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Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace
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Manchester City crestManchester City

Premier League | Fri 28 Aug, 20:00

Crystal Palace v Manchester City Stats

Data last updated: Thu 27 Aug 2026, 08:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Crystal Palace host Manchester City at Selhurst Park in a Premier League clash where both sides bring contrasting recent form and tactical challenges. Manchester City, under new management, showed attacking potency in their 2-1 comeback win over Bournemouth despite defensive lapses, while Crystal Palace suffered a 2-0 defeat at Everton but demonstrated attacking intent. City’s elite scorers, including Erling Haaland and Phil Foden, face a Palace defense potentially weakened by goalkeeper Dean Henderson's fitness doubts. Palace’s home scoring consistency and City's early defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for a contest likely featuring goals at both ends, with tactical emphasis on City’s high press and Palace’s transition threat.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Manchester City’s attack led by Haaland and Foden creates high-quality chances consistently.
  • Crystal Palace scored in five of their last six home matches, showing reliable scoring form.
  • City conceded four goals in their first two competitive matches, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Last six Premier League meetings between these teams all had at least three goals.
  • Palace’s goalkeeper Dean Henderson is doubtful, adding pressure on their defensive organization.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 66.7% chance for both teams to score, reflecting Manchester City's strong attacking output combined with Crystal Palace's consistent home scoring and City's early defensive concessions. The of 35.4% at of 3.2 indicates a significant pricing advantage. While City’s defensive instability poses a risk, Palace’s attacking players like Mateta and Sarr provide enough threat to expect goals at both ends. The model at 59% supports this balanced but optimistic outlook for BTTS in this fixture.

Manchester City attacking strengthHigh chance creation and elite scorers like Haaland and Foden
Strong positive
Crystal Palace home scoringScored in 5 of last 6 home matches
Positive
Manchester City defensive recordConceded 4 goals in first 2 matches
Positive
Price value edge35.4% edge at 3.2 odds
Strong positive
Player fitness riskPalace goalkeeper doubtful
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The tactical setup suggests Manchester City’s high-volume chance creation will meet Palace’s resilient home scoring form, making goals at both ends likely. Data shows City’s defensive lapses and Palace’s consistent scoring record combine to support a Both Teams to Score outcome in this Premier League fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Manchester City's attacking firepower combined with Palace's home scoring consistency creates a compelling case for goals at both ends, despite City's defensive vulnerabilities.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Manchester City’s attack led by Haaland and Foden creates high-quality chances consistently.

Crystal Palace scored in five of their last six home matches, showing reliable scoring form.

City conceded four goals in their first two competitive matches, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Last six Premier League meetings between these teams all had at least three goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • The last ten head-to-head matches average 3.5 goals, with the last six Premier League meetings all featuring over 2.5 goals.
  • This trend highlights a high-tempo, attack-oriented fixture likely to produce multiple goals and support the Both Teams to Score market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Crystal Palace0
Avg corners for
Manchester City8
Crystal Palace4
Avg total corners
Manchester City11
Crystal Palace1
Avg yellow cards
Manchester City1
Crystal Palace11
Avg shots
Manchester City13
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Manchester City averages 13 shots and 6 shots on target per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure, while Palace averages 11 shots with 4 on target. City’s higher corner count reflects territorial control, and both teams maintain similar yellow card averages, suggesting a balanced contest with opportunities from set pieces and open play.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Crystal Palace0
Avg goals scored
Manchester City2
Crystal Palace2
Avg goals conceded
Manchester City1
Crystal Palace0%
BTTS rate
Manchester City100%
Crystal Palace0%
Over 2.5 goals
Manchester City100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +7.9 pts
1.7
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both teams have shown recent scoring ability, with Manchester City scoring in their last match and Palace scoring in most recent home games. Historical data shows all last six meetings produced at least three goals, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +7.9 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Manchester City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Manchester City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Crystal Palace to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Crystal Palace Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
The Both Teams to Score market offers strong value at 3.2 , with an implied chance of 31.3% versus the model's 66.7% probability. This significant reflects the tactical and statistical evidence of attacking opportunities for both sides, making it an attractive bet without price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Crystal Palace

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
22 Aug 2026A Everton0-2

Manchester City

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
23 Aug 2026H Bournemouth2-1
Best odds for this sectionManchester City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.92
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Manchester City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Crystal Palace to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Crystal Palace Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Manchester City’s recent form includes a comeback win showcasing attacking resilience, while Palace’s defeat at Everton belies their attacking efforts. City’s early defensive concessions contrast with Palace’s consistent home scoring, suggesting a match where both sides can find the net despite contrasting results.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Crystal Palace wins
3Draws
6Manchester City wins
13 May 2026Manchester City v Crystal Palace3-0
14 Dec 2025Crystal Palace v Manchester City0-3
17 May 2025Crystal Palace v Manchester City1-0
12 Apr 2025Manchester City v Crystal Palace5-2
07 Dec 2024Crystal Palace v Manchester City2-2
06 Apr 2024Crystal Palace v Manchester City2-4
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +7.9 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Manchester City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Crystal Palace to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Recent meetings heavily favor Manchester City with 3-0 wins in both league fixtures last season, but all six of those matches featured at least three goals, indicating an open game with scoring chances for both sides. This history supports the expectation of goals at both ends despite City's control.
Season team stats

Premier League

Crystal Palace1
Played
Manchester City1
Crystal Palace0
Avg goals for
Manchester City2
Crystal Palace2
Avg goals against
Manchester City1
Crystal Palace0
Clean sheets
Manchester City0
Best odds for this sectionManchester City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
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Manchester City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Crystal Palace to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Crystal Palace Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Season-long data shows City’s high attacking output with elite finishing and chance creation, while Palace maintains a solid home scoring record. City’s defensive vulnerabilities early in the season provide Palace with realistic scoring opportunities, supporting the Both Teams to Score scenario.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Manchester City311001
17Crystal Palace01001-2
Manchester City sits comfortably in 7th with 3 points, reflecting a positive start, whereas Crystal Palace is 17th without points, increasing their need to attack at home. This table context adds urgency for Palace to find goals, complementing City’s offensive ambitions.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
100%Manchester City Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
The last ten head-to-head matches average 3.5 goals, with the last six Premier League meetings all featuring over 2.5 goals. This trend highlights a high-tempo, attack-oriented fixture likely to produce multiple goals and support the Both Teams to Score market.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.