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Cruzeiro crestCruzeiro
v
Botafogo crestBotafogo

Serie A | Sun 26 Jul, 20:00

Cruzeiro v Botafogo Stats

Data last updated: Tue 08 Sep 2026, 10:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cruzeiro face Botafogo in Serie A on Sun 26 Jul, 20:00. Cruzeiro Home Form: Cruzeiro are unbeaten in their last five home matches and have won six of their last ten league fixtures overall.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score

  • At 1.8, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 71%.
  • Market: Match Result & Both Teams to Score
  • Cruzeiro show a 100% BTTS rate and Botafogo show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Cruzeiro average 1.6 goals scored and Botafogo average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 71% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Cruzeiro show a 100% BTTS rate and Botafogo show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Market: Match Result & Both Teams to Score

Model chance vs price71% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Strong positive
Cruzeiro show a 100% BTTS rate and Botafogo show a.Visible data support
Positive
Cruzeiro average 1.6 goals scored and Botafogo average 1.4, so.Visible data support
Positive
Market: Match Result & Both Teams to ScoreArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because market: Match Result & Both Teams to Score Cruzeiro show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Botafogo show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Market: Match Result & Both Teams to Score

Cruzeiro show a 100% BTTS rate and Botafogo show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Cruzeiro average 1.6 goals scored and Botafogo average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cruzeiro1.6
Avg goals scored
Botafogo1.4
Cruzeiro1
Avg goals conceded
Botafogo1
Cruzeiro100%
BTTS rate
Botafogo80%
Cruzeiro60%
Over 2.5 goals
Botafogo60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A hubfull betting preview for Cruzeiro v Botafogocorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Botafogo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Cruzeiro to WinBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Cruzeiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Botafogo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cruzeiro6.25
Avg corners for
Botafogo3.75
Cruzeiro11.5
Avg total corners
Botafogo9
Cruzeiro4
Avg yellow cards
Botafogo4.5
Cruzeiro15.75
Avg shots
Botafogo14.25
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 58% · edge +9.6 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 5.5 CardsBetUK guide price
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cruzeiro

WDWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
23 Jul 2026A Internacional2-1
01 Jun 2026H Fluminense1-1
24 May 2026H Chapecoense-sc2-1
17 May 2026A Palmeiras1-1
10 May 2026A Bahia2-1

Botafogo

DWLDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
23 Jul 2026H Vitoria0-0
16 Jul 2026H Santos2-1
30 May 2026A Bahia1-2
23 May 2026A Sao Paulo1-1
17 May 2026H Corinthians3-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 83% vs implied 85% · edge -2 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Botafogo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Cruzeiro to WinBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Cruzeiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Botafogo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Cruzeiro wins
5Draws
1Botafogo wins
30 Jan 2026Botafogo v Cruzeiro4-0
04 Dec 2025Cruzeiro v Botafogo2-2
03 Aug 2025Botafogo v Cruzeiro0-2
28 Jul 2024Botafogo v Cruzeiro0-3
14 Apr 2024Cruzeiro v Botafogo3-2
03 Dec 2023Botafogo v Cruzeiro0-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Cruzeiro to WinBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Botafogo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Cruzeiro26
Played
Botafogo25
Cruzeiro1.5
Avg goals for
Botafogo1.5
Cruzeiro1.4
Avg goals against
Botafogo1.6
Cruzeiro5
Clean sheets
Botafogo4
Best odds for this sectionBotafogo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 35% · edge +6.9 pts
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Load more odds for this section
Cruzeiro to WinBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Cruzeiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Botafogo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Season data supports Botafogo Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Cruzeiro422612681
14Botafogo31258710-3
Cruzeiro sit in position 6, while Botafogo sit in position 14, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Cruzeiro Over 2.5
60%Botafogo Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Cruzeiro sit at 60% and Botafogo sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Cruzeiro v Botafogo prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

Serie A hubSerie A hubfull betting preview for Cruzeiro v Botafogocorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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