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Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace
v
Lech Poznan crestLech Poznan

UEFA Europa League | Thu 17 Sep, 20:00

Crystal Palace v Lech Poznan Stats

Data last updated: Wed 16 Sep 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Crystal Palace begin their Europa League campaign hosting Lech Poznan in a fixture that promises attacking intensity and defensive challenges. Palace have shown a potent offense, scoring at least twice in three consecutive matches, but their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 11 goals in five games. Lech Poznan arrive with strong scoring consistency, netting in six straight matches and averaging 2.67 goals per game recently. This clash pits Palace's offensive momentum against Lech's reliable goal-scoring, setting up a contest where both teams are likely to find the net while Palace aims to secure victory on home soil.

BT4Y match pick

Crystal Palace to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Crystal Palace have scored at least twice in three consecutive matches but conceded 11 goals this season.
  • Lech Poznan have scored in six consecutive matches, netting 16 goals in that span.
  • Palace's recent fixtures average 3.5 goals per game, indicating open, high-scoring matches.
  • Lech Poznan kept 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches but conceded 3 in their latest defeat.
  • The combined scoring trends support a Palace win with both teams scoring scenario.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The selection is football-led rather than value-driven, as the (12.8%) is well below the market implied probability (33.3%), indicating a short price. The strong attacking records of both Crystal Palace and Lech Poznan, combined with Palace's defensive frailties and Lech's consistent scoring, create a plausible scenario for both teams to score and Palace to win. Reduced staking is advised due to the price sensitivity, with potential for stronger value if drift or line-up news emerges.

Crystal Palace scoring consistencyAt least 2 goals in 3 consecutive matches
Strong positive
Lech Poznan scoring streakScored in 6 consecutive matches
Strong positive
Palace defensive weaknessConceded 11 goals in 5 games
Positive
Price sensitivityMarket odds imply 33.3%, model chance 12.8%
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Crystal Palace's attacking prowess combined with Lech Poznan's consistent goal scoring sets the stage for a competitive match where both sides are likely to score. Palace's home advantage and offensive momentum suggest they can secure the win despite defensive vulnerabilities. This bet captures the tactical balance of an open game with goals at both ends, reflecting the teams' recent form and scoring patterns.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and scoring dynamics

“This match is shaped by Crystal Palace's offensive firepower meeting Lech Poznan's reliable scoring streak, making a Palace win with both teams scoring a compelling tactical outcome to watch.”

Key Data Signals

Crystal Palace to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Crystal Palace have scored at least twice in three consecutive matches but conceded 11 goals this season.

Lech Poznan have scored in six consecutive matches, netting 16 goals in that span.

Palace's recent fixtures average 3.5 goals per game, indicating open, high-scoring matches.

Lech Poznan kept 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches but conceded 3 in their latest defeat.

What To Watch In The Data

Crystal Palace to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Recent match trends show Palace's last six matches averaged 3.5 goals, indicating open play and high tempo.
  • Lech Poznan's consistent scoring in six consecutive games further supports an Over 2.5 Goals trend, suggesting a lively encounter with multiple goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Crystal Palace

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Crystal Palace yet.

Lech Poznan

DWWW
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
27 Aug 2026A FC Thun2-2
20 Aug 2026H FC Thun7-0
14 Aug 2026A KI Klaksvik5-0
06 Aug 2026H KI Klaksvik1-0
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 83% vs implied 91% · edge -8.3 pts
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
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Crystal Palace to WinBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Crystal Palace Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Recent form data shows Lech Poznan with strong momentum, scoring 3.75 goals per game and conceding only 0.5, while Palace's form is less stable but marked by high-scoring games. Palace's defensive struggles contrast with Lech's efficiency, making a high-scoring match with both teams netting a realistic outcome.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Crystal Palace000000
17Lech Poznan000000
In the Europa League group stage context, table positions are not yet established, but both teams face early pressure to secure points. Palace's home advantage and offensive capabilities position them as favorites to win, while Lech's scoring form suggests they will challenge strongly, setting up a competitive fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Crystal Palace-
Avg goals scored
Lech Poznan3.75
Crystal Palace-
Avg goals conceded
Lech Poznan0.5
Crystal Palace-
BTTS rate
Lech Poznan25%
Crystal Palace-
Over 2.5 goals
Lech Poznan75%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 62% · edge +13.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Both teams have demonstrated strong scoring ability recently: Palace averaging multiple goals per game and Lech Poznan scoring in six consecutive matches. Palace's defensive lapses and Lech's consistent goal output make a scenario where both teams score highly plausible, supporting the BTTS component of the pick.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCrystal Palace to WinBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 71% · edge -8.3 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Crystal Palace Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The market prices Crystal Palace to Win & Both Teams to Score at 3.0 (33.3% implied chance), which is significantly higher than the model's 12.8% chance, indicating the price is short. This suggests a football-led selection rather than a pure value bet, with staking advised to be reduced or drift awaited for better value.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Crystal Palace wins
0Draws
0Lech Poznan wins
Market aligned with main pickCrystal Palace to WinBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 71% · edge -8.3 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
No previous head-to-head matches exist between Crystal Palace and Lech Poznan, so historical data offers no direct insight. The focus shifts to current form, tactical matchups, and recent scoring trends to assess likely outcomes.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Crystal Palace-
Avg corners for
Lech Poznan5.5
Crystal Palace-
Avg total corners
Lech Poznan9.75
Crystal Palace-
Avg yellow cards
Lech Poznan1.75
Crystal Palace-
Avg shots
Lech Poznan4.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 52% · edge +13.2 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Lech Poznan average 5.5 corners and 4.5 shots per game, with 1.75 yellow cards on average, indicating active attacking play and moderate disciplinary involvement. Palace's attacking volume and Lech's pressure suggest a match with sustained wide play and set-piece opportunities, contributing to shots and corners flow.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Crystal Palace0
Played
Lech Poznan4
Crystal Palace0
Avg goals for
Lech Poznan3.8
Crystal Palace0
Avg goals against
Lech Poznan0.5
Crystal Palace0
Clean sheets
Lech Poznan3
Market aligned with main pickCrystal Palace to WinBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 71% · edge -8.3 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Crystal Palace Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over the season, Palace have conceded 11 goals in five games, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities, while scoring multiple goals consistently. Lech Poznan's season stats reflect a potent attack with regular scoring and relatively solid defense, reinforcing the expectation of goals at both ends and a Palace win.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Crystal Palace Over 2.5
75%Lech Poznan Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent match trends show Palace's last six matches averaged 3.5 goals, indicating open play and high tempo. Lech Poznan's consistent scoring in six consecutive games further supports an Over 2.5 Goals trend, suggesting a lively encounter with multiple goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.