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Deportivo Cali crestDeportivo Cali
v
Águilas Doradas crestÁguilas Doradas

Primera A | Mon 28 Sep, 02:10

Deportivo Cali v Águilas Doradas Stats

Data last updated: Mon 28 Sep 2026, 11:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Deportivo Cali hosts Águilas Doradas in a Primera A clash where the home side aims to consolidate their strong league position. Deportivo Cali have shown solid defensive organization, conceding just 0.6 goals per game recently, while maintaining a steady attacking output. Águilas Doradas, struggling for consistency, have scored less and conceded more, with defensive vulnerabilities evident. The fixture carries importance for Deportivo Cali to maintain momentum in the top six, while Águilas Doradas seek to climb from the lower half. Tactical discipline and home advantage give Deportivo Cali a clear edge in this contest.

BT4Y best bet

Deportivo Cali to Win

  • Deportivo Cali holds a 74% to win, indicating strong in home victory.
  • Recent form shows Deportivo Cali with 11 points versus Águilas Doradas' 3 in last matches.
  • Deportivo Cali concedes only 0.6 goals per game, highlighting defensive stability.
  • Águilas Doradas average 6.4 corners per game, suggesting attacking pressure but defensive frailty.
  • Top players like R. Márquez pose a threat for Águilas Doradas but lack team support for consistent results.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Deportivo Cali to win with a 74% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and defensive solidity. They have outperformed Águilas Doradas in points and goals conceded, with a more balanced attack and defense. Águilas Doradas' higher corner count indicates pressure but also defensive lapses. The home team's tactical discipline and key attacking players such as E. Rodríguez provide a strong foundation for victory. No price warning applies, making this a standard pick based on clear statistical advantages.

Model Chance72.8% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsDeportivo Cali 11 vs Águilas Doradas 3
Strong positive
Goals AgainstDeportivo Cali 0.6 vs Águilas Doradas 1.8
Strong positive
Corner PressureÁguilas Doradas 6.4 avg corners per game
Neutral
Key Player ThreatR. Márquez 3 goals, 2.12 SOT/90
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Deportivo Cali's tactical discipline and defensive strength make them the clear favorite to secure victory. Their recent form and ability to limit goals conceded contrast sharply with Águilas Doradas' defensive struggles, providing a solid foundation for a home win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Deportivo Cali's balance between a disciplined defense and effective attacking options positions them well to control this match and capitalize on Águilas Doradas' defensive vulnerabilities.”

Key Data Signals

Deportivo Cali to Win evidence

Deportivo Cali holds a 74% to win, indicating strong in home victory.

Recent form shows Deportivo Cali with 11 points versus Águilas Doradas' 3 in last matches.

Deportivo Cali concedes only 0.6 goals per game, highlighting defensive stability.

Águilas Doradas average 6.4 corners per game, suggesting attacking pressure but defensive frailty.

What To Watch In The Data

Deportivo Cali to Win notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.8, suggesting a moderately open game.
  • However, recent trends show a tendency towards tighter defensive matches, with Deportivo Cali's defensive discipline likely to suppress high scoring, making Over 2.5 goals a less probable outcome in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Deportivo Cali1.6
Avg goals scored
Águilas Doradas1.2
Deportivo Cali0.6
Avg goals conceded
Águilas Doradas1.8
Deportivo Cali60%
BTTS rate
Águilas Doradas60%
Deportivo Cali40%
Over 2.5 goals
Águilas Doradas60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, but Deportivo Cali's stronger defense and lower goals conceded suggest a controlled scoring environment. The match is likely to feature fewer goals from Águilas Doradas, with Deportivo Cali managing the game tempo to limit open chances, favoring a lower-scoring, controlled outcome.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Deportivo Cali

WWWDD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
23 Sep 2026A Santa Fe1-0
20 Sep 2026H Cucuta3-0
14 Sep 2026A Once Caldas2-1
11 Sep 2026A Millonarios1-1
31 Aug 2026H Bucaramanga1-1

Águilas Doradas

LDLDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
24 Sep 2026A America de Cali0-1
18 Sep 2026H Deportivo Pereira2-2
13 Sep 2026A Atletico Nacional0-2
06 Sep 2026A Internacional de Bogota2-2
30 Aug 2026H Chico2-2
Market aligned with main pickDeportivo Cali to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Deportivo Cali Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Deportivo Cali's recent form is strong, accumulating 11 points with a solid defensive record of 0.6 goals conceded per game. Águilas Doradas have struggled, earning only 3 points and conceding 1.8 goals per game, highlighting a significant form gap that favors the home side's winning chances.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDeportivo Cali to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Deportivo Cali Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The 72.8% for Deportivo Cali to Win sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Deportivo Cali have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 3 for Águilas Doradas.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Deportivo Cali Over 2.5
60%Águilas Doradas Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.8, suggesting a moderately open game. However, recent trends show a tendency towards tighter defensive matches, with Deportivo Cali's defensive discipline likely to suppress high scoring, making Over 2.5 goals a less probable outcome in this fixture.

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