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CSKA Sofia crestCSKA Sofia
v
Polessya crestPolessya

Friendlies Clubs | Wed 24 Jun, 17:00

CSKA Sofia v Polessya Stats

Data last updated: Tue 23 Jun 2026, 02:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly match between CSKA Sofia and Polessya offers an intriguing attacking contest as both sides have shown offensive intent in recent games. Polessya's recent form highlights a potent attack averaging 2.6 goals per game, while CSKA Sofia also contributes with 1.8 goals per match. The encounter is likely to be open, with both teams eager to test attacking options and sharpen finishing ahead of competitive fixtures. Defensive solidity is less emphasized in friendlies, increasing the chances of multiple goals in this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Polessya averages 2.6 goals scored per game, indicating strong offensive capability.
  • CSKA Sofia scores 1.8 goals per match, supporting an open game scenario.
  • Polessya has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches, showing frequent high-scoring games.
  • CSKA Sofia's Over 2.5 Goals rate stands at 60%, reinforcing the likelihood of multiple goals.
  • Both teams have high BTTS rates, with Polessya at 100% and CSKA Sofia at 60%, suggesting goals from both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 67.5% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, supported by both teams' recent scoring trends and high Over 2.5 rates. Polessya's aggressive offense and CSKA Sofia's willingness to engage in open play during friendlies create conditions favorable for multiple goals. The absence of defensive rigidity in this context further boosts the likelihood of a high-scoring match. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation based on solid attacking data.

Model Chance67.5% probability of Over 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Polessya Offensive Output2.6 goals per game
Strong positive
CSKA Sofia Offensive Output1.8 goals per game
Positive
Recent Over 2.5 RatesPolessya 80%, CSKA Sofia 60%
Positive
BTTS RatesPolessya 100%, CSKA Sofia 60%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking friendly where both CSKA Sofia and Polessya look to exploit defensive lapses. Polessya's recent high scoring and CSKA Sofia's decent goal output suggest a lively game with multiple goals. The attacking intent and less defensive caution typical of friendlies make Over 2.5 Goals a sensible choice.

Main risk

The main risk lies in the friendly nature of the match, which can lead to experimental line-ups and less consistent defensive effort, potentially causing unpredictable goal outcomes.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking potential and match openness

“Polessya's strong offensive numbers combined with CSKA Sofia's willingness to attack in friendlies create a fertile ground for goals. This match should see plenty of chances and goals given the teams' recent trends and tactical openness.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Polessya averages 2.6 goals scored per game, indicating strong offensive capability.

CSKA Sofia scores 1.8 goals per match, supporting an open game scenario.

Polessya has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches, showing frequent high-scoring games.

CSKA Sofia's Over 2.5 Goals rate stands at 60%, reinforcing the likelihood of multiple goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Recent matches show Polessya achieves Over 2.5 Goals in 80% of games and CSKA Sofia in 60%, based on the last five fixtures.
  • This trend suggests a tempo and openness conducive to multiple goals, with both teams prone to conceding and scoring in friendlies.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

CSKA Sofia2.2
Avg goals scored
Polessya2.6
CSKA Sofia1.2
Avg goals conceded
Polessya1.8
CSKA Sofia80%
BTTS rate
Polessya100%
CSKA Sofia80%
Over 2.5 goals
Polessya80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 53% · edge +21.7 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Both teams have high BTTS rates, with Polessya scoring in every recent game and CSKA Sofia also frequently finding the net. Combined with their goal averages, this suggests a match likely to feature goals at both ends and a total exceeding 2.5 goals.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 53% · edge +21.7 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
CSKA Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Polessya to WinBetUK guide price · model 33%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced without visible but aligns well with the model's 67.5% probability, indicating a balanced price scenario. The data supports a standard stake approach without strong value or caution signals, reflecting the attacking profiles and match context.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

CSKA Sofia

WWWDL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 2L
20 Jun 2026A Brinje-Grosuplje2-1
31 Jan 2026H Dunav Ruse3-1
23 Jan 2026H Gangwon FC5-2
21 Jan 2026H LNZ Cherkasy0-0
17 Jan 2026H Mlada Boleslav1-2

Polessya

DLDWW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
14 Feb 2026A Zbrojovka Brno1-1
14 Feb 2026A Toronto FC1-2
10 Feb 2026H Halmstad2-2
10 Feb 2026A Granada CF4-3
06 Feb 2026A BK Hacken5-1
Best odds for this sectionCSKA Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 44% · edge +7 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Polessya to WinBetUK guide price · model 33%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Recent form data shows Polessya scoring 2.6 goals per game with an 80% Over 2.5 rate, while CSKA Sofia averages 1.8 goals and a 60% Over 2.5 rate. Both teams' scoring consistency supports expectations for a high-scoring friendly encounter.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0CSKA Sofia wins
0Draws
0Polessya wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 53% · edge +21.7 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
CSKA Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Polessya to WinBetUK guide price · model 33%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
No previous meetings exist between CSKA Sofia and Polessya, so head-to-head data offers no guidance. The focus shifts to current form and attacking tendencies to assess goal potential.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

CSKA Sofia6
Played
Polessya10
CSKA Sofia1.8
Avg goals for
Polessya2.5
CSKA Sofia1.3
Avg goals against
Polessya1.1
CSKA Sofia1
Clean sheets
Polessya3
Best odds for this sectionCSKA Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 44% · edge +7 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Polessya to WinBetUK guide price · model 33%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Season-long statistics indicate both sides maintain attacking output above one goal per game, with Polessya particularly prolific. Defensive concessions are moderate, reinforcing the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%CSKA Sofia Over 2.5
80%Polessya Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent matches show Polessya achieves Over 2.5 Goals in 80% of games and CSKA Sofia in 60%, based on the last five fixtures. This trend suggests a tempo and openness conducive to multiple goals, with both teams prone to conceding and scoring in friendlies.

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