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Dukla Praha crestDukla Praha
v
Mlada Boleslav crestMlada Boleslav

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 26 Jun, 16:45

Dukla Praha v Mlada Boleslav Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 05:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly fixture between Dukla Praha and Mlada Boleslav offers an intriguing attacking contest as both teams prepare for the upcoming season. Mlada Boleslav has shown a potent offense recently, averaging 2.6 goals per game and registering over 2.5 goals in all their matches, while Dukla Praha has been more modest with 1.2 goals per game and a 40% over 2.5 rate. The match promises open play and offensive intent from both sides, with Mlada Boleslav's attacking momentum likely to test Dukla Praha's defense in a game that could see multiple goals.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Mlada Boleslav has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches.
  • Dukla Praha averages 1.2 goals per game with a 40% over 2.5 rate.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 3.6 goals per game over 10 matches.
  • Both teams have shown willingness to attack in recent friendlies.
  • Mlada Boleslav concedes 1.8 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model projects a 71.2% chance for over 2.5 goals, driven by Mlada Boleslav's consistent high-scoring friendlies and Dukla Praha's moderate scoring combined with defensive concessions. The historical average of 3.6 goals per meeting supports an open game with multiple goals. While data quality is balanced, the friendly nature encourages offensive play, enhancing the likelihood of surpassing 2.5 goals. This aligns with recent form and tactical openness from both sides, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling selection.

Mlada Boleslav Over 2.5 Rate100% in recent matches
Strong positive
Dukla Praha Goals For1.2 goals per game
Neutral
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.6 goals per game in last 10 matches
Strong positive
Mlada Boleslav Goals Against1.8 goals conceded per game
Positive
Dukla Praha Over 2.5 Rate40% in recent matches
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open, attacking game as Mlada Boleslav's strong scoring form meets Dukla Praha's moderate offense and defensive vulnerabilities. The high average goals in their meetings and recent friendlies suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a sensible call, reflecting both tactical openness and recent scoring trends.

Main risk

The main risk is the friendly match context, which can lead to experimental line-ups and less defensive intensity, potentially lowering goal-scoring despite attacking intent.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking dynamics and scoring potential

“Mlada Boleslav's offensive consistency combined with Dukla Praha's defensive concessions sets the stage for a lively, goal-rich friendly encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Mlada Boleslav has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches.

Dukla Praha averages 1.2 goals per game with a 40% over 2.5 rate.

Head-to-head meetings average 3.6 goals per game over 10 matches.

Both teams have shown willingness to attack in recent friendlies.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average of 3.6 goals per game indicates a historical trend toward high-scoring encounters.
  • This trend, combined with recent offensive form, suggests a continued pattern of open play and multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dukla Praha1.2
Avg goals scored
Mlada Boleslav2.6
Dukla Praha1
Avg goals conceded
Mlada Boleslav1.8
Dukla Praha60%
BTTS rate
Mlada Boleslav100%
Dukla Praha40%
Over 2.5 goals
Mlada Boleslav100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 59% · edge +12.4 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have shown attacking intent recently, with Mlada Boleslav scoring heavily and Dukla Praha contributing moderately. The 100% BTTS rate for Mlada Boleslav and 60% for Dukla Praha indicate both sides tend to find the net, supporting a high-scoring game with goals at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 59% · edge +12.4 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Mlada Boleslav Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Mlada Boleslav to WinBetfred guide price · model 56%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Dukla Praha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Dukla Praha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
The Over 2.5 Goals market aligns well with the model's 71.2% probability, indicating a strong likelihood of multiple goals. While no are provided, the statistical backing from recent form and head-to-head data suggests this market is well-supported and not merely speculative.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dukla Praha

WWDLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 1L
20 Jun 2026A Vlašim3-2
27 Mar 2026A Vlašim1-0
24 Jan 2026A FC Liefering1-1
17 Jan 2026H LNZ Cherkasy1-2
11 Jan 2026H Universitatea Cluj0-0

Mlada Boleslav

LWDWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 1L
26 Mar 2026A Dynamo Dresden1-2
24 Jan 2026A Wisla Krakow4-1
21 Jan 2026A Aarhus Fremad2-2
17 Jan 2026A CSKA Sofia2-1
13 Jan 2026H Táborsko4-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 81% vs implied 69% · edge +11.9 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Mlada Boleslav Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Mlada Boleslav to WinBetfred guide price · model 56%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Dukla Praha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Dukla Praha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Recent form shows Mlada Boleslav with a perfect record of over 2.5 goals in friendlies, reflecting strong offensive output. Dukla Praha's form is less prolific but still capable of contributing goals. This contrast suggests a match with multiple scoring opportunities and a high chance of exceeding 2.5 goals.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Dukla Praha wins
4Draws
3Mlada Boleslav wins
12 May 2026Mlada Boleslav v Dukla Praha1-2
12 Apr 2026Mlada Boleslav v Dukla Praha1-1
08 Nov 2025Dukla Praha v Mlada Boleslav0-1
11 May 2025Mlada Boleslav v Dukla Praha2-3
06 Apr 2025Mlada Boleslav v Dukla Praha0-1
14 Jan 2025Mlada Boleslav v Dukla Praha5-2
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 59% · edge +12.4 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Mlada Boleslav to WinBetfred guide price · model 56%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Dukla Praha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
The 10 previous meetings between these teams have averaged 3.6 goals per game, strongly supporting the expectation of a high-scoring match. This historical trend reflects attacking openness and defensive lapses that are likely to influence this friendly encounter.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Dukla Praha6
Played
Mlada Boleslav5
Dukla Praha1.2
Avg goals for
Mlada Boleslav2.6
Dukla Praha0.8
Avg goals against
Mlada Boleslav1.8
Dukla Praha3
Clean sheets
Mlada Boleslav0
Best odds for this sectionMlada Boleslav Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 53% · edge +12.2 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Mlada Boleslav to WinBetfred guide price · model 56%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Dukla Praha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Dukla Praha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Seasonal data from recent friendlies highlights Mlada Boleslav's attacking prowess with 2.6 goals per game and defensive vulnerability conceding 1.8 goals. Dukla Praha's lower scoring and conceding rates suggest a moderate attack facing a potent offense, reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Dukla Praha Over 2.5
100%Mlada Boleslav Over 2.5
3.6H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average of 3.6 goals per game indicates a historical trend toward high-scoring encounters. This trend, combined with recent offensive form, suggests a continued pattern of open play and multiple goals in this fixture.

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