Deportivo Recoleta
SantosCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Wed 06 May, 01:30
Deportivo Recoleta v Santos Stats
Data last updated: Sat 27 Jun 2026, 06:29 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Deportivo Recoleta face Santos in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wed 06 May, 01:30. A tense night in Asunción: everything on the line in Group D. Expect a tight tactical battle with limited scoring opportunities in Asunción as both sides prioritise structure. Deportivo Recoleta come in with 4 recent points and 0.
Under 2.5 Goals
- At 9/10, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
- Both sides have seen all their Copa Sudamericana matches finish under 2.5 goals so far, and their scoring averages—0.
- Deportivo Recoleta are carrying more of the scoring load at 0.75 goals per match, with Santos at 0.67.
- BTTS rates of 75% for Deportivo Recoleta and 67% for Santos show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 66% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. Deportivo Recoleta are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Santos at 0.67. Both sides have seen all their Copa Sudamericana matches finish under 2.5 goals so far, and their scoring averages—0.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because both sides have seen all their Copa Sudamericana matches finish under 2.5 goals so far, and their scoring averages—that scoring level per game for Recoleta and 0. Deportivo Recoleta are carrying more of the scoring load at 0.75 goals per match, with Santos at 0.67. That one-point gap might not sound like much, but psychologically it matters.
That one-point gap might not sound like much, but psychologically it matters.
Key Data Signals
Under 2.5 Goals evidence
Both sides have seen all their Copa Sudamericana matches finish under 2.
Deportivo Recoleta are carrying more of the scoring load at 0.75 goals per match, with Santos at 0.67.
BTTS rates of 75% for Deportivo Recoleta and 67% for Santos show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
What To Watch In The Data
Under 2.5 Goals notes
- The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
Load more odds for this section
Continue the research
Useful next reads
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Load more odds for this section
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Deportivo Recoleta
Santos
Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
Load more odds for this section
Season team stats
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 8 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Santos | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
