Dinamo Zagreb

Kauno Žalgiris

UEFA Champions League | Tue 04 Aug, 19:00

Dinamo Zagreb v Kauno Žalgiris Stats

Data last updated: Wed 26 Aug 2026, 05:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Dinamo Zagreb face Kauno Žalgiris in UEFA Champions League on Tue 04 Aug, 19:00. Kauno Zalgiris lead their domestic league with 40 goals and recently won 2-0, showing they can score despite the aggregate deficit. Dinamo Zagreb's strong recent form and scoring streak make them clear favourites over Kauno Zalgiris.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Dinamo Zagreb to win and Both Teams To Score

At 15/8, Dinamo Zagreb to win and Both Teams To Score implies roughly 35%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 22%.
Dinamo Zagreb have scored in every European match this season and won five of their last six games, averaging 3.83 goals per match.
Dinamo Zagreb need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Dinamo Zagreb on 4 and Kauno Žalgiris on 8.
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Dinamo Zagreb and 50% for Kauno Žalgiris.
Dinamo Zagreb to win and Both Teams To Score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.25 for Kauno Žalgiris are central to the read.

Price warning

Dinamo Zagreb to win and Both Teams To Score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 35% while the model sits nearer 22% (-13 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +15 pts edge at 2.35.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 22% for Dinamo Zagreb to win and Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 35% implied by the current price. Dinamo Zagreb need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Dinamo Zagreb on 4 and Kauno Žalgiris on 8. Dinamo Zagreb have scored in every European match this season and won five of their last six games, averaging 3.83 goals per match.

Model chance vs price22% model chance against roughly 35% implied

Negative

Dinamo Zagreb need the result edge to pair with scoring.Visible data support

Positive

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support

Positive

Dinamo Zagreb have scored in every European match this.Article support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Dinamo Zagreb Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because dinamo Zagreb have scored in every European match this season and won five of their last six games, averaging that scoring level per match. Dinamo Zagreb need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Dinamo Zagreb on 4 and Kauno Žalgiris on 8. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Dinamo Zagreb to win and Both Teams To Score evidence

Dinamo Zagreb have scored in every European match this season and won five of their last six games.

Dinamo Zagreb need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Dinamo Zagreb on 4 and Kauno Žalgiris on 8.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Dinamo Zagreb and 50% for Kauno Žalgiris.

Dinamo Zagreb Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.25 for Kauno Žalgiris are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Dinamo Zagreb to win and Both Teams To Score notes

Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dinamo Zagreb2

Avg goals scored

Kauno Žalgiris1.25

Dinamo Zagreb1.5

Avg goals conceded

Kauno Žalgiris0.75

Dinamo Zagreb100%

BTTS rate

Kauno Žalgiris50%

Dinamo Zagreb50%

Over 2.5 goals

Kauno Žalgiris25%

Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDinamo Zagreb to WinBet365 guide price · Model 28% vs implied 88% · edge -59.6 pts

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Dinamo Zagreb to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

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Useful next reads

more UEFA Champions League analysis Dinamo Zagreb v Kauno Žalgiris prediction corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Dinamo Zagreb10

Avg corners for

Kauno Žalgiris7

Dinamo Zagreb15

Avg total corners

Kauno Žalgiris12

Dinamo Zagreb3.5

Avg yellow cards

Kauno Žalgiris1

Dinamo Zagreb26

Avg shots

Kauno Žalgiris27

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.1 pts

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dinamo Zagreb

Last 51W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 1D 0L

28 Jul 2026H FC Thun3-2

21 Jul 2026A FC Thun1-1

Kauno Žalgiris

WDWD

Last 52W 2D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 2D 0L

29 Jul 2026H KI Klaksvik1-0

21 Jul 2026A KI Klaksvik0-0

14 Jul 2026A Drita3-2

07 Jul 2026H Drita1-1

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 99% · edge -45.5 pts

1.01

Check odds @ 1.01

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Dinamo Zagreb to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Dinamo Zagreb wins

0Draws

0Kauno Žalgiris wins

Market aligned with main pickDinamo Zagreb to WinBet365 guide price · Model 28% vs implied 88% · edge -59.6 pts

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Dinamo Zagreb to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Dinamo Zagreb5

Played

Kauno Žalgiris6

Dinamo Zagreb2.6

Avg goals for

Kauno Žalgiris1

Dinamo Zagreb1.2

Avg goals against

Kauno Žalgiris1.7

Dinamo Zagreb1

Clean sheets

Kauno Žalgiris2

Market aligned with main pickDinamo Zagreb to WinBet365 guide price · Model 28% vs implied 88% · edge -59.6 pts

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

Season data supports Dinamo Zagreb to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Dinamo Zagreb Over 2.5

25%Kauno Žalgiris Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Dinamo Zagreb sit at 50% and Kauno Žalgiris sit at 25%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Dinamo Zagreb v Kauno Žalgiris Stats

Match Report

Dinamo Zagreb to win and Both Teams To Score

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Dinamo Zagreb

Kauno Žalgiris

Next step

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Football Stats Hub

Dinamo Zagreb v Kauno Žalgiris Stats

Match Report

Dinamo Zagreb to win and Both Teams To Score

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Dinamo Zagreb

Kauno Žalgiris

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Prediction context

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