee Utd0.5
Avg goals scored
Dundee1
Dundee Utd2.5
Avg goals conceded
Dundee0.5
Dundee Utd50%
BTTS rate
Dundee0%
Dundee Utd50%
Over 2.5 goals
Dundee0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionDundee Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 59% · edge +12.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Dundee to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Dundee Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Dundee Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dundee Utd

LD
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
09 Aug 2026A Heart Of Midlothian0-4
31 Jul 2026H Rangers1-1

Dundee

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
08 Aug 2026H Aberdeen2-0
03 Aug 2026A Celtic0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Dundee Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Dundee to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Dundee Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Dundee Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Dundee Utd wins
4Draws
3Dundee wins
26 Apr 2026Dundee Utd v Dundee3-0
15 Mar 2026Dundee v Dundee Utd2-2
03 Jan 2026Dundee Utd v Dundee0-1
31 Aug 2025Dundee v Dundee Utd0-2
16 Mar 2025Dundee Utd v Dundee2-4
20 Jan 2025Dundee v Dundee Utd1-0
Best odds for this sectionDundee to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Dundee Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The head-to-head sample gives context for Dundee to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Premiership

Dundee Utd6
Played
Dundee6
Dundee Utd1
Avg goals for
Dundee1.2
Dundee Utd1.8
Avg goals against
Dundee1
Dundee Utd1
Clean sheets
Dundee2
Best odds for this sectionDundee Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 59% · edge +12.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Dundee to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Dundee Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Dundee Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Season data supports Dundee Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Dundee762131
9Dundee Utd56123-5
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Dundee Utd Over 2.5
0%Dundee Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Dundee Utd sit at 50% and Dundee sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.