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Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace
v
Manchester City crestManchester City

Premier League | Fri 28 Aug, 20:00

Crystal Palace v Manchester City Stats

Data last updated: Thu 17 Sep 2026, 02:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Crystal Palace face Manchester City in Premier League on Fri 28 Aug, 20:00. Crystal Palace host Manchester City at Selhurst Park on Friday with both sides already offering reasons to resist an overly simple reading of the fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Man City to win and both teams to score

  • Man City to win and both teams to score is rated around 41% by the current BT4Y model.
  • City’s top scorers and Palace’s home scoring record support this outcome despite City’s recent defensive concessions and Palace’s goalkeeper doubts.
  • Manchester City need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Crystal Palace on 0 and Manchester City on 3.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 0% for Crystal Palace and 100% for Manchester City.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Man City to win and both teams to score around 41% on the latest available numbers. Manchester City need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Crystal Palace on 0 and Manchester City on 3. City’s top scorers and Palace’s home scoring record support this outcome despite City’s recent defensive concessions and Palace’s goalkeeper doubts.

Manchester City need the result edge to pair with scoring.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
City’s top scorers and Palace’s home scoring record support.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Manchester City Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because city’s top scorers and Palace’s home scoring record support this outcome despite City’s recent defensive concessions and Palace’s goalkeeper doubts. Manchester City need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Crystal Palace on 0 and Manchester City on 3. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Man City to win and both teams to score evidence

City’s top scorers and Palace’s home scoring record support this outcome despite City’s recent defensive concessions and Palace’s.

Manchester City need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Crystal Palace on 0 and Manchester City on 3.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 0% for Crystal Palace and 100% for Manchester City.

Manchester City Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 0 for Crystal Palace and 2 for Manchester City are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Man City to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Crystal Palace0
Avg corners for
Manchester City8
Crystal Palace4
Avg total corners
Manchester City11
Crystal Palace1
Avg yellow cards
Manchester City1
Crystal Palace11
Avg shots
Manchester City13
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Crystal Palace0
Avg goals scored
Manchester City2
Crystal Palace2
Avg goals conceded
Manchester City1
Crystal Palace0%
BTTS rate
Manchester City100%
Crystal Palace0%
Over 2.5 goals
Manchester City100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +7.9 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 0% for Crystal Palace and 100% for Manchester City, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickManchester City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.7
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Manchester City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Manchester City Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Crystal Palace

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
22 Aug 2026A Everton0-2

Manchester City

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
23 Aug 2026H Bournemouth2-1
Market aligned with main pickManchester City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.92
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 82%
1.17
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Manchester City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Crystal Palace wins
3Draws
6Manchester City wins
13 May 2026Manchester City v Crystal Palace3-0
14 Dec 2025Crystal Palace v Manchester City0-3
17 May 2025Crystal Palace v Manchester City1-0
12 Apr 2025Manchester City v Crystal Palace5-2
07 Dec 2024Crystal Palace v Manchester City2-2
06 Apr 2024Crystal Palace v Manchester City2-4
Market aligned with main pickManchester City to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 63% · edge -2.9 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The head-to-head sample gives context for Manchester City to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Premier League

Crystal Palace4
Played
Manchester City4
Crystal Palace1.5
Avg goals for
Manchester City2
Crystal Palace2.8
Avg goals against
Manchester City0.5
Crystal Palace0
Clean sheets
Manchester City2
Market aligned with main pickManchester City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
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Manchester City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Season data supports Manchester City Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Manchester City1244006
16Crystal Palace34103-5
Crystal Palace sit in position 16, while Manchester City sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Man City to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
100%Manchester City Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Crystal Palace sit at 0% and Manchester City sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.