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Denmark U19 crestDenmark U19
v
Italy U19 crestItaly U19

UEFA U19 Championship | Wed 08 Jul, 14:00

Denmark U19 v Italy U19 Stats

Data last updated: Wed 08 Jul 2026, 05:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Denmark U19 face Italy U19 in UEFA U19 Championship on Wed 08 Jul, 14:00. This defensive volatility, coupled with Italy's urgent need to break a two-match scoreless streak in an open classification fixture, heavily favours both sides finding the net. Italy's low-scoring trend of four consecutive games under 2.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 9/2, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 18%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 33%.
  • They have produced 65 shots across six matches, averaging 10.83 per game.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Denmark U19 and 0% for Italy U19, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Denmark U19 are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Italy U19 at 0.67.
  • BTTS rates of 33% for Denmark U19 and 0% for Italy U19 show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 33% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 18% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Denmark U19 and 0% for Italy U19, so the goals angle is not just a price call. They have produced 65 shots across six matches, averaging 10.83 per game.

Model chance vs price33% model chance against roughly 18% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Denmark U19.Visible data support
Positive
Denmark U19 are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
They have produced 65 shots across six matches, averaging.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because italy's recent tournament trend heavily leans towards low-scoring affairs, seeing under 2.5 goals in their last four matches. Denmark U19 are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Italy U19 at 0.67. Two matches without scoring is not a crisis, but it is certainly enough to make the Italian forwards feel like every misplaced touch is being watched through a magnifying glass.

Main risk

Two matches without scoring is not a crisis, but it is certainly enough to make the Italian forwards feel like every misplaced touch is being watched through a magnifying glass.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Italy's recent tournament trend heavily leans towards low-scoring affairs, seeing under 2.5 goals in their last four matches.

Denmark U19 are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Italy U19 at 0.67.

BTTS rates of 33% for Denmark U19 and 0% for Italy U19 show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Denmark U192
Avg goals scored
Italy U190.67
Denmark U192.33
Avg goals conceded
Italy U190.33
Denmark U1933%
BTTS rate
Italy U190%
Denmark U19100%
Over 2.5 goals
Italy U190%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 56% · edge +5.9 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 39%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for Denmark U19 and 0% for Italy U19, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionDenmark U19 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Denmark U19 to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Italy U19 to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Italy U19 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Denmark U19 Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Denmark U19

WLL
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
04 Jul 2026H Wales U193-0
01 Jul 2026H Spain U190-3
28 Jun 2026A Germany U193-4

Italy U19

LDW
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
05 Jul 2026A Ukraine U190-1
02 Jul 2026A Croatia U190-0
29 Jun 2026H Serbia U192-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Denmark U19 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Denmark U19 to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Italy U19 to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Italy U19 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Denmark U19 wins
0Draws
1Italy U19 wins
16 Oct 2018Denmark U19 v Italy U190-1
Best odds for this sectionDenmark U19 to WinBet365 guide price · Model 36% vs implied 21% · edge +15 pts
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Italy U19 to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 39%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The head-to-head sample gives context for Denmark U19 to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA U19 Championship

Denmark U194
Played
Italy U194
Denmark U191.5
Avg goals for
Italy U190.5
Denmark U191.8
Avg goals against
Italy U190.3
Denmark U192
Clean sheets
Italy U193
Best odds for this sectionDenmark U19 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Denmark U19 to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Italy U19 to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Italy U19 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Season data supports Denmark U19 Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Denmark U19 Over 2.5
0%Italy U19 Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Denmark U19 sit at 100% and Italy U19 sit at 0% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.