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Deportivo La Coruna crestDeportivo La Coruna
v
Real Betis crestReal Betis

La Liga | Sun 20 Sep, 17:30

Deportivo La Coruna v Real Betis Stats

Data last updated: Mon 12 Oct 2026, 07:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Deportivo La Coruna face Real Betis in La Liga on Sun 20 Sep, 17:30. Betis' frequent 1-0 wins and ability to suppress clear chances make backing at least one clean sheet a sensible choice in this fixture. Betis' recent form shows stronger winning consistency than Deportivo.

BT4Y lean · price warning

BTTS No

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 74%, above the 31% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 1.36, BTTS No implies roughly 74%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 31%.
  • They have averaged 16.8 attempts and 6.3 shots on goal, compared with Deportivo’s 9.8 attempts and 4.1 on target.
  • Deportivo La Coruna show a 80% BTTS rate and Real Betis show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Deportivo La Coruna average 1.6 goals scored and Real Betis average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.
Price warning

BTTS No is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 74% while the model sits nearer 31% (-42.8 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Real Betis Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 2.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 31% for BTTS No sits against roughly 74% implied by the current price. Deportivo La Coruna show a 80% BTTS rate and Real Betis show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. They have averaged 16.8 attempts and 6.3 shots on goal, compared with Deportivo’s 9.8 attempts and 4.1 on target.

Model chance vs price31% model chance against roughly 74% implied
Negative
Deportivo La Coruna show a 80% BTTS rate and Real.Visible data support
Positive
Deportivo La Coruna average 1.6 goals scored and Real Betis.Visible data support
Positive
They have averaged 16.8 attempts and 6.3 shots on.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: BTTS No is the preferred angle because selection: BTTS No. Deportivo La Coruna show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Real Betis show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Deportivo La Coruna carry the stronger scoring threat, but Real Betis must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Deportivo La Coruna carry the stronger scoring threat, but Real Betis must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

BTTS No evidence

Selection: BTTS No.

Deportivo La Coruna show a 80% BTTS rate and Real Betis show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Deportivo La Coruna average 1.6 goals scored and Real Betis average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting BTTS No.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Deportivo La Coruna1.6
Avg goals scored
Real Betis1.4
Deportivo La Coruna1.2
Avg goals conceded
Real Betis1.2
Deportivo La Coruna80%
BTTS rate
Real Betis40%
Deportivo La Coruna40%
Over 2.5 goals
Real Betis40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 31% vs implied 74% · edge -42.8 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 24%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS No does not fully support the current price: Deportivo La Coruna concede 1.2 on average and Real Betis score 1.4, so the clean-sheet route has a data base.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

La Liga hubrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionReal Betis Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Real Betis to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Deportivo La Coruna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Deportivo La Coruna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Real Betis Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Deportivo La Coruna

LDWWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 1L
16 Sep 2026H Sevilla0-1
13 Sep 2026A Getafe1-1
05 Sep 2026A Villarreal3-2
30 Aug 2026H Valencia3-1
24 Aug 2026A Malaga1-1

Real Betis

WWWLW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 1L
17 Sep 2026H Getafe1-0
14 Sep 2026A Villarreal2-1
04 Sep 2026H Real Madrid1-0
29 Aug 2026A Levante2-5
25 Aug 2026A Valencia1-0
Best odds for this sectionReal Betis Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 82%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Real Betis to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Deportivo La Coruna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Deportivo La Coruna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Deportivo La Coruna Over 2.5
40%Real Betis Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Deportivo La Coruna sit at 40% and Real Betis sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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