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Dundee Utd crestDundee Utd
v
Dundee crestDundee

Premiership | Sat 22 Aug, 17:45

Dundee Utd v Dundee Stats

Data last updated: Tue 06 Oct 2026, 14:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Dundee Utd face Dundee in Premiership on Sat 22 Aug, 17:45. Dundee Utd come in with 1 recent points and 0.5 goals per match, while Dundee have 3 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • Teams Key Stats: Possession and Goal Output
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Dundee Utd and 0% for Dundee, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Dundee are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Dundee Utd at 0.5.
  • BTTS rates of 50% for Dundee Utd and 0% for Dundee show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Dundee Utd and 0% for Dundee, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Teams Key Stats: Possession and Goal Output

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Dundee Utd.Visible data support
Positive
Dundee are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.Visible data support
Positive
Teams Key Stats: Possession and Goal OutputArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Dundee are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Dundee Utd at 0.5. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Dundee are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Dundee Utd at 0.5.

BTTS rates of 50% for Dundee Utd and 0% for Dundee show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dundee Utd0.5
Avg goals scored
Dundee1
Dundee Utd2.5
Avg goals conceded
Dundee0.5
Dundee Utd50%
BTTS rate
Dundee0%
Dundee Utd50%
Over 2.5 goals
Dundee0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Premiership hubDundee Utd v Dundee predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 78% · edge -3.1 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
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Dundee to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Dundee Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Dundee Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Dundee Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 Corners is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dundee Utd

LD
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
09 Aug 2026A Heart Of Midlothian0-4
31 Jul 2026H Rangers1-1

Dundee

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
08 Aug 2026H Aberdeen2-0
03 Aug 2026A Celtic0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 60% · edge +3.9 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Dundee to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Dundee Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Dundee Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Dundee Utd to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Dundee Utd Over 2.5
0%Dundee Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Dundee Utd sit at 50% and Dundee sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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